Wednesday, December 30, 2020
Tuesday, December 29, 2020
CNN: Wuhan coronavirus cases more like 500k not 50k
https://www.cnn.com/2020/12/29/asia/china-coronavirus-seroprevalence-study-intl-hnk/index.html?utm_medium=social&utm_term=image&utm_source=twCNN&utm_content=2020-12-29T09%3A30%3A05
China has been lying about everything for a long time, like a rug.
Its coronavirus statistics flatlined long ago.
95k cases total to date? Fewer than 5k deaths? C'mon man!
The infection rate quoted in the article implies 260k infections in Hubei apart from the 500k in Wuhan.
At a current global case fatality rate running to 2.18% and 1.75% in the US, you're talking deaths anywhere between 17k and 13k, not 4,777. But honestly, even that is low-balling it. China has 1.4 billion people in it. 17k deaths there compared with 337k in the US? Seriously?
The biggest joke here isn't China's numbers. It's the people who believe them.
Monday, December 28, 2020
Big news of the day: Russia admits its COVID deaths aren't 54k but are a much higher 186k
The new calculation is based on an evaluation of excess death data compared with current projections for deaths based on prior years of death data. The US' CDC does the same routinely and that data confirms that US COVID death data is close though underestimated.
Places like China, Iran and North Korea however will never tell the truth.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/dec/28/russia-admits-to-world-third-worst-covid-19-death-toll-underreported
Follow the (gullible) science lol:
Sunday, December 27, 2020
After holding out for $2k/person, the vote for which was supposed to be tomorrow, instead of the $600 in the current COVID relief bill waiting for him to sign, true to form Trump folds like a cheap suit and signs the thing anyway, warts and all
Along with the inability to appoint the right personnel from the beginning, Trump's inability to negotiate for what he claims he wants has to be the biggest tell that THE ART OF THE DEAL was purely aspirational for him, kind of like following what THE BIBLE says is merely aspirational for Christians.
He's the biggest phony we've seen in a long time, and appropriately now the biggest loser.
Sad!
Shall we dispel the COVID is just the flu myth once and for all?
Cumulative announced US COVID cases through 12/26/20 = 19,023,776
Cumulative announced US COVID deaths through 12/26/20 = 332,011
That works out to 1.745% of all COVID cases dying.
In any given year in the US, 30 million people get the flu.
If 1.745% of 30 million died, that would come to 523,500 deaths, about 17 times worse than the average reality of 30,000 flu deaths annually.
That's the difference between 0.1% and 1.745%, which Rush Limbaugh could never figure out.
Drudge soft-peddles the Biden stories, distorts the Trump stories
Did Trump say Afghanistan was "better than the US" as Drudge claims? Nope. Trump said their elections were better run than the US election in 2020.
Was a "White House" counselor's brother recently hired by Amazon as a lobbyist? Depends on which "White House" you mean. Certainly not the current one. The "White House" counselor is Joe Biden's counselor, and his brother conveniently was just recently hired by Amazon to lobby for it.
When I don't have Rush Limbaugh to kick around anymore, I'll always have Drudge.
Friday, December 25, 2020
Thursday, December 24, 2020
US COVID current hospitalizations on 12/23/20 hit a record 119,463 with California, Texas and New York worst hit in the nation in that order
California's situation (blue in the graphs) is now mimicking New York's troubles (gray) in the spring, but not on a population-adjusted basis. Percent of hospital beds dedicated to COVID in California is also rising sharply.
Texas (pink) is reprising its experience in the summer in all categories.
Pennsylvania (not shown) is having a similar experience right now to number three New York.
Systems which find themselves under pressure from the pandemic have lattitude to refrain from performing elective procedures to free up beds. Doing so, however, comes at a cost to hospitals which depend on those procedures to remain profitable.
