Sunday, September 17, 2023

Let's check in on inflation protected securities

 VIPSX, nominal return

Inception 6/29/2000 to August 31, 2023: 4.43% per annum

 

SPX, average nominal return, dividends fully reinvested

June 2000 through August 2023: 6.90% per annum (4.93% without dividend reinvestment)

 

It's been 23 years of not a bull market

 Average real return per annum from $SPX, dividends fully reinvested:

August 2000 to August 2023:  4.23%
August 1977 to August 2000: 11.35%
 

Thursday, September 14, 2023

DACA again declared illegal by federal judge

 

A federal judge in Texas on Wednesday ruled -- again -- that the federal government's Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program is illegal, but he refrained from taking action to remove protections for the hundreds of thousands of young immigrants shielded under DACA.

The program, which began in 2012 under the Obama administration, currently covers around 600,000 young adults, commonly referred to as "Dreamers," who were illegally brought to the U.S. as children.

More.

TSA: Taking Stuff Actually

 Miami TSA officers seen stealing from passengers in released footage...

Midwest expert: Whatever

 

European Central Bank hikes main interest rate to 4% with core inflation running at 5.3%

 Story.

Yeah, that'll work.

Oil market reports suggesting tighter supply and higher prices through the rest of the year and beyond have fueled inflation fears; 

Mitt Romney's takers still in the news

 

Wednesday, September 13, 2023

The inflation adjusted average price of ground beef in the United States

 In January 1984, ground beef was $1.29/pound.

Adjusted for inflation to August 2023, it should be $3.89/pound, according to the inflation calculator at bls.gov.

Ground beef is actually $5.08/pound, 30.5% higher.

 


Senator Mitt Romney of Utah, 76, will not run for re-election

 No word on whether he plans to join antifa in retirement.

Story.



Overall inflation reversed course and ticked higher in August 2023 on a monthly jump in overall energy prices

 Overall inflation jumped up to 3.7% year-over-year and 0.6% month-over-month on a 5.6% jump in overall energy inflation month-over-month in August 2023.

Month-over-month, electricity was up 0.2%, gasoline was up 10.6%, piped utility gas was up 0.6%, fuel oil and other fuels were up 8.4%. Meanwhile food was up 0.2%.

Core inflation (overall inflation less food and energy) increased mom 0.3% and is still running 4.4% yoy.

Services inflation is still running high at 5.4% yoy, less rent of shelter at 3.1% yoy.

Shelter inflation rose mom 0.3% in both measures, and 7.2% yoy seasonally adjusted.

Going forward I expect inflation pressures to persist because of Biden administration green energy fantasies and hatred of fossil fuels combining with OPEC+ production cuts continuing indefinitely. 





The purchasing power of the US Dollar fell again in August 2023, down 0.3%, now down 15.1% since December 2020

 


The inflation adjusted average price of white potatoes in the United States

 In March 1986, potatoes were $0.21/pound.

Adjusted for inflation to August 2023, they should be $0.59/pound, according to the inflation calculator at bls.gov.

They are actually $1.09, 85% higher.