Thursday, April 3, 2025

Go boom is more like it

 Trump: Tariff Rollout "Going Very Well," "Our Country Is Going To Boom"



Stocks tank to inaugurate Trump's golden age of tariffs

 


The actual WTO China tariffs are 7.3%, not 67% as maintained by Trump

 


Trump tariff math is about trade imbalances and is not about a reciprocal response to a rate, requiring a trading partner to buy more from the United States rather than just eliminating its tariff rate

In other words Trump's calculations of foreign countries' tariffs on the United States result in fictional rates.

From the story here:

... For instance, the U.S. claims that China charges a tariff of 67%. The U.S. ran a deficit of $295.4 billion with China in 2024, while imported goods were worth $438.9 billion, according to official data. When you divide $295.4 billion by $438.9 billion, the result is 67%! The same math checks out for Vietnam.

“The formula is about trade imbalances with the U.S. rather than reciprocal tariffs in the sense of tariff level or non-tariff level distortions. This makes it very difficult for Asian, particularly the poorer Asian countries, to meet US demand to reduce tariffs in the short-term as the benchmark is buying more American goods than they export to the U.S., ” according to Trinh Nguyen, senior economist of emerging Asia at Natixis.

The U.S. also appeared to have applied a 10% levy for regions where it is running a trade surplus. ...       

Futures at 7:00 AM EST: