Sunday, May 9, 2021

Correlation is not causation: Daily new cases of COVID-19 fell 75% anyway in Africa even though barely 1% of the continent is vaccinated

The claim that COVID-19 vaccines save lives is not substantiated by declining cases and deaths.

Africa is a good example because it's the least vaccinated continent.

Daily new cases per million fell from 24 in January to 6 now, 75%, even though just 1% of its 1.34 billion people have been vaccinated with one dose.

Cases: Africa

Vaccinations: Africa










Compare North America, population 0.592 billion, the most vaccinated continent.

Over the exact same time period, daily new cases per million have fallen 79%, only just slightly more than in Africa.

The shape of the case graph is damn near indistinguishable from Africa's. You don't have to accept that it's even good data in Africa. Even its bad data, if it is bad, is a mirror image of so-called good North American data.

The idea that North American cases have fallen is because 31% have been vaccinated is preposterous.

Seasonal factors likely play the dominant role in this pandemic, and everything we do to influence it is just pushing on a string.


Cases: North America


  

Vaccinations: North America