How long will it take to recover? Seven years like it did under Obama-Biden?
Let's hope not.
The current trajectory looks like civilian employment will recover round about March 2023, a little more than three years after the Feb 2020 peak. That is slightly longer than the typical 2-3 years during recessions.
Foolish energy and vaccine policies could interfere with that, however.
'It was long and loud and impossible to ignore,' the source said. 'Camilla hasn't stopped talking about it.'
Ajit Lalvani, chair of infectious diseases at Imperial College London and lead author of the household-transmission study, said people in their 40s were at higher risk of breakthrough infection for two reasons. “Waning immunity plus pools of unvaccinated people acting as vectors of infection into the household where it transmits effectively to vaccinated parents,” he said. “Both are happening.”
Most people in their 40s received their second vaccination at least four months ago. ... They are also the most-likely age band to share a home with teenage children, a group that is still mostly unvaccinated in the U.K. and in which case numbers have been surging. The household-transmission study, which tracked 205 vaccinated and unvaccinated household contacts of a symptomatic case of Covid-19, found that around a quarter of those who were fully vaccinated went on to develop a breakthrough infection. The study, published in the medical journal Lancet Infectious Diseases last week, found that unvaccinated household members had a 38% chance of infection.
More.
Year over year Apr-Oct 2021 US COVID-19 cases are up 71% from 9.02m to 15.45m; deaths are down 14% from 226,208 to 193,877.
The bill was opposed in the House by almost all Republicans, and by six far-left Democrats who were outmaneuvered by thirteen moderate Republicans who threw their support to the plan, which 19 Republican US Senators had voted for earlier this summer.
The House progressives had insisted that the infrastructure plan be voted on together with Biden's social spending plan in order to force moderate Democrats to go along with the latter. The House Republican votes for the Senate bill ended up thwarting that linkage, making it even more likely that the House version of the social spending plan will have to be much less ambitious.
A small group of House Democrats have insisted the Congressional Budget Office score the impact of the separate social spending plan, which would have been standard operating procedure under Republicans but which Democrats under Pelosi have been avoiding until now. They don't give a damn about the true costs. They've even claimed absurdly a $3.5 trillion social spending plan will cost NOTHING. Ha ha ha ha ha.
That ranks among the most shameless attempts to change reality through a talking point ever attempted.
Whatever comes out of the House on that will face the hard scrutiny of Democrat Senators Manchin and Sinema regardless.
The bipartisan bill would reauthorize surface transportation and water programs for five years, adding $550 billion in new spending.
It includes $110 billion for roads, bridges and major projects; $39 billion for transit and $66 billion for rail; $65 billion for broadband; $65 billion for the electric grid; $55 billion to upgrade water infrastructure and $25 billion for airports.
WaPo:
The bill includes more than $110 billion to replace and repair roads, bridges and highways, and $66 billion to boost rail, making it the most substantial such investment in the country’s passenger and commercial network since the creation of Amtrak about half a century ago. Lawmakers provided $55 billion to improve the nation’s water supply and replace lead pipes, $60 billion to modernize the power grid and billions in additional sums to expand speedy Internet access nationwide.
Many of the investments aim to promote green energy and combat some of the country’s worst sources of pollution. At Biden’s behest, for example, lawmakers approved $7.5 billion to build out a national network of vehicle charging stations. Reflecting the deadly, costly consequences of global warming, the package also allocates another roughly $50 billion to respond to emergencies including droughts, wildfires and major storms.
What has any politician done for you and your kids in 20 years?
Still way off the (lousy) Trump peak of 50.4% in 2019.
Maybe the non-Hispanic white people at PEW should try that on the African Americans. I'm sure that would go over well.
It's not, but it sure as hell would be associated with another ice age.
Glenn Beck might as well be another AOC.
The kooks on the left scared the normies.
It could have easily gone the other way.
Conservatism keeps redefining itself leftward.
Amazing he can spell "Kaepernick" but can't come up with "equates".
Halloween candy.
Not a serious country.
And of course, pretty much every morning, what we had assumed was a joke turns out to be entirely real. It's actually happening. The Biden administration really is that crazy. They really are firing thousands of nurses in the middle of a pandemic, firing thousands of cops in the middle of a crime wave. No, they're not kidding, even in the slightest, when they tell you that's a genuine female four-star admiral standing right there. Joe Biden isn't giggling. He tells you Rachel Levine's promotion is a victory for women everywhere, and he means it when he says it.
More.
Like the full court press by the federal government to exaggerate the January 6 debacle as an insurrection, the "reparations" scheme is designed to do just one thing: Paint the record of Donald Trump in the worst possible light.
One of the most distinctive features about America is how its leadership on both sides fails to take seriously the real problems facing the country while taking too seriously merely imaginary ones.
This is how a nation declines and falls.
Somewhere, out there, there's an iceberg, waiting for its moment.
