The Real Clear Politics average presently has Clinton at +2.2. The average margin of error of six of the most recent polls is 3.4.
Monday, August 1, 2016
Sunday, July 31, 2016
Clinton gets one-point bump in PPP poll, PPP calls this "much more positive"
Here.
She's at +5 now but she was at +7 in the spring.
Where's the love for this nothing burger, man?
Saturday, July 30, 2016
Hillary Clinton is a clean energy CRACKPOT
Hillary Clinton said today in Johnstown, PA, here:
"We're going to install half a billion solar panels and generate enough clean energy to power every home in America within 10 years."
Oh where oh where to begin?
Your average residential customer used 911 kWh/month in 2014.
Where I live where the sun gives me about 4 to 4.5 sun hours per day, this means I'd need a 9kw system.
A complete do-it-yourself system (!) of that size will cost me $17,600! (And let's not even mention all the things that will not do for me that the current grid does).
But guess what? It's composed of 36 PANELS!
500 million panels divided by 36 yields just south of 14 million homes equipped like mine.
But in 2014 there were almost 134 million households, so 120 million of you are OUT OF LUCK!
Meanwhile the cost for the lucky 13.8 million is about $243 billion, which I'm sure Hillary will make Donald Trump pay for.
Solar power still accounts for just 1.07% of total US electricity in 2016 despite Barack Obama's many promises to expand it, about 43.2 TWh using the most generous assumptions.
Residential customers alone consumed 1,407.2 TWh of electricity in 2014, about 34% of total 2014 consumption.
To come close to doing with solar what Hillary Clinton promised today would cost well in excess of $2 trillion.
Not. Gonna. Happen. Ever.
Friday, July 29, 2016
You'd think by now Rush Limbaugh would have connected last night's Democrat "patriotism" to Rahm Emanuel's 2006 strategy
In 2006 Rahm Emanuel successfully recruited "conservatives" to run for Congress and wrested control of the House away from Republicans by running them as pro-lifers and fiscal conservatives in competitive districts. The strategy worked and set the stage for the failure of the Bush administration and the 2008 election of Barack Obama.
The sudden eruption of overt patriotism at the Democrat convention this week after Republican criticisms should worry the Trump campaign. Lyin' Ted is history. Now it's Lyin' Hillary, not just about her e-mails and Benghazi, but now about her love of country.
They're trying to fool the country again. And you know the saying about foolin' some of the people . . . some of the people is all it takes.
GDP "anomalies" have been showing since 2011 that "the US economy is in serious, long-term trouble"
Jeffrey Snider, here:
The US economy is in serious, long-term trouble. We knew that very well by the volatile nature of GDP almost from the start (the big negative in Q1 2011, for example). Because orthodox economics is entirely obsessed with the economy that “should be”, it favors smoothing out what is truly pertinent texture because it isn’t directly cyclical by implication. What the mainstream needs is not to try to turn statistics into “ideal” numbers, but to actually see them for what they represent especially when they stray into unexpected ranges. From that perspective, weak quarters were not “anomalies” to be dismissed in a fit of confirmation bias, but rather warnings that actually explain how we got here and why everything from economists, especially“overheating”, was unlikely from the start.
After 30 pathetic quarters Obama GDP lags Bush GDP by 35%
Bush grew current dollar GDP by 41.5% after 30 quarters. Obama has grown GDP by just 26.7%.
Bush GDP grew by $4.34 trillion while Obama GDP grew by $3.89 trillion over the comparable periods.
Current dollar GDP in the last three years has been growing by an average of $596 billion year over year. With two quarters to go and if that average continues to obtain, Obama GDP will grow by $4.2 trillion total, or 29%.
Bush GDP finished up 39%.
Obama GDP is thus likely to end up lagging Bush GDP by over 25% in the final analysis.
Under Bill Clinton current dollar GDP grew by $3.77 trillion or 56%.
Thursday, July 28, 2016
Michael Savage is an idiot, says for the average American the economy's doing just fine
Wealth insulates this book-selling jibber-jabberer with a microphone from the facts, because he has no incentive to look into them.
Incomes are flat since January 2000, housing and other hard assets are sky high and out of reach for 90% of individual wage earners. Full-time jobs are barely 2.75 million higher in number today than they were in 2007. This fool doesn't have a clue what he's talking about.
Don't worry, though, tomorrow the economy will be terrible, and he might even notice because all he does is follow the headlines.
GDP revisions come out in the morning at 0830 hours, Eastern. That should give him plenty of time to think about it, being on the Left coast as he is.
But will he?
Wednesday, July 27, 2016
Trump's smart campaign is hard at work in Michigan, Wisconsin and Ohio
The Trump campaign is deploying Mike Pence to Grand Rapids and Novi in Michigan today and tomorrow, and Waukesha, Wisconsin tomorrow.
Trump himself is in Toledo, Ohio today.
West Michigan and Wisconsin were Cruz country in the primary season, places where a traditional conservative like Mike Pence will get a more positive response.
Hillary's Deputy Chief of Staff at State, Jake Sullivan, is suddenly worried about "national security" but used Hillary's private server
Here's Sullivan on Trump's remarks made at his one hour news conference today:
Said advisor Jake Sullivan: "This has to be the first time that a major presidential candidate has actively encouraged a foreign power to conduct espionage against his political opponent. That's not hyperbole, those are just the facts. This has gone from being a matter of curiosity, and a matter of politics, to being a national security issue."
But Politico reported in February, here:
Hillary Clinton's top national security and foreign policy staffer Jake Sullivan was one of the authors of messages that appeared on several Hillary Clinton email chains recently labeled "top secret" by the State Department, according to multiple intelligence sources who have seen the correspondence.
The GOP details Jake Sullivan's own role in the compromises of national security here.
One law for thee, another for Facebook
Flouting the law for a seventh time, without consequence, here.
See what happens to you when you do that.
Bernie supporter from Missouri utters self-fulfilling prophecy: There's no democracy in America so I'm not going to vote!
Noted here:
"We all have this unrealistic dream that democracy is alive in America," said Debra Dilks, of Boonville, Missouri, who said she wasn't sure she'll vote in November. "Hillary didn't get the nomination. The nomination was stolen." ...
The longstanding bitterness between Sanders' supporters and Clinton's seemed to grow worse over the past few days after a trove of hacked emails showed that officials at the Democratic National Committee played favorites during the primaries and worked to undermine Sanders' campaign.
Tuesday, July 26, 2016
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