Tuesday, December 22, 2020
US COVID deaths in the Johns Hopkins data blew right through the 320k mark today
The total was 319k+ this morning and this afternoon is already 321k+
Current hospitalizations for the disease hit a new all-time high for a single day yesterday of 115,351
Monday, December 21, 2020
December 2020 is going to set a record for US COVID-19 deaths
US COVID deaths have averaged 2,488 per day in the first twenty days of December 2020. Projected through the 31st that will result in over 77,000 deaths.
April 2020 had been the worst month for deaths to date with 58,836.
Thursday, December 17, 2020
Monday, December 14, 2020
US COVID deaths hit 300k in the Johns Hopkins data this evening
A couple of days earlier than I had expected.
Sunday, December 13, 2020
The basic premise of the Election 2020 fraud proponents is completely mistaken
The basic premise is that Trump was winning on election day, only to lose overnight as a flood of fraudulent ballots washed away his lead.
This is completely mistaken.
It is now clear that just 54% of voters voted "in person", either early or on election day. 46% voted by mail/absentee.
66% of Trump's vote was "in person", but only 42% of Biden's. That's why it appeared that Trump won on election day.
Most of Biden's vote, 58%, was counted after the polls had closed into the next day(s) because it was absentee/by mail. He had a larger reservoir of his voters to draw on than did Trump, whose post-election day reservoir was only 34% of his vote.
There were doubtless more fraudulent votes cast this election because so many of the ballots were absentee/by mail, and so many more people voted and voted this way. The problem has been proving it, and proving it was large enough to flip places like Georgia, Wisconsin, and Arizona.
Absentee/by mail ballots typically post high rejection rates for voter noncompliance reasons: failure to sign the envelope, failure to return it on time, failure to mark the ballot correctly, failure of the signature to match the record, failure to show a return address matching the file, and much more. These rates typically exceed 1%, often by quite a lot. The problem is rejection rates in this election are coming in much lower than 1%, which, contrary to the Democrats, is a huge red flag.
Investigation of these problems should have been Team Trump's number one objective in challenging this election. Unfortunately and characteristically it got side-tracked by craziness and laziness, the hallmarks of the Trump era. Pieces of paper are evidence. Fanciful theories using computer "data" are not. Courts are not interested in jeopardizing their claim to impartiality by facilitating fishing expeditions for one political party against another. Either you've got the goods, or you don't.
It's sad Trump is such an incompetent and wasn't ready for this, but it is what it is. All the "shouldas wouldas and couldas" in the world ain't gonna fix it.
Buh-bye.
US Coronavirus update through 12/12/20
Deaths per day from COVID by state since Jan 22 through Saturday 12/12/20:
NY 122
TX 80
FL 69
CA 65
NJ 62
IL 47
PA 44
MI 40
MA 36
GA 34
OH 27
LA, IN 24
AZ 23
NC 20
CT, TN 19
MD 18
SC, MO 17
VA, MN 16
MS, AL 15
CO, WI 14
AR, IA 11
WA, NV, KY 9.
Deaths per day from COVID monthly have leapt from 763 in October to 1,250 in November to 2,496 in the first twelve days of December. If the current December rate per day is sustained it will top April's 1,961 and May's 1,330.
Current hospitalizations for COVID were approximately 30k at the beginning of October, 47k at the end of October, 92k at the end of November, and at a new high of 108,487 on 12/12.
Mask-wearing and social distancing, where practised, have been insufficient by themselves to stop transmission since the lockdowns, where implemented, have been lifted. The entire US strategy hasn't been worthy of the name under Trump, and it won't be under Biden, either.
What was required was: temporary lockdowns to slow the spread, and then a permanent regime after opening of 1) mask-wearing, 2) social distancing, 3) universal testing, 4) isolation of the infected, and 5) tracing the contacts of the infected, followed by testing, isolation and tracing for an indefinite period until transmission became minimal and a vaccine became available.
This was the program enunciated by Dr Michael J Ryan of the World Health Organization on March 13. It has hardly been followed but for a few countries. And it's a scandal that the American CDC and NIH haven't insisted on this.
COVID-19 remains the 3rd leading cause of death in the US behind heart disease and cancer.
