David Cole for Taki's Magazine warns against dismissing the "lying polls"

The disinformation campaign is everywhere.

Polls originating with a dot edu know that their job security depends on tenure, not on "maintaining a record of reasonable accuracy". 

Here:

So take some advice that I know you’re not going to take: Don’t buy the “lying polls” claim. Polls are imperfect, but generally they’re accurate. No pollster, even one who may be personally biased for or against a particular candidate, wants his name attached to a poll that predicts Dewey beating Truman. Personally biased as they may be, pollsters gotta eat too, and they know their job security depends on maintaining a record of reasonable accuracy.

Gavin McInnes pretends Trump didn't flipflop on deportation

Here.

In other words, ignore Ann Coulter, Byron York, Mark Krikorian et alia.

Yeah, what do they know.

A caller got on Rush Limbaugh today to slam Trump's deportation flip-flop

The Hill noticed here.

Rush hardly skipped a beat and poo-pooed it.

You've heard of Democrats being compared to a bucket full of eels.

Rush Limbaugh swims in a pool full of manatees.

Recent Monmouth poll showing Clinton +7 overweights younger voters who don't turnout like older voters

The Monmouth poll is here.

In the last three presidential elections voters under 45 years of age actually turned out to vote at an average rate of 52% compared with 70% for voters 45 and older. Almost half the sample in a recent Monmouth presidential poll is populated by that younger demographic, which means that the part of the sample which is more likely to represent Democrat preference could be overstating their likely election turnout for Hillary in 2016 by almost 50%.

A notable feature of the last three presidential elections has been the enormous uptick in voter turnout by young people aged 18 to 29, most of whom have been for Bernie Sanders this cycle, not Hillary Clinton. Turnout has averaged 45% for this age group since 2004 compared with 37% prior, and given the lack of enthusiasm for Hillary the turnout for this demographic may well revert to the status quo ante. 

Excepting the election in 1992 when the 18-29s turned out for Bill Clinton at almost 43%, in 1988, 1996 and 2000 they yawned Meh! turning out at an average of 34% compared to 66% for their elders aged 60+.  

The gay Frank Bruni knows a thing or two about uncontrollable compulsions, projecting his own onto Anthony Weiner and Donald Trump

This is rich, and no, not Frank Rich: "Weiner and Trump, Partners in Compulsion".

"[B]oth men are creatures of potent want and pure compulsion who lucked into forgiving audiences. Weiner’s finally stopped forgiving: Huma Abedin announced that she was formally separating from him after six years of marriage. Trump still has legions by his side. But for how long? ... Weiner sent strangers pictures of his bulge. Trump assured the viewers of a nationally televised debate that he was amply endowed. These impulses — these boasts — aren’t unrelated. ... insecure exhibitionists out for affirmation above all else?"

Trump is hands down the best candidate on illegal immigration, but NumbersUSA isn't optimistic about his deportation and H-1B visa positions

Review the candidates, here.

But will these illegal immigration positions simply become like the pro-life issue, a thing you have to assent to in future as a Republican even though you never ever get anything done on the issue once elected to office?

Black trio targets and beats Asian-American doctor in Venice Beach in his own car

From the story here:

“What happened?” the radiology tech asked, and Lee told him.

“I don’t know why they targeted me,” he said. Asian males were actually frequent targets because of the perception that they carried wads of cash on them at all times, the tech said. He saw it all the time.

“Really?” Lee asked, and the tech nodded.

“Well, this one doesn't,” Lee said.

Black punk in Philly caught on video sucker-punching and killing a 30-year old Guatemalan, politically correct cops and news won't call it a hate crime

"This appears random."

Random racism here.

Stupid, ignorant and blind liberal buys home in 100-year flood plain in Troy, NY, blames 100-year old 30-foot river wall (doh!), racism, capitalism, classism and climate change, not herself when she floods

I'm not making this up. She admits it.

Where else but in The Nation, here:

Troy floods. It has since before the Dutch arrived. I didn’t know this when I bought my house. I bought it because the chiming, rippling Poesten Kill canal runs through the backyard; because it has rusty old tin ceilings; and because I wanted to be a member of a vibrant, diverse urban neighborhood that comes together in summer evenings. ... When I realized that the property was in a floodplain, I hesitated and asked around. Friends, real-estate agents, and neighbors assuaged my fears: It’s a 100-year floodplain, they said—and look at the height of those canal embankments! You’ll be fine. ... We weren’t legally required to have flood insurance, and we couldn’t find enough money in the budget for it anyway. So we decided that we would take our chances. ... 

Hey Donald, you want hard, we'll give you hard: This is how we deport 'em from Michigan!

Story here.

Or, to put it another way, 47% of Americans don't vote on average (there's that number again)

On average 26% of registered voters don't vote in presidential elections

On average just 53% of the voting age population has voted for president since 1972

RNC fundraising in July 2016 is down 61% from July 2012: Donors exhausted about $750 million on 16 losers in the primaries

OpenSecrets has the RNC story here.

