Tuesday, December 13, 2022

Another inflation report is out, the data are bad, but they're trying to spin it that inflation is moderating

 The government's chief inflation measure, so-called core inflation which excludes food and energy (third graph), ticked down to 6% in November. Big whoop. Core inflation has now averaged 6.3% throughout 2022, and was actually slightly lower year over year for two months in the summer than it was in November.

The Fed is failing in its effort to bring inflation down, plain and simple.

Higher prices are the new normal.

Meanwhile food inflation is up 12% year over year after peaking above 13% in the summer. Under Trump food inflation was practically non-existent, but Americans have been forced to cope with it month after month for over a year now, with no end in sight.

And energy inflation year over year has been north of 13% for 21 consecutive months. Go ahead. Count 'em. Under Trump we actually had energy disinflation because his administration, unlike Biden's, enthusiastically supported fracking.

Rising food and energy costs are absolutely core, especially when they deliver a one-two punch to the gut like this.

The people hardest hit don't have a voice, however. They never do. The chattering classes are doing just fine, and all they want to talk about is nonsense. Their lot is with the profiteers from inflation, not with the bottom half of the country.

The poor get poorer.

Same as it ever was.