Thursday, May 28, 2020

Nine days after hitting the 90,000 threshold, Johns Hopkins shows over 100,000 COVID-19 deaths in the US

The addition of 10,000 deaths in nine days instead of seven, six and five previously shows how the stay-at-home policy in the US has slowed down the spread of infection and therefore the rate at which deaths have been adding to the total.

Using the convenient data shown at The Straits Times, there are still 1,153,566 active cases in the US after subtracting deaths and recoveries from total cases. At the case fatality rate of 5.8% we can expect 66,907 additional deaths within 4-6 weeks.

Adding more cases, however, will obviously mean adding more deaths beyond the current projection of about 167,000 deaths.