Stupid liberals blame this fundraising debacle on Trump when Republicans have only themselves to blame for throwing tons of good money after bad during the primaries, exhausting the donors. If the dopes at Politicus had just opened up OpenSecrets they'd have seen how.

Jeb! Bush burned through $152 million as of August 22nd, and won bupkis.

Lyin' Ted Cruz? $155 million spent.

Little Marco? $164 million (he's over $2 million in the hole, which is the real reason why he flip-flopped and decided to run for the Senate again).

John Kasich spent $40 million (and he's nearly $6 million in the hole, which is exactly what he deserves).

Chris Christie spent nearly $32 million.

Ben Carson, you won't believe it, spent nearly $79 million.

Scott Walker: almost $33 million.

Carly Fiorina: almost $26 million.

Rand Paul spent over $21 million.

Mike Huckabee spent $10.5 million and he's still $275,000 in the hole. 

Lindsey Grahamnesty: over $10 million.

Bobby Jindal blew nearly $6 million.

Rick Perry: over $17 million, also in the red by $111,000.

And Rick Santorum spent $2.5 million and he's in the red $412,000.

Pataki and Gilmore bring up the rear with relatively smaller sums.

Donald Trump has spent over $97 million and yet has over $40 million in the bank.

It's clear from the fundraising that there were only four or five real contenders here, not seventeen: Bush, Rubio, Cruz, Trump and Carson. And after four riveting televised debates before Thanksgiving 2015 polling showed the same thing, and arguably Bush no longer belonged up there. The RNC should have put its foot down at that point and cut the debate stage to four: You pull 10 points in the polls or you're out.

Things might have turned out very differently. Instead we had to listen to Kasich, Christie, Fiorina and Paul divert attention away from an in depth examination of the issues dividing the candidates attracting over 70% of Republican eyeballs. The candidate might have been better for it today, and the party more unified and flush.

Russell Kirk voted for the Roman Catholic in 1976

Democrats launder money for Hillary: Crooked maxed out donors to DNC give big to state parties who strip their names and send $ to DNC

Bloomberg reports here, calling it an "unprecedented workaround":

At least $7.3 million of the DNC’s July total originated with payments from hundreds of major donors who had already contributed the maximum $33,400 to the national committee, a review of Federal Election Commission filings shows. The contributions, many of which were made months earlier, were first bundled by the Hillary Victory Fund and then transferred to the state Democratic parties, which effectively stripped the donors’ names and sent the money to the DNC as a lump sum. ... Four state parties that received $2.8 million in transfers from the Hillary Victory Fund in July didn’t disclose the names of the donors who were the source of the funds, as FEC regulations require. In each case, the identical amount of incoming money was sent to the DNC the same day it was received.

Trump is imploding on deportation, delays speech again

The speech was supposed to happen this week in Colorado. The new manager Kellyanne Conway put a stop to that.

The speech was then delayed until next week in Arizona.

Now it's delayed maybe two weeks.

Story here.

Trump started his campaign A YEAR AGO centered on illegal immigration and he still needs more time to get his act together on deportation?

Biracial quarterback Kaepernick averages $19 million per year, protests his country for oppressing black people

Hey Colin! They could use your help in Milwaukee!

I guess he wants $20 million. Either that or he knows he's history with the 'Niners and is preparing to sue for racial discrimination.

Meanwhile the rest of us got a 50% pay cut during the Obama administration.

Somebody hand that guy a broom.

Story here.

One day after Rebekah Mercer, Stephen Bannon and Kellyanne Conway took over the campaign, Trump started apologizing

They took over August 17th.

Here was Trump, August 18th:

“Sometimes, in the heat of the debate and speaking on a multitude of issues, you don’t choose the right words or you say the wrong thing. I have done that, and I regret it, particularly where it may have caused personal pain. Too much is at stake for us to be consumed with these issues." 

Not exactly the Trump of July 2015:


Moderator Frank Luntz asked Trump whether he has ever asked God for forgiveness for his actions. "I am not sure I have. I just go on and try to do a better job from there. I don't think so," he said. "I think if I do something wrong, I think, I just try and make it right. I don't bring God into that picture. I don't."

Trump's new campaign manager as of Aug. 17, Kellyanne Conway, was all in with Zuckerberg's fwd.us in 2014

Kellyanne Conway participated in the fwd.us effort, here, which concludes:

There is a strong sentiment in the country that undocumented immigrants should not be granted amnesty; this immigration reform proposal addresses that issue by requiring that undocumented immigrants pay a fine, taxes owed, learn English and wait at least thirteen years until they can become citizens.

Americans across party lines believe this is not amnesty, but rather a fair and equitable way of dealing with the eleven million undocumented immigrants in the country. Hitting the 70 percent mark nationwide, this proposal wins broad support from the electorate.

Finally, this generates a more positive electoral environment for Republicans, as it creates an opening to a significant number of swing voters for GOP candidates.