Thursday, July 28, 2022

The compound annual growth rate for US real GDP over the last 23 years continues almost 44% off the 1929-1999 rate of 3.53%

Recent US GDP: Nominal / Real

4Q2021: $24.0028 trillion / $19.8063 trillion

1Q2022: $24.3867 trillion / $19.7279 trillion

2Q2022: $24.8518 trillion / $19.6817 trillion (first estimate)

BEA, here, Table 3, Line 1.

Everybody's focusing on the short term decline in real GDP this year, as usual, ignoring the much worse big picture.

From 2Q1999 through 2Q2022 the compound annual growth rate comes in at a measly 1.98%, 43.9% off the previous 70-year performance. 

That's the real story about real GDP. We are living in much diminished circumstances since 1999.

And nobody knows how to fix it.