Showing posts with label Donald Trump 2016. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Donald Trump 2016. Show all posts

Wednesday, November 9, 2016

Fox reports Hillary has called Trump to concede

VP elect Mike Pence is taking the stage.

The numbskulls on Fox are still debating whether Trump can claim victory on stage

Trump shocked by taking Wisconsin in addition to Florida and Ohio, then Pennsylvania put him over the top, and Michigan and Arizona will put the nails in Clinton's coffin.

Over an hour ago the New York Times projected Trump to win with 305.

All this talk at Fox is just jibber jabber.


Pennsylvania puts Donald Trump over the top at 0140 hours: The 45th president of the United States


Trump on verge of presidency


Monday, November 7, 2016

In NH Trump mentions Obama is using Air Force One to campaign for Hillary . . .

. . . but never mentions it's at your expense.

Obama is illegally using tax dollars to electioneer.

On the eve of Election 2016, Trump now needs just 4 Electoral College votes to win this thing tomorrow

Here is the No Toss-Ups map from Real Clear Politics, at 1940 hours.

As you can see, Trump just needs NH (Clinton +0.6) or PA (Clinton +1.9) or VA (Clinton +5) or MI (Clinton +3.4) or CO (Clinton +2.9) or NM (Clinton +5) to win this thing.

Come on people. Say No! to the establishment on both sides. Give Trump the chance to turn America around! Take the country back for the people!

This is undoubtedly your last chance. If Hillary is elected, your guns will go away, along with your ammo, freedom of speech will be curtailed, law and order will continue under assault as liberal appointees fill the judiciary, you will become dependent on government for healthcare, foreigners will flood the land even worse than before, your good paying jobs will fly away to cheaper markets abroad, taxes will soar, economic growth will continue to stagnate, and you'll be lucky to inherit your parents' house because you won't be able to afford one of your own. All because of "pussy". 





The Michigan Kent County Republicans just interrupted my posting with a recorded call from Mike Pence asking me to vote for Donald Trump

It's about fucking time.

It's the only call I've received AT ALL asking me to vote for Trump.

It's called CYA, covering your ass.

Yeah, well, I'll be voting for Trump happily, but not for that prick Justin Amash, or any other Republican where there's a US Taxpayers Party candidate to vote for. Republicans don't care about me, only about themselves.

Whether Trump wins or loses, the Republican Party is finished. You don't nominate someone and then betray him.

With polls opening in about 24 hours, 12 states and one congressional district in Maine are Toss Ups

Maine confuses the math because it awards Electoral College votes by congressional district. The race is a toss-up in congressional district 2 where Trump is slightly ahead. If he wins it he gets one Electoral College vote. Congressional district 1 will go to Clinton and she will get its one EC vote, based on the polling data there. Maine is unaccountably listed twice in this table from Real Clear Politics, making it not real clear. "Maine (2)" shouldn't appear in the list, only "Maine CD2 (1)". You'll notice Wisconsin isn't in this list. Why Trump spent valuable time and resources there in the last couple of weeks I don't understand. Virginia would have made more sense, but it too is now absent from the Toss-Ups.

So, with 241 EC votes already projected in the Trump column, if Trump ran this table he'd win overwhelmingly with 320.

If Trump simply keeps what he's got but turns Florida, he wins with 270.

If he doesn't win Florida he'll have to win Pennsylvania and Colorado to win with 270.

Alternatively a win in Pennsylvania and long shot Michigan would give him 277 to win it.

Trump plans to make his last stop of the 2016 campaign tonight in Michigan, right here in Grand Rapids.

Even though polling looks slightly better in New Mexico than in Michigan, New Mexico seems like an even bigger long shot.




Sunday, November 6, 2016

Trump is a machine

He's speaking in Michigan right now, then flies to an appearance in Pittsburgh, and finishes in Virginia.

It's 8 frickin' PM people. It's going to be a very long night yet for Donald Trump. 

The Donald is working for us like no one else.

The man is indefatigable.

Friday, November 4, 2016

Trump garners crowds on his own merits, Hillary needs celebs to get hers

Story here in USA Away, a newspaper so thin your parakeet will pee right through it.

This morning's Electoral College prediction with 4 days to Election 2016: Clinton 298 to Trump 240

Clinton begins with 226 Electoral College votes on the Real Clear Politics map.

The average of the last poll and the polling average this morning indicates she wins FL (29) by less than 3 points, VA (13) by more than 4 points, PA (20) by 2.5 points, ME-2 (1) by more than 1 point, and CO (9) by more than 1 point.

Trump begins with 180 Electoral College votes and wins NC (15) by 3.9 points, NH (4) by less than 1 point, OH (18) by more than 4 points, IA (6) by less than 1 point, AZ (11) by 4.5 points, and NV (6) by 1 point.

The most recent polls are all tied up in NH, IA, CO and NV.

