Coronavirus spread in the US and in Michigan

On Tuesday morning there were still 0 cases in my state of Michigan. Late Tuesday there were two. Yesterday we found out there were 12, and this morning we wake up to 25, according to this NYT map.

News broke yesterday that 3 of the cases were right here in my own county of Kent, 2 women and a man, all over 60, all three travelers to international hot spots. Gee what a shock.

At least one of these cases had been up and down a main shopping drag where I do some of my shopping. He or she went to the gym, a pizza joint, a steakhouse, and two (!) submarine sandwich shops between March 6-8. How pedestrian the tastes of these jet-setters.

Trump is criticized by Democrats because of his Feb 1 travel restrictions on China.

I fault him for not going far enough. He has brought Wuhan into my backyard because of what he has not done and easily could have done.

Trump should have shut down all travel on Feb 1, especially by air, to protect America from the spread of this disease and its impact, which has been enormous. Every plane was a missile. Every passenger was a warhead, and now they are all going off all over the place. 

Local and state governments are scrambling to shut down everything they can, disrupting the lives of millions because Trump couldn't bring himself to disrupt the privilege of a class of jet-setting globalists, elites and wannabes, among whom the disease is spreading, according to the headlines and in fact. Trump himself may come down with it because of this.

I carry no brief for the Chicoms, but Xi Jinping is the great man Trump only wishes he could be because he did what he had to do to protect his country from the virus by locking down Hubei Province. Who cares what the motivation was, whether it was saving face, saving the power and privilege of the communist party, saving his economy, or some other more broadly understood conception of patriotism. In the end Xi Jinping understood what he had to do to survive and prevail before it was too late for China. It took him about one month. We are going on two months, have an Emergency declaration as of yesterday, but you are still free to move about the country, spreading the disease.

There were just over 1000 cases in the US on Wednesday. This morning over 2000, which will be 4000 in a few days, then 8000, then 16000, and so on. The time for locking down travel is long past, but locking it down even now would help. 

University of Washington researchers are finding 7-9% positivity results for coronavirus in their daily testing of sample lots approximating 1000. If that turns out to be the morbidity rate and this virus spreads like the common cold, our country could easily have 30 million SARS-CoV-2 infections, 20% of which will be serious. Those 6 million serious cases will overwhelm our healthcare infrastructure, and many will die because of that. There will simply be too many people to treat effectively.

All for muh freedom.

What Dr. Anthony Fauci really said today, contrary to Rush Limbaugh: Many, many millions could die

When pressed by lawmakers for an estimate of eventual fatalities in the U.S., Fauci said it will be “totally dependent upon how we respond to it.”

“I can’t give you a number,” he said. “I can’t give you a realistic number until we put into the factor of how we respond. If we’re complacent and don’t do really aggressive containment and mitigation, the number could go way up and be involved in many, many millions.”

Read.

Rush Limbaugh's ignorance is invincible

He doesn't grasp that a disease 10x more deadly than flu (0.1% vs. 1% in his example) means 10x more deaths.

If flu normally kills 30,000 in an average year in the US (30 million infections times 0.1%), that means 300,000 deaths (30 million infections times 1%).

But hey, no big deal to Rush Limbaugh, because 300,000 dead isn't the old higher estimate of 3% (30 million infections times 3% = 900,000 deaths).

Incredible.

Trump's 15 coronavirus cases going to zero now number 1,015 through 3/10/20

Monday situation summary 3/9/20

The CDC basically urged people 60 and over to become hermits at home to avoid infection with SARS-CoV-2. High blood pressure appears to be the one thing most who die of the virus have in common.

The COVID-19 outbreak in Italy is killing off parents and grandparents at an alarming level because the healthcare system, though quite advanced up north, is overwhelmed by the disease outbreak. Reports say many patients die in hospital untreated, just as in China in the early days of the epidemic there, because of inadequate infrastructure and doctors for so many patients. The quarantine has been extended now to the entire country. That is not being done to make Donald Trump look bad. 

Stock market losses today were sizable. The decline in the S&P 500 made the top 20 list for daily percentage losses. The stock market is a confidence game, and valuation has grown to outrageous levels and stayed there for a couple of years already, so it has been vulnerable to a confidence shock. People just didn't believe it was. The virus hysteria is undercutting that confidence. 

The price of oil plunged as OPEC failed to agree to production cuts. Expect big trouble for the economy as a result, which was already in decline, which is why OPEC wanted the cuts. Declining demand. Max von Sydow died to mark the occasion. Hint: He played Joubert.

