Sunday, April 25, 2021

141 pages of vaccine horror stories

 https://drive.google.com/file/d/1uS4krGJX-7sa8fuRlH7mhod-Xa5ZBsXU/view

The longer the pandemic continues, the more it looks to be a seasonal, 2-hump phenomenon

 


The Africa graph is the most compelling, since it represents the "control continent" where there has been the least human intervention to shape the progress of the disease in comparison with developed world places like Europe and North America.

But even Israel shows the phenomenon, as do California, Arizona, Texas and Florida. Early attempts to keep the virus at bay reduced the size of hump one, here more, here less, depending on the varying local containment efforts and the varying degree to which people complied with them.

Homo proponit, sed coronavirus disponit.




Monday, April 19, 2021

Even calling NASA's helicopter on Mars a helicopter is a gross exaggeration: It's a frickin' drone and doesn't even have room for Buzz Lightyear

Dimensions: Fuselage (body): 5.4 in × 7.7 in × 6.4 in



Someone should tell NASA Mars helicopter team that a Wright Brothers moment requires a HUMAN piloting a PLANE

NASA scores Wright Brothers moment with first helicopter flight on Mars :

"The twin-rotor whirligig's debut on the Red Planet marked a 21st-century Wright Brothers moment for NASA . . .. NASA engineers affixed a tiny swath of wing fabric from the original Wright flyer under Ingenuity's solar panel before sending it on its way to Mars."



Nothing captures the ridiculous character of the present exaggerated age better than this celebration over a 3-meter helicopter flight on Mars

 


                                                                                                         Dare Mighty Things!




Sunday, April 18, 2021

US COVID-19 update Mar 20 - Apr 17, 2021

Hospitalized Mar 20: 33164
                     Apr 17: 39090
                     +18%

Case positivity rate Mar 20: 4.5%
                                Apr 13: 7.6%
                                +69%

Daily new deaths per million Mar 20: 3.13
                                               Apr 17:  2.17
                                               -31%

Daily new deaths Mar 20: 1038
                             Apr 17:   719
                             -31%

But . . .

The bi-weekly change in confirmed deaths was dropping much faster on Mar 23, 37.15%, than it is on Apr 17, 7.4%. Indeed, the Mar 23 low was a retest of the 2020 low from last June 2 at 33.6%, after the initial outbreak of the pandemic subsided. It is itself the new low in the series.

There's been a dramatic slow down in the drop of bi-weekly change. The measure has itself been consistently rising since the advent of spring.


 























That doesn't make any sense in an environment in which increased vaccination, which is supposed to reduce severity of illness and therefore hospitalization and death, is occurring.

Share fully vaccinated Mar 20: 12.9%
                                     Apr 17: 24.7%
                                     +91%

Hospitalizations are clearly up, and deaths are falling but at a much slower rate than they were falling when there was much less vaccination, and colder weather, in the country.

Warmer weather is supposed to mean improving conditions. People get outside and get fresh air and Vitamin D, reducing spread of the infection. That's the theory anyway.

But the data say otherwise.

Daily new confirmed cases per million hit an interim low of 162.17 on Mar 14, and retested that on Mar 23 at 162.12. As of Apr 16 the figure is 211.77, up 31%. Those levels are nothing to write home about. ~100 per million, as in September 2020, would be.

This virus has a mind of its own. 

Homo proponit, sed SARS-CoV-2 disponit.

Friday, April 16, 2021

It still amazes me that I actually thought in March 2020 that the US and South Korea would travel similar pandemic trajectories

South Korea is an open society. It's not a lie like China.

Just look at this outcome. 

We are so pathetic.





Wednesday, April 14, 2021

LOL, Drudge is still running the show after all


"His clients, many Jews like Madoff and Jewish charities, said they didn’t know."


Seasonality: It's uncanny how C19 daily new cases seem to have bottomed around astronomical spring, March 20th

 













Hospitalizations, currently at 37,933, also seem to have done the same thing.




Monday, April 12, 2021

The National Weather Service predicts Ice-Out for the Tanana River at Nenana will be at the usual time, with river ice normal depth after big cold snap in February and March into April

 



C19 case growth in South America and Asia is out of control, still on the rise in North America with the US case positivity rate soaring

 































The US case positivity rate should concern everyone. It's up over 60% since mid March to 7%. Epidemics are considered out of control at 10%.

The irony is full vaccination in the US is up a nearly identical percentage since mid March.

We continue to hear this is a race against cases, which came down by themselves dramatically without vaccinations, and now are rising quite smartly with them.

This should not be happening if the vaccines work.

The Israelis have released preliminary results of a study showing outsized C19 breakthrough cases of the South African variant in patients who received the Pfizer vaccine, calling into question Pfizer's own claims about this. 




Saturday, April 10, 2021

Michigan has rapidly turned into a COVID-19 basket case

Michigan is increasingly failing to cope with COVID-19.

It's now Number One for daily new cases per 100k of population in the 7, 14, and 30 day measures.

And in the last 7 days Michigan now ranks Number One for daily new cases period, beating out New York.

Amazingly, Michigan is now Number Two in the nation for C19 hospitalizations.

A month ago, on Mar 9, it wasn't even in the top 14 for hospitalizations.

As recently as Mar 22 it was ninth.





Thursday, April 8, 2021

Johns Hopkins: US COVID-19 deaths reach 560k, big backfill in Oklahoma this week added momentum

 



Ice-Out for The Nenana Ice Classic is going to be delayed, but it's too late to buy your ticket anyway

All-time April low could fall in Alaskan city :

"A cold snap this extreme in April hasn’t been experienced in the Fairbanks area since 1911, when three consecutive record lows were set from April 9-11," Duff said. Two of these record lows are likely to be challenged during the latest cold wave, including Thursday night’s record of minus 16 F and Friday night’s record of minus 32 F.

Nenana Ice Classic 2021 

Hey! Where's the rope on that thing?

Earliest Ice-Out ever since 1917 was April 14 (2019).