The compound daily growth rate for COVID deaths measured weekly is threatening to return to spring levels:
Climate Updates for KGRR: October and November 2020
October 2020 Climate Update for KGRR
Max T 79, Mean 79
Min T 25, Mean 28
Av T 48, Mean 51.3
Rain 2.67, Mean 3.03
Snow Tr, Mean 0.4
Heating Degree Days 527, Mean 424
Cooling Degree Days 0, Mean 9
Cooling Degree Days to date 829, Mean 700
November 2020 Climate Update for KGRR
Max T 77, Mean 66
Min T 22, Mean 17
Av T 44.3, Mean 39.1
Rain 2.27, Mean 2.84
Snow 0.4, Mean 6.3
Heating Degree Days 614, Mean 772
Cooling Degree Days 3, Mean 0
Cooling Degree Days to date 832, Mean 700
Average Temperature Year to date 51.7, Mean to date 50: 2020 average temperature is running 3.4% above the mean.
Peak average annual temperature since 1898 occurred in 2012 at 52.8 degrees F, 9.5% above the mean average annual temperature of 48.2.
So it's been warmer than normal in 2020 to date, but nothing record-setting.
Grand Rapids, MI is forecast to receive its first sub 20 degree F temperatures of the season this week.
Thursday, December 10, 2020
US COVID deaths blew right through the 290k mark this morning in the Johns Hopkins data
Deaths were approximately 289.5k early this morning, but blew right through that in short order to get almost to 292k tonight.
107,258 are currently hospitalized.
Wednesday, December 9, 2020
The difference between 47.6% of population with full time jobs in Nov 2020 and 52% is 11.5 million
Think of each of those 11.5 million full-time units forming a household, buying a house, buying a car, buying a washing machine, raising some kids, paying taxes for good schools to which to send them, etc.
That's what's missing.
Sad!
Just a reminder that the harrowing nature of full time employment in the United States hasn't changed much as of Nov 2020
As a percentage of population, full time in Nov 2020 remains in the basement digging holes at 47.6%, reminiscent of the historic lows pre-Reagan and the double Reagan recessions of the early 1980s.
Full-time never recovered after the Great Financial Crisis of 2008, if you mean a return to pre-GFC1 levels. Under Obama and continuing under Trump full time after eight long years finally clawed its way up to 50.4% in 2019 on an average annual basis, only to be felled again by a lousing, stinking virus.
But don't make the mistake of blaming the virus. Conditions were long too weak to support pre-GFC1 levels of full time employment. Contrast this with the vigor of the Reagan/Bush surge in which full time went from 47.3% to 52.2% in just six years.
That missing vigor is the irreducible fact of the present economic malaise now in its twelfth year which very few acknowledge let alone understand.
Tuesday, December 8, 2020
It's remarkable that this video from 2018 documenting Biden's self-confessed 2016 malfeasance in office to this day has fewer than 1 million views
Congress allocated the spending Biden threatened, unlawfully, to withhold, but Trump became the bad guy and Biden was elected instead of Trump.
Simply amazing.
Monday, December 7, 2020
Saturday, December 5, 2020
US COVID deaths crossed the 280k mark today in the Johns Hopkins data
Current hospitalizations through yesterday were 101,276 at covidtracking.com
Looks like Brad Parscale, formerly of the Trump Campaign, and Anita Dunn of the Biden Campaign were on the exact same page in Election 2020
As was Chris Irons of QTR Research on Feb 26, here.
This isn't rocket science. This isn't "mastermind" level stuff. It didn't take a genius to predict that Trump would lose to a virus. All it took was paying attention and being honest.
