Thursday, October 6, 2022

Despite 2015 Paris climate agreement, global reliance on coal grew by about 8%, looks to grow 23% more, shattering Greta's world, lol


 The NGOs report said there are currently more than 6,500 coal plant units globally with a combined capacity of 2,067 gigawatts. ...

Urgewald’s Schuecking told CNBC that since the 2015 Paris accord was signed, the global coal plant fleet had seen a net increase of roughly 157 gigawatts. That’s the equivalent of Germany, Russia, Japan and Poland’s coal fleet added up together.

The research found that 467 gigawatts of new coal-fired capacity were still in the pipeline worldwide. And, if realized, these projects would increase the world’s current coal power capacity by 23%. ...

China was found to be responsible for 61% of all planned coal power capacity additions and, perhaps unsurprisingly, the top four coal plant developers were found to be Chinese companies . . .. China Energy Investment Corporation was the world’s top thermal coal producer last year. This was closely followed by Coal India . . ..

I omitted Schuecking's temper tantrum parts of the story, here.

She is, predictably, a German environmentalist wacko who is also against nuclear power. Urgewald is full of crazy Karens just like her who agitate against corporations and try to get individuals like David Malpass of the World Bank fired because they don't mouth the right words like the Paris Climate Accord hypocrites do.

Urgewald is Exhibit A for the prospect of Germans freezing to death this winter.





Tuesday, October 4, 2022

Climate emergency: 2022 average temperature in Grand Rapids MI through September was 0.4 degrees F above the long-term average since 1892


Mean average temperature in Grand Rapids MI through September 2022: 51.5F.

Mean average temperature in Grand Rapids MI through September since 1892: 51.1F.

From the "it's ok when we do it" department: Berkeley Law goes judenrein

 

Denmark restarts two coal and one oil power station, Germany restarts three coal power stations


From the story:

Orsted said the order applied to “unit 3 at Esbjerg Power Station and unit 4 at Studstrup Power Station, which both use coal as their primary source of fuel, and unit 21 at Kyndby Peak Load Plant, which uses oil as fuel.” ...

A few days before Orsted’s announcement, another big European energy firm, Germany’s RWE, said three of its lignite, or brown coal, units would “temporarily return to [the] electricity market to strengthen security of supply and save gas in power generation.”

 

Monday, October 3, 2022

The libertarians are not conservatives' friends

 



Democrat Drudge posts hilarious self-own

 As TV doctor, Oz provided platform for questionable products and views...


 


Global fascists wrecked the US middle class, and now they want to wreck it some more

 UN Calls on Fed to Halt Rate Rises...

US COVID-19 Big Picture Through 9/30/22

 Deaths per day through September 2022 are down from 896 through August to 846 through September.

Cases per day through September 2022 are down from 163,178 through August to 151,878 through September. 

Drilling down, there were 441 deaths per day in September vs. 511 deaths per day in August. May, June, and July figures were all in the 300s.

Cases really fell off. There were 3.222 million new cases in August vs. 1.810 million in September, portending fewer deaths going forward.

The CDC ranked COVID-19 the 3rd leading cause of death in 2020:

~1,909 people per day died of heart disease in 2020;

~1,650 died of cancer everyday in 2020;

~1,146 died of COVID-19 everyday in 2020 measured from Feb 29 when the first death was announced.

The New York Times data I use shows about 4,742 fewer total deaths in 2020 than the CDC does.

But any which way you measure it, even over 365 days in 2020, 2021 deaths per day were much higher than in 2020 and deaths per day now in 2022 at 846 to date are much lower than in either of the previous two years.

 



Sunday, October 2, 2022

The traditional 60/40 portfolio is down 20.77% ytd

 VTSAX is down 24.89% through 9/30.

VBTLX is down 14.59% through 9/30.

And don't forget to subtract all-items inflation of 6.14% from Nov 2021 through Aug 2022!

Headlines are popping up advocating safe havens in cash and short-duration US Treasury securities, but you'll still lose in those relative to inflation, just not as much.

What a great job the Democrats have done this year! Destroying the bond market wasn't on my bingo card for 2022, even though the high and rising prices for bonds has been a deal-breaker for me for a long time.

The Democrats' green war on energy has consequences.

Is real war next?

Friday, September 30, 2022

Spiking interest payments on the national debt through 2Q2022 threaten to crowd out other current spending on Social Security, Medicare, and National Defense

 Wait until the second half is done. 

This is going to be ugly.




The long-term gains from a higher savings rate will trounce the gains from earning higher returns

 Charlie Bilello, here.

But I have problems:


If a household saved 1% of their disposable income per year and earned a 10% rate of return, they would have a balance of $99,272 after 30 years.

Alternatively, if they saved 10% of their disposable per year and earned only a 1% rate of return, they would have a balance of $209,927 after 30 years.

That’s a 111% higher ending balance for the 10% savers as compared to the 1% savers even though their annualized investment returns were 9% lower.

He doesn't mean the "returns were 9% lower" since he's already stated the returns were 111% higher. He means the return RATES were 9% lower. But that's not true. The difference between a 1% return rate and a 10% return rate is not 9%.

It's 90%.

He does it again here, twice:

For instance, if a household only saved 1% per year and earned a 5% return, after 30 years they would have $40,096. Earning a 6% return would bump that up to $47,712, a 19% increase.

By comparison, if their returns stayed at 5% but they were able to save 1% more per year (2% savings rate), they would be left with $80,192 after 30 years. That’s a 100% increase in the ending balance through saving 1% more versus a 19% increase from earning a 1% higher return.

But the difference between saving at 1% vs. 2% is not "to save 1% more" nor "saving 1% more". 

It's saving 100% more.

Aka double.

Furthermore, the difference between returns paying 6% and 5% is not "earning a 1% higher return". 

6% is a 20% higher rate of return than 5%.

He means 1 point of return.

This sort of confusion runs rampant in America, even with a guy who clearly knows how to do percentages and has a very consequential story to tell, and it has to do with imprecision of language. Increasing by one percentage point from 1 to 2 is an increase of 100%. Increasing a percentage by 9 points from 1 to 10 is an increase of 90%. 

It shouldn't be surprising that increasing savings RATES by 90% and 100% produces returns in the end which are also of the same magnitude higher, but for some reason it is.

The precision of the math he presents is extremely important, but the language isn't precise at all.

@charliebillelo has 475k followers on Twitter, lol.

A society which loses such precision is a confused society, and it's showing up in everything, everywhere.


 



 

Thursday, September 29, 2022

This inflation is transitory

 


First it was the US Army actually recruiting a Chinese spy, now its first trans officer is a spy for the Russians but the CNBC story won't mention the trans part or show the picture

 You can't make this shit up.

  
 

 CNBC has updated the story:

Henry in 2015 was reported to be the first known active-duty Army officer to come out as transgender.

Thanks Obama!

Thanks Joe!

The update is still riddled with typos and even an incomplete sentence, but they've made sure to get the major's personal pronouns right.

The major is a real piece of work.

It's all in the eyes.