Tuesday, February 5, 2013

Theoretical Oil Investing Years Since 1980 According To The Gold/Oil Ratio


Theoretically according to the gold/oil ratio, oil investing years might include any year when the gold/oil ratio rose above 15, that is, when the price of an ounce of gold was "more expensive" than 15 barrels of oil, say about 25 barrels as in 1998, indicating that the price of oil was a bargain relative to gold:


1980  16.37

1986  25.10
1987  25.51
1988  29.39 ($14.87/barrel)
1989  20.81
1990  16.54
1991  17.94
1992  17.86
1993  21.49
1994  24.52
1995  22.91
1996  18.95
1997  17.45
1998  24.71 ($11.91/barrel)
1999  16.86

2009  18.17
2010  17.20
2011  18.06
2012  19.76
2013  15.71

You'll notice very few ads on the radio, on the internet, or generally, for oil. You don't have to sell something that's on sale. Gold ads proliferate for a reason: Gold is too expensive, but the mother of idiots is always pregnant, providing another customer.