From an important story with an hyperbolic title by Edward-Isaac Dovere for The Atlantic, "The Mastermind Behind Biden’s No-Drama Approach to Trump", here:
' [M]any Democrats stressed over the campaign’s decision to ignore most of Trump’s daily diversions in favor of focusing on the coronavirus pandemic. Dunn’s plan, and Biden’s, ended with a win. ... “Those of us who had worked in the White House, and Joe Biden, who had been vice president of the United States, had a much better understanding of why the Trump strategy that everyone was panicked about, the daily press conferences, would not work unless they actually did something” about the pandemic, Dunn said. “All those people who were saying, ‘Oh my gosh, he’s doing daily press briefings. He’s all over. He’s dominating,’ were missing the bigger point, which is unless he actually does something to deal with what is a genuine catastrophe, then it doesn’t matter how many press briefings he does.” '
Wednesday, December 2, 2020
Attorney General Barr appoints John Durham special counsel to continue criminal inquiry into FBI post-Trump
Democrats are already fuming.
Reported here:
"An order making Durham special counsel, which was revealed on Tuesday, provides the federal prosecutor further protection against the prospect of President-elect Joe Biden trying to shut down the criminal inquiry into the origins and conduct of the FBI's investigation."
Former Trump Campaign manager Brad Parscale says Trump lost in the suburbs because he went with opening the economy instead of public empathy over COVID fears
I agree.
His basic perception about the public was right. They were, and are, afraid.
Whether they should have been or should be now is irrelevant. They were, and Trump failed to play to that fear, which is exactly what Biden did.
About 16 minutes in.
Tuesday, December 1, 2020
US COVID deaths hit 270k in the Johns Hopkins data to begin the month of December
Current hospitalizations on Dec 1 soared to 98,691.
Total hospitalized in Nov soared to ~95k from ~67k in Oct.
These hospitalization levels are way above the 59k high water marks established in April and July.
About 1,250 people died of COVID everyday in Nov compared with 763 per day in Oct, clocking in at third worst month yet for deaths. The Oct level was the lowest level so far since the peak in April at 1,961. The May level was second highest at 1,330 deaths per day on average.
Sunday, November 29, 2020
Saturday, November 28, 2020
We've just concluded a horrible run of US hospitalizations for COVID
US COVID current hospitalizations rose every single day from Oct 25 at 41,786 to 90,481 on Nov 26: 32 days straight.
Current hospitalizations finally fell for once yesterday, Nov 27, to 89,834.
Friday, November 27, 2020
Libtard comment of the year
"cant wait to have earned enough money to move to Canada and escape the hideous capitalistic system"
Seen here in the comment by Werde Sowieso Gebannt.
It doesn't get any richer than that.
Wednesday, November 25, 2020
Monday, November 23, 2020
Michael Savage begins his long goodbye on his radio show today
He estimates Dec 15 will be his last live show on the radio forever.
His daily podcast will continue, at michaelsavage.com .
Shrimp Shapiro takes over the whole time slot apparently. Benji's actually an inch taller than Savage, but has the voice of a soprano in a tin can.
I could listen to Savage read the phone book, but Shapiro?
Nah.
The compound daily growth rate of COVID-19 deaths in the United States measured weekly stopped declining in mid-October
"Current hospitalizations" soared from about 36k in mid-October to 83k as of today.
New infections soared from about 50k per day at the time to knocking on the door of 200k on Nov 20.
Sunday, November 22, 2020
Does Carson Holloway for The Federalist even live in America 2020, torn by $2 billion in damages from rioting and looting?
From his essay here:
Tocqueville was certainly correct that the dire legacy of slavery would not be eliminated immediately upon its abolition. America’s path toward racial justice was long and difficult, continuing for many decades after the end of the Civil War. Nevertheless, over time the process turned out better than Tocqueville expected. The country was not engulfed in a race war, and whites and black Americans gradually learned to live with each other as fellow citizens.
If you subscribe to ideology qua ideology, you can pretend that what your lyin' eyes are trying to tell you isn't true. And Holloway explicitly embraces the ideological habit of mind which blinds him to our reality:
Moreover, the northern settlers — and particularly the Puritans of New England — came to America not only with the general habits of freedom characteristic of all the English but with a peculiarly intense inclination toward self-government. They came, Tocqueville says, driven by a “purely intellectual craving,” seeking the “triumph of an idea.”
