Sunday, December 10, 2023

Donald Trump 2023 is Bill Clinton 1992/1996 winning with a plurality because of third party candidates in Wall Street Journal poll


 

West's alignment with Hamas and Kennedy's openly stated purpose as a spoiler candidate combine to make them chiefly candidacies hurting the incumbent Joe Biden, but everything depends on them getting on the ballot in enough places.

Perot bled votes away from the incumbent George H. W. Bush in 1992, and from Republican Bob Dole in 1996, resulting in Clinton winning each contest but not with 50% of the popular vote.

 

  • Trump 37, Biden 31, Kennedy 8, West 3, Manchin 3, Stein 2, Mapstead 1