People are afraid to fly and some flights are nearly empty. It's a good thing, too, because a study from China is out indicating infected persons can infect others in enclosed, air conditioned spaces like buses, even after they've disembarked. One person infected 11 this way. This also happened in Japan you will recall, where a bus driver was infected by tourists from Wuhan on his bus.

US cases of COVID-19 soared to 654 from the 15 President Trump said back in February were headed to zero. Can't make this go away with the Power of Positive Thinking.

The full time jobs deficit in Feb 2020 in the US is enormous, in the many millions

There is reason to think this epidemic might result in just 100,000 deaths or so in the US at the very worst

And probably a lot fewer.

The US is too robust compared with places like China and Iran to descend into their chaos, but South Korea's can-do spirit in the face of this epidemic reminds me of nothing so much as Yankee ingenuity. If the bureaucracy in the US can be tamed, we may well have an experience similar to South Korea's.

Just four candidates left in the race for the 2020 Democrat nomination heh heh

Coronavirus has been more severe in Asia likely due in part to insanitary squat toilets

Coronavirus mortality rates in countries with 100+ cases as of 10am 3/4/20

Super Tuesday 3/3/20 results for AR, MN, NC, OK, TN, VT, VA, AL with 100% of the vote counted

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So much winning from Donald Trump, even with coronavirus: "We have the best mortality rates"

Here.

Unfortunately, the mortality rate for COVID-19 in South Korea has suddenly rebounded to 0.60%

Here.

The mortality rate from COVID-19 has already dropped from 0.54% to 0.48% in South Korea

Here.

If you want to know how COVID-19 is going to go, watch South Korea, they are doing just about everything right

Here.

The good news is, outside China, the mortality rate from coronavirus is only 7x worse than for influenza, not 30x

Data.

I know NOTHING!

Huge GDP slowdown predates coronavirus: Look for Trump eventually to flip and blame a slowing economy on the disease instead of on his ineffectual GOP

Here.

Rush Limbaugh, a household name for dumbass in every corner of the world

Trump promised to appoint only the best people, this one totally botches death rate from flu

The global death rate from coronavirus at this hour stands at 3.36%, 33x higher than for ordinary flu.

In Hubei Province, where ground zero Wuhan is located, the coronavirus death rate is 3.88%

Contrary to Jewish opinion about whiteness, Bernie Sanders identifies as white

Rush Limbaugh is a fool and an imbecile, says coronavirus epidemic is just the common cold, kills fewer than the flu

Here:

The coronavirus is the common cold, folks. ... The survival rate of this is 98%! You have to read very deeply to find that number, that 2% of the people get the coronavirus die. That’s less than the flu, folks. 

The maximum survival rate from the Spanish flu pandemic 100 years ago was 96.6% when at least 17 million died globally. The death rate was 3.4%. Coronavirus death rate on the Chinese mainland is nearly that right now.

Ordinary influenza kills at most not quite 650,000 people globally every year.

Final results for Nevada Democrat Caucus 2020: Bernie crushes the field

Update to coronavirus death rate outside mainland China per WHO: 1.1%

CNBC's update:

10:56 am: WHO says new cases in Iran and Italy are ‘deeply concerning’

While cases in China have slowed, the “sudden increase in new cases” outside of China is “deeply concerning,” Tedros said. Outside of China, there are 2,074 cases across 28 countries, including 23 deaths, he said. “What we see is epidemics in different parts of the world, affecting countries in different ways and requiring a tailored response,” he said. —Lovelace

Coronavirus death rate climbs to 3.3%, just shy of minimum estimated Spanish flu pandemic death rate 100 years ago

A minimum of 17 million died worldwide in the Spanish flu pandemic 100 years ago when 500 million globally were infected, yielding a minimum death rate of 3.4%.

The estimates of deaths go up from there, some claiming as many as 50 million or even 100 million died.

CNBC reports this morning that total infections from Wuhan, China coronavirus number 79,400 and deaths 2,621.

The numbers are puny by comparison, but the death rate is not: 3.3%.

Absent draconian restrictions on movement and assembly this virus could kill millions similar to the Spanish flu pandemic.

The new outbreaks outside the Chinese mainland will foretell the true future for the world as many doubt the veracity of the Chinese numbers, both death counts and case counts.

AP reports 1,977 official cases of coronavirus infection outside mainland China, about 25 deaths

Story.

Death rate: 1.26%.

Mainland China death rate jumps to 3.174% from coronavirus epidemic, per CNBC through 2/22

76,936 cases and 2,442 deaths on the mainland as of Feb. 22.

LOL: Golf caddies call Trump "Pele" behind his back

Story.

