Sunday, March 20, 2016
Ranking the candidates by credit scores of supporters: Kasich's have the best credit, Sanders' the worst
Nearly 60% of Kasich's support comes from people with excellent credit (FICO 720-850).
Half or more of supporters for all candidates have excellent credit, including supporters of Trump (who brings up the rear at 49.8%).
Compiled from the story here.
Combined percentages of supporters with excellent and good credit scores / combined percentages of supporters with fair and bad credit scores:
Kasich 86 / 14
Rubio 69 / 31
Trump 69 / 31
Cruz 68 / 32
Clinton 67 / 33
Sanders 66 / 34.
Rubio's in second because of the difference between 68.65% of support coming from from the good side for himself and 68.6% for Trump. Before rounding Cruz trails Trump in each category by 0.5 points.
Flashback: In 2006 Barack Obama sounded just like Donald Trump on illegal immigration
Here.
Make sure to click the speaker icon at the link to hear Obama himself recite these and other relevant lines in the audio version of his book.
Famous libertarian takes test, finds out he's a LEFTIST
Yet more evidence that conservatives should dump the libertarians, who belong in the Democrat Party, not the Republican.
Former New Mexico Governor Gary Johnson took the test at isidewith.com, reported here by CNBC:
"The candidate that most paired up with my beliefs is (Vermont Sen.) Bernie Sanders at 73 percent," the 2012 Libertarian candidate told CNBC in a phone interview this week from New Mexico.
Funny he needed a test to figure out where he really stands. How un-self-aware can you be? Apparently liberalism is more of a mental disorder than we knew, and marijuana-induced hallucinations less revelatory than he knew.
Johnson received almost 1% of the popular vote for president in 2012 running as a libertarian, but continues to insist "that the vast majority of the people in this country are libertarian".
Uh huh.
Saturday, March 19, 2016
Friday, March 18, 2016
NYT: Hillary needs a black opponent to win Democrat white men
While Mrs. Clinton swept the five major primaries on Tuesday, she lost white men in all of them, and by double-digit margins in Missouri, North Carolina and Ohio, exit polls showed — a sharp turnabout from 2008, when she won double-digit victories among white male voters in all three states.
She also performed poorly on Tuesday with independents, who have never been among her core supporters. But white men were, at least when Mrs. Clinton was running against a black opponent: She explicitly appealed to them in 2008, extolling the Second Amendment, mocking Barack Obama’s comment that working-class voters “cling to guns or religion” and even needling him at one point over his difficulties with “working, hard-working Americans, white Americans.”
USA Today: Congress had a right to access Hillary Clinton’s emails as part of their investigation regardless of motive
Here:
Nevertheless, members of Congress, like reporters and the public, had a right to access Clinton’s emails as part of their investigation regardless of motive. And were it not for the dogged partisanship of Republicans and the actions of a hacker, Clinton’s private email system might never have come to light.
Nine days after the Benghazi attack, Congress asked for any State Department emails related to the subject. It took two years before Congress was given access to a single email from Clinton’s private account. By then, four House committees and two Senate committees had already issued their reports on the issue.
Ted Cruz has at most 423 delegates and NO path to 1237
Ted Cruz needs 814 more, almost 77% of the remaining 1059 delegates, to get to 1237.
Ain't gonna happen.
Update:
Cruz has won not quite 30% of the 1413 delegates already allocated.
To win 77% of the remaining delegates means improving his performance to date by 156%.
Update:
Cruz has won not quite 30% of the 1413 delegates already allocated.
To win 77% of the remaining delegates means improving his performance to date by 156%.
Trump needs at most 559 delegates: That's 52.78% of the 1059 remaining
Trump has accumulated at least 678 of 1413 delegates awarded so far, 47.98%.
Trump's current total of 678 will rise (to 690?) after Missouri is adjudicated, so he actually needs fewer than 559 delegates (547?).
Missouri expects to award Trump an additional 12 delegates on top of the current 25, as reported here:
On Wednesday, the Missouri Republican Party announced Trump had won 37 delegates, and Cruz won 15.