Accordingly, he embraces a sharp, ideological distinction between North and South, which is nothing but a caricature, as if neither love of lucre nor racism existed in the North:
Tocqueville clearly regards the original southern settlers as less moral and less enlightened than their northern counterparts. The northerners came to America primarily to found self-governing communities based upon their (lofty and demanding) religious vision of a righteous society. The original Virginians came primarily in the pursuit of gain.
You will hardly find in American "conservatism" anywhere any rumination on the founding of the colonies as corporations, entities which were explicitly formed for gain for and by the English Crown in cooperation with the Bank of England. That was the whole point of Samuel Johnson's "Taxation No Tyranny", which ridiculed Americans with "Why do we hear the loudest yelps for freedom from the drivers of Negroes?", which is the main reason why no one reads it. The American colonists broke the business deal with the Crown, violating their contracts. We responded by gussying up our thefts with lofty bs about freedom and equality and rights. French loans, and the French navy, helped us get away with it.
Tocqueville's antipathy toward the South is an artifact of French affinity for the excesses of those Enlightenment ideas which enjoyed a higher traffic in the American North, but also of immemorial French hatred for England which enjoyed free trade with the American South. He is hardly the guide Holloway makes him out to be.
If there is any commonality left with the French vein in 2020 America, we have seen it in our streets with the violence, destruction, and blood-letting too reminiscent of the excesses of the French Revolution. The difference is that French republicanism sought to literally behead aristocrats, whereas now the rage is explicitly racial, focused on whites.
We have not learned to live with each other as fellow citizens. Cancel culture is everywhere, a euphemism for murder. The triumph of the ideas of BLM will literally mean the death of whitey.
Any conservatism which pretends otherwise isn't worthy of the name.
Wednesday, November 18, 2020
US COVID deaths passed the 250k mark late this afternoon in the Johns Hopkins data set
I remember back when I was hopeful we'd have 100k max.
Sunday, November 15, 2020
Coronavirus update: Ugly for the ugly
Hospitalized for COVID in US makes fifth consecutive new *high yesterday:
Nov 14: 69,455
Nov 13: 68,516
Nov 12: 67,096
Nov 11: 65,373
Nov 10: 61,964
Jul 23: 59,718
*Apr 15: 59,940.
Deaths per day from COVID in the US have climbed from 763 per day in October to 1,067 per day in the first fourteen days of November, up 40%.
COVID deaths have risen with current hospitalizations, which climbed from 30k to 47k in October after falling in September from 35k to 30k.
With hospitalizations in November up 47% from the end of October and October up 57% from the end of September, plenty of fuel has been added to the funeral pyre.
Does America care?
We are inured to the slaughter of the vulnerable, whether in the womb or in the care home.
We are ugly.
Saturday, November 14, 2020
Trump was less popular in his own races than Republicans running for US Senate in theirs in 12 states in 2020
Trump underperformed:
Ronchetti in New Mexico (loser)
Lummis in Wyoming
Capito in West Virginia
Cornyn in Texas
Rounds in South Dakota
Somebody you never heard of in Massachusetts (loser)
Sasse in Nebraska
Gardner in Colorado (loser)
Cotton in Arkansas
Collins in Maine
Sullivan in Alaska
Perdue in Georgia.
Imagine doing worse than three losers.
Thursday, November 12, 2020
A Joe Biden COVID lockdown for 4-6 weeks will come too late to do much good
Covid deaths in November are already on pace to pass 30k, which will be the highest since May.
Hospitalizations similarly are already on pace to hit 79k for the month, which also will be the highest since May.
Three months of big hurt are on the way before Joe even wakes up for the first time in the White House as president to call a lid and go back to bed.
Wednesday, November 11, 2020
The US blew right through the 240k mark for COVID-19 deaths today in the Johns Hopkins data set
This morning early we were still at 239k+ and then I look tonight and we're already past the 241k mark.
Hillsdale College professor is hopeful because Roman Catholicism dominates the intellectual wings of modern conservatism and nationalism
I'm hopeful because 72 million Americans sided against Joe Biden.