In the end, what I believe doesn’t really matter. History will out. Ten or 15 or 25 years from now there will a reckoning, deep research, a spate of biographies and memoirs from the people who spent 2020-21 under the sway of gurus. News media that trumpeted their wisdom and methods will issue brisk, researched, documentary-style reports. People will swarm out of the shadows to claim they didn’t really believe the experts embodied science and were secretly resisting all along; even those who preached their gospel and strong-armed the public’s obedience will insist they actually did not.
Draco will have to do better than that.
There were roughly 17.5 million students enrolled as of the last tally.
Combined with last autumn’s declines, the number of undergraduate students in college is now down 6.5% compared to two years ago — the largest two-year enrollment drop in the last 50 years, the report found. ...
Only the most selective colleges notched enrollment gains — up 4.3% — to return to pre-pandemic levels. ...
Community colleges remain the most adversely affected sector, experiencing a 14.1% total enrollment decline since fall 2019. ...
Community college students likely are older, lower-income and often balancing work, children and other obligations — and they are also disproportionately students of color. These are all groups that the pandemic hit especially hard.
More.
Breakthrough hospitalizations and deaths showed modest declines compared to August proportions of 14% and 17% respectively. Since hospitalizations and deaths are lagging indicators, however, the rise in breakthrough cases from 14% to 16% may be a harbinger of more bad news in Tennessee.
The data isn't presented in a straightforward manner. Subtract the percentages shown in the table from 100 to get the breakthrough figures. I can imagine some idiot looking at that table, wondering what the hell he's lookin' at.
Vaccines do not make one bulletproof, as story after story makes plain. This is especially the case for the elderly, for whom the risk of death is the highest, vaccinated or not. Waning vaccine effectiveness is only the second biggest concern facing this group.
But in Tennessee you wouldn't know risk of death is highest if you are old anyway, if you relied on Tennessee's COVID statewide dashboard, hilariously entitled "unified command". You won't find death information visualized anywhere, let alone by age. Cases are visualized by age, which is even more misleading to the elderly since cases abound among the younger tranches, not the older.
You really have to hunt for the death data on a different page and download the data in XLS format from a long list of available data sets entitled "Daily Age Group Outcomes- Statewide case outcomes by age group", and then do the math. And do you see the word "death" in there anywhere?
It's really irresponsible. It's almost like Tennessee is trying to hide the deaths from its old people, and throw shade on the vaccines, by publishing the breakthrough data in a weird way, at the same time. A conspiracy theorist would say they're tryin' to get rid of 'em, real quiet like.
I count 13,119 deaths in TN to date from COVID in people 61 years of age or older, which is about 82% of all the pandemic deaths in the state.
Tennessee really, really sucks at this.
Last week's PROPORTION OF BREAKTHROUGH CASES BY MONTH OF ONSET AS OF OCTOBER 11, 2021 showed the percent of cases vaccinated for October to date at 9.8%, the highest for any month yet.
This week the table is missing, with this message:
At this time, we are currently working on refining the process for identifying breakthrough infections and reinfections. Once we have finalized this process, we will resume providing tables on breakthrough infections and reinfections.
I'm sure it's nothing.
While neglected, the STI crisis presents a serious public health problem. ...
But Harvey warns that a coordinated effort by national health agencies such as the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the National Institutes of Health and Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services is needed to combat the waning STI crisis.
Here.
You can always count on THE GRAUNIAD to be clear as mud.
Maybe we should cut down on the immigration:
More than 2.5 million cases of chlamydia, gonorrhea & syphilis reported in 2019.
Rates for African American or Black people were 5-8 times that of non-Hispanic White people.
Rates for American Indian or Alaska Native and Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander people were 3-5 times that of non-Hispanic White people.
Rates for Hispanic or Latino people were 1-2 times that of non-Hispanic White people.
Gay and bisexual men make up nearly half of all 2019 primary and secondary syphilis cases.
Gonorrhea rates were 42 times that of heterosexual men in some areas.
More.
CDC is capitalizing White people now.
Thank you.
A Mount Holyoke College professor of art and Asian studies has been sentenced to 10-12 years in the slammer for nearly killing her female colleague who "should have known" she was in love with her:
Rie Hachiyanagi, an arts professor at Mount Holyoke College, was
sentenced to 10 to 12 years in prison on Wednesday over the 2019 attack
on fellow professor Lauret Savoy, MassLive reports. ...
When the victim let her in, Hachiyanagi bludgeoned her with a rock, fireplace poker and garden shears during a twisted, four-hour attack. ...
Hachiyanagi — who specializes in handmade paper crafts and performance art — had allegedly driven to the victim’s house uninvited the night of Dec. 23, claiming she “wanted to talk about her feelings,” according to a police report.
Once inside, she began attacking the victim, who is over the age of 60, with a myriad of household objects, including rocks, garden clippers and a fire poker, WWLP reported.
Price of one year at Mount Holyoke College in 2019-20: $67,578 for tuition, room, and board. Performance art included at no extra charge.
Can't we all just get along?
Fauci predicted this on December 15, 2020 and again on April 28, 2021.
