Thursday, May 5, 2016
Libertarians routinely play the spoilers in elections, but Rush Limbaugh is surprised the Koch Bros. may support Hillary
Our Big Fat Idiot strikes again.
Today, here:
I mean, the #NeverTrump movement's still there, and I'll treat you to them as the program unfolds. All kinds of major, big Republican donors are saying, "I can't do it! I just can't give my money to Trump." The Koch brothers are thinking of going with Hillary, for example. Which really surprises me. I mean, they are libertarians, and that just blows me away that the Koch brothers would be all-in for Hillary. But everybody's noses are still out of joint in a lot of ways. We'll see how people are feeling and thinking a week from now, two weeks from now.
Kasich changed his mind Wednesday morning after losing Reince Priebus' blessing Tuesday night
From the story here:
By Wednesday morning, Kasich appeared to have a full change of heart, when he was scheduled to hold a press conference at Dulles Airport near Washington. Dozens of reporters milled around in the lobby of a private aviation terminal, waiting for Kasich to arrive. As the scheduled time came and went, rumors began swirling. The Ohio governor had not left Columbus and was discussing his future with advisers.
Wednesday, May 4, 2016
Ted Cruz-Mark Levin-Rush Limbaugh conservatism UTTERLY REPUDIATED IN EVERY INDIANA CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT
Where the true conservatism of American hearth, home and altar screamed "NO"! Indiana was a referendum on what Ross Douthat calls "True Conservatism", where it lost, in contrast to "ideological" Wisconsin, where it won:
In the days before and after the Wisconsin primary, with delegate accumulation going his way and the polling looking plausible once the Northeastern primaries were over, it seemed like Cruz could reasonably hope for a nomination on the second or third ballot. ... But it turned out that Republican voters didn’t want True Conservatism any more than they wanted Bushism 2.0. Maybe they would have wanted it from a candidate with more charisma and charm and less dogged unlikability. But the entire Trump phenomenon suggests otherwise, and Trump as the presumptive nominee is basically a long proof against the True Conservative theory of the Republican Party.
Presidential turnout since 1972: Increased participation favors Democrats, and maybe the anti-Bush former Democrat named Donald Trump
Presidential turnout since 1972:
Average percent of the voting age population: 53%
Average percent of the voting age population when Republicans win: 53% (average)
Average percent of the voting age population when Democrats win: 54% (1 point above average)
Average percent of the registered voters: 74%
Average percent of the registered voters when Republicans win: 73.9% (0.1 point below average)
Average percent of the registered voters when Democrats win: 72.9% (1.1 points below average)
Republican wins in elections most like 2016:
Average percent of the voting age population in 1980, 1988, 2000: 51.1% (1.9 points below average)
Average percent of the registered voters in 1980, 1988, 2000: 72% (2.0 points below average)
Democrat wins in elections most like 2016:
Average percent of the voting age population in 1976, 1992, 2008: 55.7% (2.7 points above average)
Average percent of the registered voters in 1976, 1992, 2008: 76.7% (2.7 points above average)
Small man: Trump congratulated Cruz last night, but Cruz didn't reciprocate
CNN has the Trump video here.
Rush Limbaugh caller "New Jersey George" explains how Ted Cruz picked a fight with midwest common sense in Indiana and lost
From the Rush Limbaugh transcript, here:
CALLER: Okay, Rush. Thank you for taking my call. Been with you for many years. Love you. I just have this feeling -- I don't know why -- but I just have a feeling that you're a Cruz supporter. Not a Trump supporter, I can't find that, but that's how I feel. But the reason I called, I just wanted to defend the guy that you called brain-dead yesterday. I watched that interview from the beginning, and, you know, we'll call him "braid-dead" since we don't know his name. He was a very polite protester. He was standing on the street with a Trump sign, and he wasn't bothering anybody, and, lo and behold, who comes along to cross the street, Ted Cruz.
Now, Cruz confronted him, and in the very beginning of the conversation, the number 1237 came up, and the guy knew what 1237 was, and he told Cruz in his opinion that Trump was gonna hit the 1237 and in his opinion would probably go over that. And then he also asked Cruz a question. He said, "I'd like to ask you a question. Why don't you step out of the race because you've indicated that Kasich should step out, and, since you've indicated that, you think that Kasich can't make it, and neither do we think that you can, why don't you step out?"
