Friday, March 4, 2016
Sorry Sean Hannity, Ted Cruz has no path to 1237
Ted Cruz currently has 226 delegates committed to him. This is 33% of the 688 already allocated in the contests to date.
Cruz still needs 1011 delegates to get to 1237, which is 57% of the 1784 delegates still up for grabs, not 33%.
Ted Cruz is going to ramp up his support by 24 points in all the future contests? I don't think so. Improving his wins by 73% is not in the cards.
Ted Cruz needs to think about an eventual alliance, or hope for a brokered convention.
Michael Goodwin calls Mitt Romney a coward
Here in "Romney is too much a coward to say what’s really on his mind":
Romney wants back in, but doesn’t have the nerve to come out and say it. So typical, and another example of what so many Republicans like about Trump. As writer and Fox commentator Monica Crowley put it, frustrated GOP voters “want a street fighter,” and in Trump, they finally have one. ... [Romney] stood mute as a biased moderator sided with President Obama on Benghazi in the crucial second debate. ...
[W]hat he hoped would be seen as a principled stand against Trump was, in fact, a disingenuous and selfish act. His failure to endorse either Marco Rubio or Ted Cruz is most revealing. Romney’s only hope for stealing the nomination is a brokered GOP convention where nobody has a majority of delegates on the first ballot and he emerges as a compromise. And the only way for that to happen is for both Rubio and Cruz to collect enough delegates so that Trump can’t reach the magic number of 1,237.
Rubio after Detroit debate polls LAST at Drudge, Kasich does surprisingly well
Once again I thought Kasich did himself proud at the debate.
It's sad "adult behavior" like his is now the exception rather than the rule.
In the old days, however, everyone acted like Kasich, or tried to, and they were judged on fundamentals of policy as opposed to behavioral standards which were simply expected of everyone and taken for granted.
Being the adult in the room does not make Kasich right today.
Boots on the ground again in the Middle East is not going to cut it.
The Excommunicators: Republicans have a fractured party because of people like Marco Rubio and Mitt Romney
And Paul Ryan and Ben Sasse and Bill Kristol, Tim Carney, Erick Erickson, Jennifer Rubin, Jim Geraghty, Jonah Goldberg, Glenn Beck, Montel Williams, Cecile Richards, Planned Parenthood, Max Boot, Van Jones, National Review, Christine Todd Whitman, Meg Whitman, Steve Deace, Conservative Review, Rick Wilson, Ken Mehlman, Mona Charen, Daniel Pipes, Lawyers for Rubio, Neal Boortz, Conn Carroll, Pete Wehner, Wipe Out GOP 2016 . . .
Thursday, March 3, 2016
Interesting theory from Mark Levin, but it's not at all convincing
Today's speech by Romney was a campaign speech for himself because Romney didn't endorse anyone in it, says Levin. In other words, Romney's saying he's available at convention.
Maybe, but this doesn't explain why Romney didn't move earlier to stop Trump, nor does it cohere with the well known fact that Romney had to be persuaded to run in 2012. He didn't have the fire in the belly then, and he doesn't now.
Jeb dropped out 11 days ago (seems like an eternity, right?), but has been on the ropes since July 2015 when Trump began to eclipse him. That's seven long months ago and $150 million goes only so far. But crickets from Romney all during that time. The establishment hasn't had a viable alternative the whole time, either. Certainly not in Rubio, who fancies himself a Reagan conservative but who has only cozied up to the establishment as a political calculation late in the game.
Romney didn't move earlier because he's always been a spineless coward. He decided to act now because he felt he had enough cover from the many elites who had finally expressed their opposition to Trump in adequate number.
Romney wouldn't fight Obama for a similar reason. He didn't have enough any cover. Republicans have given Obama a pass every single day. Romney wouldn't even fight Candy Crowley. That's because establishment Republicans want media approval. They never fight the media.
Romney is a follower, not a leader, and that's why he's a loser.
But Trump is a leader and a fighter, and he's taking over the party. And he's going to be a winner, and already is.
Wake up people: Trump is outperforming Romney in primaries to date by 1.8 to 1
Data here.
Not only could Trump buy Romney 40 times over, he's outperforming the failed politician by 80%.
Not only could Trump buy Romney 40 times over, he's outperforming the failed politician by 80%.
Hillary's private server set-up man, Bryan Pagliano, reportedly given immunity after pleading the 5th last fall
WaPo story reported here in USA Today.
Trump 2016 trounces Romney 2012 in 13 states which have already voted by 1.8 to 1: 2.5 million votes to 1.4 million
The only state Mitt Romney won over Trump so far is liberal Vermont!
Georgia: Trump .501m / Romney .233m
Tennessee: Trump .332m / Romney .154m
Virginia: Trump .355m / Romney .158m
Massachusetts: Trump .311m / Romney .265m
Vermont: Trump .019m / Romney .023m
Minnesota: Trump .024m / Romney .008m
Alabama: Trump .371m / Romney .180m
Oklahoma: Trump .130m / Romney .080m
Alaska: Trump .007m / Romney .004m
Iowa: Trump .045m / Romney .029m
South Carolina: Trump .239m / Romney .168m
New Hampshire: Trump .100m/ Romney .097m
Nevada: Trump .034m / Romney .016m
The Texas primary was a late primary in 2012 after all other challengers had been vanquished, on May 29, instead of early in 2016. Romney took 1m votes vs. Trump's .757m in 2016. But Ted Cruz has won the Texas primary in 2016 with 1.239m votes, beating Romney by almost 24%.
The Arkansas primary was also late in 2012, on May 22. Romney took .104m votes vs. Trump's .133m in 2016.
Add in these two contests and Trump in 2016 beats Romney in 2012 3.358m votes to 2.519m to date, or 1.3 to 1, which in other words is by 33%.
Mitt. Romney. Loser.
Donald Trump has already eclipsed the total votes received by either Newt Gingrich or Ron Paul in 2012
Trump already has 3.36 million votes in the first 15 contests.
Wednesday, March 2, 2016
GOP delegate update: Trump 319, Cruz 226, Rubio 110
1237 delegates are needed to win on the first ballot at convention.
Trump is almost 26% of the way home.
Cruz is 18% of the way home.
Rubio, teh establishment mouthpiece, is 9% of the way home. That's why little Marco makes so much noise. He's trying to get attention.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)