COVID-19 deaths per day in the US averaged 769 in June, 851 in July, and 955 in August, per the New York Times data I track.
At the average of these, 858 per day, we'll be at 235,811 by the end of October, and 288,149 by the end of the year.
At the August rate we'll be at 241,728 by 10/31 and 299,983 by the end of the year.
Compound daily growth rates measured weekly over the three months show a decline, a rise, and a decline, producing these comparatively modest ascending results. Daily deaths in April averaged 1,961 and 1,330 in May.
Deaths from COVID-19 in the US in 2020 are already the third leading cause of death, ahead of unintentional injuries using 2017 data as a benchmark, and they will stay that way.
Top causes of 2,813,503 registered deaths in 2017:
Heart disease 647,457
Cancer 599,108
Unintentional injuries 169,936
COPD, other lung diseases 160,201
Stroke, other brain vascular disorders 146,383...
Flu 55,672
More.