Now, the reason I mentioned these couple things to you, that doesn't seem to me as a brain-dead person. That's just my opinion. And a brain-dead person is just gonna stand there and look brain-dead. This guy had some some some substance there. So I didn't think it was fair that you labeled him as brain-dead. Then Cruz started his stump speech. And the guy was polite. He was listening and listening and listening, and Cruz was going over all his stump speech. And I think the guy had had it and finally didn't want to hear anything more, and he started yelling, you know, Lyin' Ted, Lyin' Ted, and he had had it. And that's just my opinion. And I -- I just feel that you labeled him wrong. And I might even think that sometimes maybe I might be part of the brain-dead crowd.
Another thing I just wanted to put in there real quick, I have a cleaning lady that was in my house yesterday, and she's from Thailand. And Trump came on television, and she looked up and she said, I used to work for him. I live 30 miles from Atlantic City. So she said, I used to work for him. And my wife said, what did you think? Again. And she said, he was very nice, he was a very nice person, he treated me with respect, and so did he treat all of us.
Now, they were just cleaning people in Trump's casino. One other quickie. I was in a restaurant a couple weeks ago, and the owner who I know came up to me, and he knows I'm a Trump guy, and he said I just gotta tell you something, he said I just had a guy was in here, and he got caught up in Trump's problems with the casino and he lost a hundred thousand dollars in the bankruptcy. He said, but I'm gonna tell you something. I lost a hundred G's, he says I'm gonna tell you, I'm voting for him. You know why? He's a straight shooter. He said he got caught up in a bad situation, and he did his very best, he says, so he's got my vote. I just wanted to pass these things on, and I want to tell you, I love you, I'll always be with you.
Tuesday, May 3, 2016
Indiana rejects Ted Cruz, who suspends a campaign descending into ugliness
A better man who really cared about the party and the country would have gotten out after Pennsylvania. Then again, a better man wouldn't have pulled a dirty trick in Iowa, or in Utah. How anyone can take the guy seriously as a Christian values candidate going forward is beyond me. Better to have bowed out earlier and salvaged a future for himself, but that was not possible for the man in a hurry.
Grand Rapids, MI experienced a reported temperature anomaly in April 2016 of 2.0 degrees F BELOW normal
Temperature averaged 46 degrees F, according to the preliminary monthly climate data for April 2016 in Grand Rapids, MI. The cumulative reported total anomaly year to date therefore falls from +9.3 last month to +7.3 degrees F in April.
Using the full NOW data set going back to about 1892, however, the cumulative temperature anomaly for the first four months of 2016 is +13.4 degrees F.
Precipitation was a reported 0.57 inches above normal, coming in at 3.92 inches.
Snowfall was 9.4 inches, 7.1 inches above the mean average of 2.3 for the month, calculated going back to the beginning of the record. Snowfall has come to 61.1 inches to date, 4.7 inches below the long term mean average of 65.8 inches to date, with two months left in the measuring period.
Heating degree days in April at 564 were just above normal, only 1.8% above the very long term mean of 554. The long term mean expected HDD to date would be 6411. Actual to date were 5390, 15.9% below normal, thanks to the El Nino, with two months left in the measuring period.
It is notable that neither this El Nino nor any other since 1950 has come close to producing the warm winter Grand Rapids experienced in 2011-2012 when the heating degree day measurement hit an all time record low of 5253. Placeholders two and three for warmest winters by HDD after 2011-12 were 1920-21 at 5520 and 1931-32 at 5619.
Average temperature in Grand Rapids was also an all time high 52.8 degrees F (mean is 48) in 2012. The only other years which came close were 1931 and 1921, both at 52.2.
The difference between the first four months of 2016 and of 2012 is cumulative anomalies of +13.4 vs. +18.5 degrees, or an average temperature monthly of 35.525 now vs. 40.15 degrees then.
Monday, May 2, 2016
Why does Glenn Beck still look like he could stand to fast like he's never fasted before?
I thought he was fasting every Tuesday for Ted Cruz.
And just how do you do that, fasting like you've never fasted before? If I'm not eating anything, I can't eat any less, can I?
Or is there some secret eatin' goin' on in Mormon fasting that I don't know about, which you can forego and then REALLY fast?
Oh boy, he really must mean it this time!
58% of Hoosiers disapprove of Ted Cruz/John Kasich tag-teaming to defeat Donald Trump
A question in the NBC/WSJ/Marist poll here showing Trump +15 in Indiana.
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