It turns out he said the same thing as late as June 3:
Having about 50% of adults fully vaccinated and about 62% of adults having received at least one dose across the US as a whole means “as a nation, I feel fairly certain you’re not going to see the kind of surges we’ve seen in the past,” Fauci said.
Three strikes, NPR, WSJ, CNN, and you are out!
The report indicated scientists believe as much as 90% of the
tuberculosis disease released by an infected person could be carried in
the aerosol particles. ...
It was previously believed transmission primarily occurred through coughing, which sprayed heavy droplets containing the bacteria onto others, according to the New York Times report.
Research throughout the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic increasingly found the virus also spread through the air in tiny particles, though that mode of transmission was not fully appreciated in the early stages of the pandemic.
"However, this Task Force recommendation is not for people already taking aspirin for a previous heart attack or stroke; they should continue to do so unless told otherwise by their clinician."
The word "stop" never occurs in the story.
Frozen green beans again tonight.
This shortage business is really weird.
I'm thinking it's not a shortage of product but of help. The store manager was actually working the produce section, spreading out the cabbages where what I was looking for went so that the shelves didn't look so barren.
Checkout was handled by another store manager, who complained "no one wants to work on weekends".
Climate Update for KGRR: September 2021
The anomaly at or below -0.5 persisted for 10 out of 12 overlapping periods in the 2020-2021 measuring season. For the first two periods of the 2021-2022 measuring season the anomaly continues in the negative at sum -0.9. The deepest anomaly in the last season was -1.3 in the October-November-December period, which is considered neither weak nor strong, but middling.
The trend toward lower ONI values since 1951 is consistent with wetter conditions in the Upper Midwest of the US, and greater incidence of tropical storms in the Atlantic from the 1980s. There is no need to adduce "global warming":
the historical tropical storm count record does not provide compelling evidence for a greenhouse warming induced long-term increase.
Gina from San Jose, Christina from South Dakota, Candy from Oklahoma, and Jackie from San Diego.
On Oct. 7, there were reportedly around 60 container ships waiting in open water outside Los Angeles and Long Beach for berths to dock in and unload their goods. Before the pandemic, it was unusual to see even one vessel waiting for a slip. ...
Skyrocketing costs are also part of the problem. Over the past year, the cost to have one container shipped by freighter from China to the West Coast has soared from around $3,000 in Aug. 2020 to more than $20,000 in September of this year.
More.
Breakthrough COVID-19 cases in fully vaccinated Minnesotans have been increasing amid the rise of the delta variant, which is responsible for more than 99% of new infections in the state.
The rise could reflect waning immunity in the earliest vaccine recipients, which include seniors and people with underlying illnesses who tend to have weaker immune system responses to the shots. ...
Minneapolis-based Allina Health reported 249 patients hospitalized for COVID-19 on Monday, and that 77 (31%) were fully vaccinated. Among 51 patients receiving intensive care, six (12%) were fully vaccinated. ...
Bloomington-based HealthPartners similarly reported that it cared for 424 COVID-19 patients in its hospitals over the past 30 days, and that 25% were fully vaccinated. Among the 74 requiring intensive care, 19% were fully vaccinated.
More.
Scalise thinks several states did not follow their election laws existing at the time and that state legislatures were by-passed in the process of changing such laws, which is prohibited by the constitution, in the fit of coronavirus hysteria gripping the country in 2020.
These things are demonstrable but blacked out by the powers that be, which could care less about following Article 1, Section 4.
Scalise has a good voting record when it comes to immigration issues, but he can hardly be described as Trumpian. His voting record has helped maintain the status quo on spending and he is frequently bemoaned as just another RINO.
He joined with most Republicans after all, including Liz Cheney, to pass a resolution condemning the QAnon wackos in October 2020.
The effort by the media to make Republican reasonableness look radical is outrageous, but that is where we are.
The problem for Scalise and for those who make the same argument, however, is that no Republican state legislature had the gumption post-election to do anything about it. They all acquiesced, just as they had acquiesced to allow state bureaucrats to whom they had delegated authority usurp their prerogatives in the first place.
This abdication of responsibility is what is killing the country, all over the place. Into the vacuum sweep the radical forces which would overturn everything.
We're screwed.
Anthony Fauci, The Wall Street Journal, Apr 28, 2021:
"When you get to somewhere between 40 -50%, I believe you’re going to start seeing real change, the start of a precipitous drop in cases”.
Obviously cases exploded because Fauci was wildly mistaken about the vaccines and 165 million fully-vaccinated Americans were as capable of spreading C19 from Aug 1 as were the fewer than 500 fully-vaccinated but infected Provincetown, MA, revelers on Jul 4. Half of those revelers were vaccinated only 6-86 days before they became infected there.
The CDC reversed itself on masks far too late, on Jul 27, after it realized that Provincetown showed that the vaccines do not stop the spread.
This is the dirtiest little secret of the year, too dirty to be repeated in public.
Chappelle won’t be cancelled. He can’t be. ... He values the truth and just being funny more highly than the shrivelled respect you win when you succumb to the diktats of the clerisy.
More.
