This updates my look at 2016 candidate underperformance relative to 2008 from almost three weeks ago. The total picture for Hillary improved by about 440,000 votes in the interim, or about 11,000 votes per state on average, but doesn't change the conclusion. Hillary was far and away more revolting to the voters in 2016 than was Trump. Hillary still lags Obama 2008 by 3.7 million votes net and Obama 2012 by 74,000 votes. For his part Donald Trump has surpassed George W. Bush 2004 by 940,000 votes with 62.98 million votes, the most for any Republican in any presidential contest.
Hillary 2016 underperformed Obama 2008 in:
MI by 603,000 votes (and lost to Trump by 11,000)
OH by 546,000 (lost by 447,000)
MO by 371,000
PA by 350,000 (lost by 45,000)
IN by 341,000
IL by 328,000
WI by 294,000 (lost by 22,000)
NY by 257,000
TN by 216,000
MN by 205,000 (won by only 45,000)
IA by 175,000 (lost by 147,000)
KY by 123,000
WV by 115,000
CT by 100,000
*KS by 88,000
*NM by 87,000 (won by only 65,000)
AL by 83,000
*OK by 82,000
*MS by 70,000
*NJ by 67,000
ME by 64,000 (won by only 22,000)
HI by 59,000
MT by 54,000
SD by 54,000
NE by 49,000
ND by 47,000
ID by 46,000
RI by 44,000
AR by 42,000
*VT by 40,000
NH by 36,000 (won by only 3,000)
OR by 35,000
WY by 27,000
DE by 19,000
*UT by 17,000
*WA by 8,000
*AK by 8,000
SC by 7,000
LA by 3,000.
That's 5.16 million former Democrat votes alienated from Hillary Clinton in 2016 in 39 states, 57% of which came from the 8 Great Lakes states (2.924 million), according to the latest numbers this morning, almost six weeks since Election 2016.
Trump underperformed John McCain in only 12 states and DC and by just 792,000 votes, 67% of which were in California alone:
In CA by 527,000 votes
*UT by 81,000
*AK by 31,000
*KS by 29,000
*NM by 27,000
*MS by 24,000
MA by 18,000
MD by 17,000
*NJ by 12,000
*OK by 11,000
*WA by 7,000
*VT by 4,000
DC by 4,000.
*nine states where both 2016 candidates underperformed their 2008 counterparts