Limbaugh Theorem in NV where president somebody pretends nobody elected him to do something about illegal immigration

WHO numbers per CNBC: Death rate from coronavirus infection rises to 3% (not 2%)

77,794 cases

2,348 deaths

3.018% death rate overall

Per Reuters:

In total, China has reported 75,569 cases to the WHO, and 2,239 deaths, Tedros said. According to available data, the disease remains mild in 80% of patients, and severe or critical in 20%. The virus has been fatal in 2% of reported cases.

The Reuters numbers yield 2.96%.

Someone's just phoning it in.

Absolut's no. 1 customer on all fours is at it again

Fuck you, Donald Trump, and the horse you rode in on

Bernie bro says kitchen in Sanders' $600,000 cabin at summer camp isn't fancy

New Alzheimer drug helps Hillary finally recall something

Bill Clinton was America's first black president, and Trump is America's first Jewish

Which means an actual Jewish president can't be that far in the future.

Pocahector

Here.

ICYMI, I know I did, which is how they want it: Bank failure no. 1 of 2020 occurred on Valentine's Day

Yeah, always on a Friday night, even better when it's a holiday.

It's not that the failures always happen on a Friday. It's just when the FDIC likes to pull the trigger. Put the animal down, nice and quiet like, when fewer people are paying attention.

Ericson State Bank in Ericson, Nebraska, failed on Feb 14, costing the FDIC's Deposit Insurance Fund $14.1 million.

The FDIC insures deposits at 5,256 banks and savings associations as of September 30, 2019, according to the latest bank failure press release from the FDIC.

There were four bank failures in 2019, none in 2018, eight in 2017 and five in 2016.

Clothed or naked? We demand pictures!

Dick Van Dyke, 94, is all in for Bernie and Clint Eastwood, 89, supports Bloomberg

And people say the Jews running everything is a myth.

These fools just don't get it that Mulvaney is con-man Trump's advance man for the coming amnesty and legal immigration expansion after Trump wins in November

30-year bond yield breaks to all time low

Story:

The 30-year bond yield tumbled 5.4 basis points to 1.917%, sliding below its previous all-time low of 1.95%. 

More:

On Friday the 30-year U.S. Treasury bond yield fell 5.2 basis points to 1.92% based on Tradeweb data to an all-time low of 1.89%.  

They round it up to 1.90% at Treasury

 

From the land of moonbeam governors, comes the Kool-Aid drunk by nutters

Italian outbreak of coronavirus linked to traveler who returned from visit to China on Jan 21

The first to fall ill in northern Italy met with someone who had returned from China on Jan. 21 without presenting any symptoms of the new virus, health authorities said.

Story.

16 cases of coronavirus outbreak in northern Italy

Story.

Coronavirus in Iran linked to Chinese workers in Qom who had traveled to China

The coronavirus has spread to several Iranian cities, a Health Ministry official said Friday, as an outbreak that the authorities say began in the city of Qom caused two more deaths. Iran confirmed 13 new coronavirus cases, bringing the total in the country to 18, with four of the total having died. The majority of coronavirus cases in Iran have been in Qom, a Shiite Muslim holy city 75 miles south of the capital Tehran. The new cases comprised seven people diagnosed in Qom, four in the capital Tehran and two in Gilan province, Health Ministry spokesman Kianush Jahanpur said in a tweet. Health officials had called for the suspension of all religious gatherings in Qom. “It’s clear that new coronavirus has circulated in the country and probably the source of this illness was Chinese workers who work in the city of Qom and had traveled to China,” Health Ministry official Minou Mohrez said, according to the official IRNA news agency. — Reuters

Story.

Coronavirus death rate rises again, to 2.93%

76,700+ cases

2,249 dead

The virus has now spread to Iran, where four have died, and to Lebanon.

A passenger returned from the Diamond Princess cruise ship has brought it to Israel. 

A person in Chengdu, China, almost 700 miles from Wuhan, who recovered from the infection and was discharged on Feb 10, went into quarantine at home for 14 days but re-presented with the infection this week.

The best thing about Bloomberg's debate appearance is the highly edited cringe video of it he produced but which everyone he trolled with it is calling fake

Video.

How easily Bloomberg has skewered the liberal fundamentalists, which is why he's the billionaire.

Breitbart's John Binder is one of like two people left who still can't cope with Trump's immigration betrayal as Mick Mulvaney calls for expanding immigration

White House spokesperson Stephanie Grisham told Breitbart News “it’s always been our position that we are for legal immigration.”

But! But! But!

Just three months ago, Trump slammed plans to increase the number of foreign workers in the U.S. labor market as the agenda of elected Democrats to drive down the wages of the poorest Americans.

Here.

Watch what they don't do, John, not what they say.

Trump's America First immigration agenda is in shambles because Trump was never serious about it.

We wuz had.