Tuesday, August 21, 2012

Romney/Ryan Response To Akin On Abortion Contradicts Roman Catholic Teaching

Will Rep. Paul Ryan, a Roman Catholic, get a pass from the Roman Catholic Church for opposing its teaching on abortion?

In response to the inelegant remarks of Republican Senate hopeful Rep. Todd Akin from Missouri, the Romney/Ryan campaign says it does not oppose abortion in the case of rape, which is not the position of the Roman Catholic Church.

The New York Times reports, here:


The Republican presidential ticket of Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan was quick to distance itself from Mr. Akin’s remarks.

“Governor Romney and Congressman Ryan disagree with Mr. Akin’s statement,” the campaign said. “A Romney-Ryan administration would not oppose abortion in instances of rape.”

Rep. Ryan's position permitting abortion in instances of rape constitutes formal cooperation in a crime and self-excommunication according to the Roman Catholic catechism, here:



Formal cooperation in an abortion constitutes a grave offense. The Church attaches the canonical penalty of excommunication to this crime against human life. "A person who procures a completed abortion incurs excommunication latae sententiae,"77 "by the very commission of the offense,"78 and subject to the conditions provided by Canon Law.79 The Church does not thereby intend to restrict the scope of mercy. Rather, she makes clear the gravity of the crime committed, the irreparable harm done to the innocent who is put to death, as well as to the parents and the whole of society.

Rep. Akin's position against abortion in all circumstances is identical to Catholicism's whereas Rep. Ryan's position explicitly contradicts his own religion.

That's the Republican Party: where conservatives like Rep. Akin are not welcome, but open hypocrites, and fudgepackers from the Log Cabin crowd, most certainly are.


"Valuations Remain Unusually Rich"

So says John Hussman, here:


Valuations remain unusually rich on our measures . . . it should be of some concern (though it is clearly not) that the price/revenue multiple of the S&P 500 is now above any level seen prior to the late-1990’s market bubble. Prior to that time, the highest post-war peaks were in 1965 (which was not followed by a deep or immediate decline, but marked the onset of what would ultimately become a 17-year secular bear market), and 1972, just before the S&P 500 lost nearly half of its value.

The Shiller p/e bears him out (esp. the post-war peak on January 1, 1966 at 24.06 vs. nearly 23 today, and the post-war nadir of 6.64 in July/August 1982, a 72 percent decline in valuation over the course of the secular bear and the mother of all buying opportunities since the war):















The price for performance remains steep.

Monday, August 20, 2012

With "You Didn't Build That" Obama Revealed We're No Free Market Economy

Barack The Builder-Thief
Consider Sheldon Richman, here, emphasis added:


"What we have—and have had for a long time—is corporatism, an interventionist system shot through with government-granted privileges mostly for the well-connected–who tend to be rich businesspeople. This system is maintained in a variety of ways: through taxes, subsidies, cartelizing regulations, intellectual “property” protections, trade restrictions, government-bank collusion, the military-industrial complex, land close-offs, zoning, building codes, restrictions on workers, and more. As a result, people can get rich at the expense of the government’s victims. Even some who have prospered apparently by market means have actually done so through government intervention, such as transportation subsidies and eminent domain. Wealth can be transferred in many ways besides welfare and Medicaid, some of them quite subtle. Most transfers are upward."

Obama's flub in "you didn't build that" wasn't some supposed expression of disdain for free-market capitalism, but rather a too-open affirmation of the collusion which exists in America between government and business, a collusion redolent of the fascism of an earlier era.

The line was supposed to be, before it blew up in his face, a gentle reminder to his peeps that they owe their continued success to his stewardship of this system of corporatist largesse. 

In stating the obvious Obama has let the cat out of the bag and proven himself an unreliable leader for the game of charades we call the free market economy. He let his guard down and opened a window on this uncomfortable truth about America, that in economics we consider our advocates of free market capitalism analogous to the preachers of fundamentalist Christianity. It's a free country and that's all well and good, as long as you're not really serious.

Obama's mistake is that he said all that out loud. He can be replaced.

(image source)

Sunday, August 19, 2012

Government Payments Like Social Security/Medicare Consume 89 Percent Of Tax Revenues

The government collects only $2.66 trillion in taxes but spends $2.36 trillion just on Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, food stamps and the like, summed up as Personal Current Transfer Payments.

If we ran a balanced budget, that would leave just $300 billion for everything else, such as defending the country from our enemies, for which we actually spend about $700 billion currently.

Total current expenditures are running at $3.8 trillion, nearly 41 percent more than we presently take in.


On 1/1/2011 Social Security/Medicare Payments Exceeded Revenues By $329 Billion

Social insurance revenues were $906 billion on 1/1/11, but outlays for Social Security were $703 billion and for Medicare $532 billion on that date, meaning the programs were not self-sustaining, running a deficit of $329 billion.