Clinton is ahead by only 2 points in the latest polls in PA and ME-2. Her margins in the averages are razor thin in FL (1.2) and ME-2 (0.7) and thin in PA (3.0) and CO (2.6).

Trump is ahead by only 1 point in the latest poll in GA (a phony to make him spend money there?). His margins in the averages are razor thin in NC (0.8), NH (1.5), and IA (1.4) and thin in OH (3.3) and NV (2.0).

Clinton's objective is clear: Take away NH, IA and NV from Trump and make him spend money in NC and OH.

Trump's objective is more daunting, to keep NC, NH, IA, OH and NV while pressing hard in PA, ME-2, FL and CO. Trump needs 30 more Electoral College votes to win, which he can get in a few ways, say by winning FL and ME-2, or he can win even if he loses FL by winning PA, CO and ME-2.

Clinton's vulnerability in PA, ME-2, FL and CO adds up to 59 Electoral College votes.

Trump's vulnerability in NC, NH, IA, OH and NV adds up to 49 Electoral College votes.

Thursday, November 3, 2016

As polls tighten Trump campaign has been proven right about PA but should focus on CO, NH and VA instead of MI, WI and NM

Clinton's lead in PA is down to 3.4. That would be a huge coup for Trump.

Clinton's lead in CO is down to 1.7, in NH 3.3 and in VA 4.7. Go for those.

Clinton's lead in MI is 5.7, in WI 5.4, and in NM 8.5. Pretty far out of reach with five days to go.

Trump is still very vulnerable in FL (+0.7), NC (tie), ME-2 (Clinton +0.7), OH (+3.3) and IA (+1.4), as he is in AZ and NV where he has improved to +3 and +2 respectively.

Wednesday, November 2, 2016

Like I said, Trump should concentrate on Virginia, not Wisconsin or Michigan: Real Clear Politics just moved Virginia to "Toss-up" this morning

Virginia now favors Clinton by only +4.7.

Michigan is now Clinton +7.

Wisconsin is Clinton +5.7.

Trump is wasting his time in Michigan and Wisconsin.

Tuesday, November 1, 2016

Trump is misspending some of his $25 million ad blitz: In Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania and New Mexico in particular

Trump needs instead to spend money to retake NV, AZ, CO and NC from Hillary where she leads narrowly and shore up IA, OH, GA and FL where Trump leads narrowly.

He's NOT going to retake WI (Clinton +5.7), Michigan (Clinton +6.7), Pennsylvania (Clinton +6), or New Mexico (Clinton +8.5).

Dumb.

Story here.

Drudge is an idiot for calling Wisconsin a battleground based on a WaPo story which is trying to divert Trump's energies

Wisconsin is a distraction. Trump isn't going to win it, and Drudge is a fool for taking the bait and headlining this WaPo story:


Trump is losing Wisconsin to Clinton at this hour by 5.7 points because of #NeverTrump libertarians who follow radio talker Charlie Sykes. That guy's never been on Trump's side and never will be. Wisconsin "conservatives" follow a ridiculous Speaker Paul Ryan who thinks preserving Medicare for future generations is a conservative thing. That's Ripon Society Republicanism, Teddy Roosevelt progressivism.

Libertarian Gary Johnson is polling 6.3 there, way above his current national average of 4.6, accounting for all of Clinton's margin of victory.

Trump shouldn't waste any more time or resources on Wisconsin.

He'd have been far better off trying for Virginia where he is polling better than in Wisconsin, but it's too late for that, too.

Trump's path to the presidency (164 Electoral College votes currently) is through NV, AZ, CO, IA, OH, NC, GA and FL (110).

He might want to visit NH and ME-2 also if he has the resources, but the main battle is in the eight states shown. 

Mark Levin waits until one week before Election 2016 to state that Donald Trump is more conservative than both John McCain and Mitt Romney on a host of issues

What a piece of shit Levin is.

At the end of the first half hour, tonight.

Trump's path to victory is a surge in NV, AZ, CO, and NC, not MI

Trump's path to victory does not run through MI. Trump is wasting time and resources here.

With 233 Electoral College votes more or less in the bank as of today, the path to victory runs through NV, AZ, CO and NC instead.

He can overcome Hillary's +1 in NV, Hillary's +0.6 in AZ, Hillary's +4.0 in CO, and Hillary's +2.6 in NC. If he does he can win 274-264.

Trying to overcome Hillary's +6.7 in MI is a fool's errand.

Instead he ought to be trying to keep IA, where his lead is just +1.4, OH, where his lead is just +2.5, GA, where his lead is just +3.6, and FL, where his lead is just +1.0.

Whoever let Trump come to MI yesterday is a fool.

But it was probably Trump himself.


Hillary is creaming Trump on the radio with 15 times as many ads in the last ten days of October

Inside Radio reports here:

In terms of actual spot numbers, that’s 18,791 for the Democratic candidate and just 1,245 ads for the Republican nominee. The study covers 85 markets across the country.