Fire threatens California sequoias because Governors Moonbeam and Gavin Newsom didn't bother to clean up the fuel on the ground since 2013

 

The blaze in Yosemite National Park was measured at 2,044 acres by evening. It had no containment, and it was likely to continue to grow amid light winds and hot conditions, U.S. Forest Service officials said Sunday. ...

The summer temperatures were abetted by abundant fuel, officials said. Garrett Dickman, a Yosemite National Park biologist, explained the problem in simple terms: “There’s a lot of wood on the ground, and that wood is going up in smoke.”

Wood on the ground includes dead trees and branches from a 2013-15 die-off.

More.

Climate Update for KGRR: 2Q2022

Climate Update for KGRR: 2Q2022

Spring was just 1.2% warmer than the mean by average temperature, on the strength of slightly higher highs and higher lows, and only 3% wetter than usual. 

Average Temperature: 58.1

Mean Average Temperature: 57.4

Rain: 10.68

Mean Rain: 10.37

Snow (official season end +6.6%): 71

Mean: 66.6

Heating Degree Days (official season end -6.2%): 6282

Mean: 6694

Cooling Degree Days through June: 250

Mean: 184

Maximum temperatures vs. mean in 2Q

Apr: 82/79

May: 87/86

Jun: 95/91

Minimum temperatures vs. mean in 2Q

Apr: 23/22

May: 36/32

Jun: 45/43

This story blames climate change for homeless deaths, never once mentions the families who abandon them and the role played by drug abuse in their homelessness

 Sweltering streets: Hundreds of homeless die in extreme heat

 

One family, which presumably lived in a home where they presumably wrote the obituary and where the woman could have stayed temporarily, blames "the system" for the death of their homeless sister:

 

When a 62-year-old mentally ill woman named Shawna Wright died last summer in a hot alley in Salt Lake City, her death only became known when her family published an obituary saying the system failed to protect her during the hottest July on record, when temperatures reached the triple digits.

Her sister, Tricia Wright, said making it easier for homeless people to get permanent housing would go a long way toward protecting them from extreme summertime temperatures.

“We always thought she was tough, that she could get through it,” Tricia Wright said of her sister. “But no one is tough enough for that kind of heat.”

 

Climate Update for KGRR: 1Q2022

Climate Update for KGRR: 1Q2022

Winter was 1.5% colder than the mean by average temperature, 1% colder by heating degree days, 44% wetter, and 25% snowier. 

Average Temperature: 27.0

Mean Average Temperature: 27.4

Rain: 9.13

Mean Rain: 6.33

Snow: 50.8

Mean Snow: 40.8

Heating Degree Days: 3389

Mean Heating Degree Days: 3356

Average temperature in 2021 in Grand Rapids, Michigan, was the eighth highest on record in 124 years

The trend line after 123 years of data shows average temperature in Grand Rapids, Michigan, rising 0.7 degrees F, or 0.388 degrees C, 65% less than the 1.1 degrees C claimed for the world by the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change yesterday.

And the minimal warming in Grand Rapids may in fact be misleading. Five of the data points in those top eight are from the last twenty-five years, during which increasing development around the KGRR measuring station may well be contributing heat island effects.

 

 

Anti-capitalist climate scaremongers of the UN IPCC delayed another report because of "disputes over the exact wording of the document"

 The story oddly mentions the dispute without elaborating.

‘It’s now or never’: World’s top climate scientists issue ultimatum on critical temperature limit :

IPCC scientists also repeated calls for a substantial reduction in fossil fuel use to curb global heating, now at 1.1 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels. ...

“Climate change is the result of more than a century of unsustainable energy and land use, lifestyles and patterns of consumption and production,” the IPCC’s Skea said. “This report shows how taking action now can move us towards a fairer, more sustainable world.”

What these liars won't tell you is that it was MUCH warmer on Planet Earth in the Late Bronze Age, during the period of the Roman Republic and Empire, and in Medieval times than it is today. Ancient warming made human civilization flourish, and the warming wasn't caused by humans using "fossil fuels", nor has using fossil fuels returned global temperatures to anything like they were in antiquity.