From "A Review of Protestants and American Conservatism: A Short History by Gillis J. Harp (New York, NY: Oxford University Press, 2019)", here :
Still, perhaps there is more reason to hope than Harp lets on. Neither Modern Conservatism nor the new nationalism shows signs of a distinctly Protestant political perspective. To the extent either one has a political theology, it is dominated by Roman Catholics, who occupy the lion’s share of both movements’ intellectual wings.
Yeah, sure, buddy, it wasn't Catholic priests who used their pulpits to call the men to arms in the revolution against the English king. It wasn't Catholic priests who then doffed their robes and grabbed their rifles and joined them in the field. It was Presbyterians.
Joe Biden, a Catholic, preaches a return to normalcy, which amounts to acquiescence to the status quo of liberal dominance of most American institutions. That is the default position of Catholicism, acquiescence to authority, submission to hierarchy, rule by elites. By definition they'll revolt against nothing and adapt themselves to every nutty innovation which comes along in the spirit of taxation without representation.
The Loyalists have made a comeback, largely on the backs of Catholic immigrants to the United States since 1850.
Is anyone surprised they are for open borders, mass immigration, and globalism, especially if it augments their dominance in America?
Donald Trump, in his feeble way, was a resounding No to all this.
We're still out here.
Monday, November 9, 2020
Sunday, November 8, 2020
Saturday, November 7, 2020
It's pretty funny how the media call the race for Biden Saturday morning after the Supremes intervene in Pennsylvania Friday night
Meanwhile Pennsylvania ain't called nothin'.
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/biden-defeats-trump-win-white-house-nbc-news-projects-n1246912
https://www.supremecourt.gov/orders/courtorders/110620zr_g31i.pdf
Thursday, November 5, 2020
Wednesday, November 4, 2020
Black Lives Matter burned down the business district in Kenosha, WI, but Kenosha could barely bring itself to vote for Trump
They got what they deserved, and they will get even more of it.
Tuesday, November 3, 2020
Monday, November 2, 2020
Green New Deal in the hands of Democrats is a dagger aimed at the heart of the middle class
Joel Kotkin here in The New York Post:
If these Democrats win both houses of Congress as well as the White House, things could get far worse for the already beleaguered middle class, which has been rocked by the pandemic, with an estimated 100,000 small firms going out of business. Particularly hard-hit by the recent urban unrest are inner city and minority businesses. ...
If the Democrats win on Election Day, the future for the middle class could be bleak. As a lifelong Democrat, this is not easy to write, but most of the party’s initiatives — such as the Green New Deal — are directly harmful to those in the middle and working classes, who’d be forced to face increased housing and energy prices and fewer upwardly mobile jobs in industries like manufacturing.
Sunday, November 1, 2020
US COVID-19 daily new deaths hit their lowest level since the Apr peak, measured monthly, in Oct, even lower than in June
COVID-19 deaths per day in the USA, monthly, as reported:
Mar 138
Apr 1,961
May 1,330
Jun 769
Jul 851
Aug 955
Sep 779
Oct 763.
The Oct 2020 rate would still exact a heavy toll if sustained over 365 days, 278,495 deaths.
COVID-19 deaths in 2020 at 230k are already the third leading cause of death in the US, behind heart disease deaths at 647,457 and cancer deaths at 599,108 in 2017.
The Oct 2020 rate shows that the lockdowns, even if extended too long in some places, provided the medical community with valuable breathing room in which to learn how to improve survivability and deliver it, in combination with social distancing, mask-wearing, testing, and tracing.
Remember, 1 year ago California Democrats preferred Pocahonky for president over their own Senator Kamala Harris by 3 to 1
Which is why Kamala dropped out on Dec 3, just days after this poll was released.
Saturday, October 31, 2020
US COVID-19 deaths have crossed the 230k mark today in the Johns Hopkins data
Don't let Joe Biden and Kamala Harris confuse you. There aren't 220 million dead. There aren't 120 million dead. There aren't 210 million dead.
230 thousand. Today.
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