Romney Has Ryan Reassuring On Medicare Because He Really Needs Florida To Win

The projection (here) back in the second week of April was that 124 electoral college votes were up for grabs in 9 states, with Obama at 233 and the Republicans at 181, who needed at the time 70 percent of the remaining electoral college votes to win.









Today the picture (here) shows the toss-ups reduced to 110 (still in 9 states, though a different mix), Obama up slightly to 237, and Romney up from 181 to 191, who now needs to win almost 72 percent of the remaining toss-up electoral college votes to win, according to the analysis.








In 2008 John McCain lost to Barack Obama because McCain lost in George Bush's red states of Colorado, Florida, Indiana, Iowa, Nevada, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia (112 electoral college votes) by 1.4 million votes.


A Southern/Western strategy concentrating on Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, Colorado and Nevada would still leave Romney 7 electoral college votes short of 270 if he wins the currently projected 191 in addition.

Romney losing Florida would necessitate winning the 191 plus every one of the states in the toss-up category today, including New Hampshire, hence the recent Medicare emphasis in Florida where many seniors live.

An Eastern Time Zone strategy winning Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, New Hampshire and Ohio in addition to the 191 would give Romney exactly 270.

Rep. Paul Ryan Rejects Conservatism For The Government Dependency Culture

Quoted here:


"When I think of Medicare, it's not just a program, it's not just a bunch of numbers, it's what my mom relies on, it's what my grandma had."


"Medicare was there for our family, for my grandma when we needed it then. And Medicare is there for my mom, when she needs it now. And we have to keep that guarantee."


"But in order to make sure that we can guarantee that promise for my mom's generation, for those baby boomers who are retiring every day, we must reform it for my generation."




Saturday, August 18, 2012

Rep. Paul Ryan And His Mother: This Is Not Conservatism

This is Republicanism defending the welfare state. This is not conservatism.

Peter Schiff Warns About Rising Interest Rates But Avoids The Sorry Truth

Peter Schiff, here:

The current national debt is about $16 trillion (this is just the funded portion...the unfunded liabilities of the Treasury are much, much larger). The only reason the United States is able to service this staggering level of debt is that the currently low interest rate on government debt (now below 2 per cent) keeps debt service payments to a relatively manageable $300 billion per year.


First of all, interest payments on the debt haven't been close to $300 billion a year since 1994. They've been above that level ever since 1994, and frequently way above that level.


In fact, interest payments on the debt have been above $400 billion each year from 2006 inclusive, except for 2009. This is important in the context of a Republican House which congratulates itself endlessly for a one-time spending cut of $38 billion.

Secondly, if we were really paying an effective 2 percent interest rate to service the debt, say in 2011, our interest payment that year would have been closer to $296 billion.

But the total US public debt at the end of the 2011 fiscal year reached almost $14.8 trillion, and interest payments on that debt were actually $454 billion, implying an interest rate in excess of 3 percent, half again as high.

That's the real lesson of rising interest rates. A 50 percent rise in interest rates from 2 percent to 3 on a pile of debt that size means an increased interest expense of $158 billion. People who think rates can't rise that much very quickly haven't been paying attention to the recent experiences of Greece, Spain and Italy. For example in Spain interest rates paid on 10yr paper lept 50 percent in six months' time this year.











In Italy they lept over 35 percent in five months' time.










Third, while Peter Schiff is surely right when he warns that rising interest rates threaten to consume government revenues, leaving nothing for essential services, the sorry truth is that our interest payments on the public debt are really more like the interest-only payments on loans people took out during the housing bubble. Those loans were DESIGNED never to require principal payments, and so the buyers of those homes never built any real equity and never were on a path to retiring those debts. That's our federal government. We NEVER make principal payments on the money we borrow, and we effectively borrow the money we need to make the interest payments, and then some.

Instead of paying $454 billion a year in interest-only payments on the national debt, we should be on a path to retiring that debt. At 3.5 percent interest for 30 years, that would mean interest AND principal payments together totaling $864 billion a year, not $454 billion. And it would also mean: NO MORE BORROWING.

Can you imagine such an America? Of $2.8 trillion in current revenues, that would leave just $1.9 trillion for the feds to spend, 50 percent less than the $3.8 trillion and climbing which they spend now.

If there were any real conservatives in America, let alone in the Republican Party, that's what they'd be telling the American people. Anyone who tells you otherwise is just a pretender.

