Tuesday, October 23, 2018

US House Election Snapshot for Tuesday 10/23/18: Democrats win control with 218

Real Clear Politics has the race at 205 Democrat to 200 Republican with 30 toss-ups.

Based on the latest polling date in each of the toss-ups, Democrats pick-up 13 and Republicans pick up 12 with 5 more races officially tied.

Democrats win control 218-212-5.

14 contests have severely out-of-date polling, however, 13 from September and 1 from August. 16 contests have the latest poll taken sometime in October.

Republicans own the October polling: Republican 8, Democrat 4, Tied 4. The average lead for Republicans is +3.375 and for Democrats is +4.25.

Democrats own the out-of-date polling, throwing cold water on their projected win: Democrat 9, Republican 4, Tied 1.

The average lead in Democrat polling overall is +3.3 and in Republican is +2.75.