About only one third of remaining delegates come from states with proportional contests. The rest are in winner take all states.
Bonehead Erick Erickson should stop with the kooky Rick Perry shtick already
Noted here:
[A] meeting among a small group of “GOP operatives” and “conservative leaders" ... included talk of a third-party alternative to take on Trump in the general election.
One of the meeting’s participants, conservative radio host Erick Erickson, told Fox News on Thursday that the idea of a third-party bid was proposed at the meeting as a “final fallback option” to stop Trump.
... Earlier this year, Erickson publicly and privately pitched a potential third-party bid by former Texas Gov. Rick Perry, whose presidential campaigns in 2012 and this cycle did not catch fire. The effort became serious enough that a group of donors contacted Perry directly a few weeks ago, asking him to consider it, but he would not entertain the idea.
Thursday, March 17, 2016
Hey Mark Levin: There's nothing unconstitutional about a compact between the executive and the people . . .
. . . against a judiciary run amok and a congress which no longer represents the people.
It was done in England between the king and his subjects. It can be done here between the president and the voters.
The founders were wiser than you.
Let me translate this Ted Cruz statement for you
Cruz: Every Day Kasich Stays In The Race, It Benefits Donald Trump
Translation: Every day Kasich stays in the race hurts me.
Kasich isn't too smart: Neither Trump nor Cruz can win a general election
Here:
“Neither of those guys can win a general election,” he told reporters after a town hall-style event outside Philadelphia.
Oh yeah?
Ohio results from Tuesday:
Trump: 727,585
Clinton: 679,266
Missouri results from Tuesday:
Cruz: 380,367
Clinton: 310,602
Marco Rubio drops primary ballot challenge to John Kasich in Pennsylvania: Kasich short of the needed 2,000
So it wasn't a matter of principle at work to Rubio, just self-interest while he was still a candidate. Dropping the challenge now that he's out ensures that Rubio's spoiler strategy continues in the person of John Kasich. Denying Trump delegates is still the mission.
Rush Limbaugh and Sean Hannity keep misrepresenting Marco Rubio as a conservative. Little Marco's actions even now prove otherwise.
Rush Limbaugh and Sean Hannity keep misrepresenting Marco Rubio as a conservative. Little Marco's actions even now prove otherwise.
From the story here:
The Kasich campaign's lawyer had agreed that Kasich's paperwork was eight valid signatures short of the 2,000 required, but he maintained that the challenge was invalid because it was filed after the deadline.
Wednesday, March 16, 2016
Florida's Rick Scott joins three other governors endorsing Trump
Noted here:
Florida Gov. Rick Scott is calling on the Republican Party to come together and support Donald Trump. ... Trump has earned the endorsements of current governors Chris Christie of New Jersey, Paul LePage of Maine, and Jan Brewer, the former governor of Arizona.
Told you so: Trump needs only to maintain his current level of support to win, not increase it
The New York Times, here:
If Mr. Trump maintains his current level of support in the remaining races, he would almost certainly secure the nomination.
With delegate allocation still incomplete at Real Clear Politics after yesterday's primaries, Donald Trump needs to garner less than 53% of the remaining delegates to win, a level consistent with his actual performance at the beginning of March (see here).
Trump has consistently needed between 50% and 54% of outstanding delegates to win throughout the period to date since February contests ended.
With his wins yesterday the percentage needed is moving back toward 50%, indicating his momentum is increasing.
Trump has consistently needed between 50% and 54% of outstanding delegates to win throughout the period to date since February contests ended.
With his wins yesterday the percentage needed is moving back toward 50%, indicating his momentum is increasing.
John Boehner voted for Kasich yesterday, calls Cruz "lucifer" and wants Paul Ryan if no one wins the primaries
Here:
"If we don't have a nominee who can win on the first ballot, I'm for none of the above," Boehner said at the Futures Industry Association conference here. "They all had a chance to win. None of them won. So I'm for none of the above. I'm for Paul Ryan to be our nominee."
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