Another Voice Saying Rep. Paul Ryan Isn't Serious About Cutting Spending

Peter Schiff:

So what was the Ryan Budget's radical departure from the status quo that has caused such uproar? If enacted today, the Ryan budget would so drastically upend the fiscal picture that the U.S. federal budget would come into balance in just... wait for it.... 27 years! This is because the Ryan budget doesn't actually cut anything. At no point in Ryan's decades long budget timeline does he ever suggest that the government spend less than it had the year before. He doesn't touch a penny in current Social Security or Medicare outlays, nor in the bloated defense budget. His apocalypse inducing departure comes from trying to limit the rate of increase in federal spending to "just" 3.1% annually. This is below the 4.3% rate of increase that is currently baked into the budget, and farther below what we would likely see if Obama's priorities were adopted.

Read the whole thing here.

Who Needs A Bullet-Proof Vest When You've Got This?


"VP Joe Biden Is A Stock Looking For A Bottom"

As just stated by Larry Kudlow on WABC Radio.

Central Bank/Institutional Gold Demand Is Running at 630 Tonnes Annualized

The pace of gold acquisition by central bankers and institutions looks to have picked up over 50 percent in Q2 2012 over the 400 tonne-pace set between March 2011 and March 2012, according to this story:


Demand for gold from central banks and official sector institutions more than doubled in the second quarter of this year to 157.5 metric tons from the same quarter a year ago, according to a World Gold Council (WGC) report released Thursday.

That marked a record quarter for central bank buying since the sector began recording net purchases in the second quarter of 2009, according to the WGC report. Central banks in Kazakhstan, Russia, Ukraine and South Korea were among the big buyers.

If You Can't Spell 'Commodities' Don't Listen To Jim Rogers

So says Jim Rogers himself, here:


"But people – if they can’t spell commodities, they shouldn’t be listening to me. They should be doing what they know about."

How To Tell Who Is Winning

If the debate we're having is about taxes, the liberals are winning. If it's about spending, the conservatives are. Just never forget that winning isn't the same thing as success.

Friday, August 17, 2012

Oil Is Still "On Sale"

Oil is still "on sale", but the discount relative to gold has declined a little bit.

The gold to oil ratio stands at 16.8, which represents a mark-down of roughly only 12 percent for oil. Gold has firmed up in the neighborhood of 1615 of late, presumably on central bank acquisitions replacing coin demand. And saber rattling and unrest in the Middle East continue to put pressure on oil prices, moving the ratio closer to the theoretical norm of 15.

We've had gold to oil ratios much higher than 15 in recent months, including hits of 19.5 and the like.  But I don't like oil and gold at any of these prices. I'm not acquiring these and I'm holding what I've got because I bought them low.

Assets remain inflated overall.

I Built This Blog, And Obama Can Kiss My Sweet German-American Ass


















And I approve this message, too.

Praetorian Guard Openly Turns On Obama

The owner of a Virginia business said 'No' to a visit by VP Joe Biden because of Obama's 'You didn't build that' remark, so the Secret Service detail for Biden went in and bought a bunch of stuff to thank him, according to this local story:


Here's the back story, we’re told that shortly after Crumb and Get It told Biden’s advance people 'no' -- the secret service walked in and told Chris McMurray ''Thanks for standing up and saying 'no' -- then they bought a whole bunch of cookies and cupcakes.

McMurray said he's hoping folks will understand he just didn't want to be part of a photo op for an administration whose policies he doesn’t agree with.



GIVE US YOUR COLLEGE TRANSCRIPTS!


Wednesday, August 15, 2012

The New York Times Uncorks The Wildest Slur Yet Against The Tea Party

Suddenly the Tea Party is the most selfish, arrogant and yet servile lot on the planet, according to one Jennifer Burns, an assistant professor at Stanford, for The New York Times, here:

". . . the Tea Party, whose members believe they are the only ones who deserve government aid."


Wow. Haven't heard that one yet. Is that what it takes to get tenure at Stanford these days? The intimate connection she divines between the Randians and the Tea Party is, quite simply, the sort of fantasy one might expect of someone trying to find something new to say. Not that the Shruggers wouldn't like to co-opt the Tea Party. They would, and they are trying, as is the Republican Party's Dick Armey, which is enough to give anyone who has watched them from the beginning the staggers. The spontaneous revulsion of common, everyday folk in America to the designs of their elected leaders provoked the reaction which is the Tea Party, most of which is as non-ideological as a hamburger. 


I dunno, maybe she's confusing the Tea Party with Occupy Wall Street, some of whose members are infamous for demanding student loan forgiveness, and the right to poop on your stoop.

Just two years ago in Slate Mark Gimein could reasonably characterize the Tea Party as "the responsibles" who rose up against "the deadbeats", homeowners who had stopped paying on their mortgages and wanted bailouts from the Obama regime even as millions of underwater homeowners continued to pay on theirs.

I guess Jennifer is fairly new to the planet.