Monday, April 4, 2016

ARG Inc. poll got Michigan massively wrong, shows Trump +10 in Wisconsin tomorrow

The ARG poll had Kasich winning Michigan by 2 when Trump won it by 11.6.

Otherwise . . .

ARG has been pretty good this season.

It had Trump by 16 in NH. Actual: 19.5.

It had Trump by 12 in SC. Actual: 10.0.

It had Cruz by 1 in TX. Actual: 17.1. OK, way off but at least it got the winner right!

It had Trump by 25 in FL. Actual: 18.8.

It had Kasich by 6 in OH. Actual: 11.1.

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