Holocene warming peaked long ago and is trending lower even as human civilization has flourished, and staying alive in future will depend on STAYING WARM and growing enough food to support the increased population, which means developing and using every energy resource at our disposal.

 

Shackleton's "Endurance" finally found at the bottom of the Weddell Sea where climate is still the same more than a hundred years later

Battling sea ice and freezing temperatures, the team had been searching for more than two weeks in a 150-square-mile area around where the ship went down in 1915. ...  

The hunt for the wreck, which cost more than $10 million, provided by a donor who wished to remain anonymous, was conducted from a South African icebreaker that left Cape Town in early February. ...

Once the wreck was located several days ago . . ..

Shackleton was tripped up by the Weddell’s notoriously thick, long-lasting sea ice, which results from a circular current that keeps much ice within it. In early January 1915 Endurance became stuck less than 100 miles from its destination and drifted with the ice for more than 10 months as the ice slowly crushed it. ...

The Weddell Sea still remains far icier than other Antarctic waters . . ..

The icebreaker, Agulhas II, left the search area on Tuesday [yesterday, March 8] for the 11-day voyage back to Cape Town.

More.

Why do you think it's taken this long to find the wreck?

Conditions there are as inhospitable now as they have ever been, and are forbidding even to a $10 million expedition using a modern icebreaker and fancy undersea gear with sonar and high resolution cameras and a short window of opportunity of only "several days" to spend documenting the find once they'd found it before having to high tail it out of there.

From departure from Cape Town Saturday February 5 to departure from the Weddell Sea Tuesday March 8 was thirty-one days.

That's the news that's not mentioned by The New York Times, even while mentioning it.

 

Endurance's coal-fired steam engine could make 10 knots

Station KGRR of the National Weather Service is increasingly unreliable

Yesterday's predicted high was 50 degrees F. 

It made it to 38.5 on my device not far from the airport right around 5PM last night. I only cared about it because I was earnestly expecting the warm temperatures to make it easier on me while I pumped some standing water from a low spot on my property.

The National Weather Service 3-day history shows the high was 39 degrees F, right at about that time. It is customary for the NWS to round up to the next degree once the value hits .5.

But both the Daily Almanac and the Climatology pages show the high was 40 F.

Looks like lying and bias in favor of global warming to me, on top of not being able to predict the damn weather tomorrow.

 

When people lie about everything in a society, even the smallest details, that society is finished because without trust there can be no society.

 

 

 

 

Canada's "fringe minority" comes to a very cold downtown Ottawa in a 45-mile truck convoy with a message for Justin Trudeau and his vaccine mandate

 https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10456147/Justin-Trudeau-flees-secret-location-50-000-Freedom-Convoy-truckers-hit-Ottawa.html

Climate Update for KGRR: September 2021

 

 

 

 

 

Climate Update for KGRR: September 2021

Max T 86, Mean 88

 

Min T 47, Mean 37 (tied for second highest minimum temperature on record with 1933; only 2019 and 2016 had higher minimums at 48; once again, so-called "global warming" is more a story of moderating at the cold end of the spectrum than of heating at the high end)

 

Av T 65.6, Mean 62.8 (actual to date is running 4.2% above mean to date)

 

Rain 3.34, Mean 3.59 (actual to date is down to just 0.69 above mean to date, or 2.6%; but October precipitation is already well ahead of normal to date, by 1.4; La Nina!)

 

Cooling Degree Days 70, Mean 75

CDD to date 870, Mean 691 (26% higher; the season will crack the list of warmest 20 summers on record; recall that the previous Heating Degree Day season was the 15th mildest winter on record)

 

Climate Update for KGRR: August 2021

Climate Update for KGRR: August 2021

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Max T 92, Mean 92

 

Min T 53, Mean 47:

 

Tied for sixth warmest August on record to 1892 by minimum temperature, with five other years ("global warming" is a transient phenomenon of recently moderating lows with 56% of the twenty-five warmest Augusts by minimum temperature on record occurring since 1960; that drops to 48% occurring since 1960 for the thirty-eight warmest Augusts by minimum temperature).

Av T 74.3, Mean 70.3:

 

Ninth warmest August on record by average temperature; the top five warmest Augusts were all before 1960.

 

Rain 2.33, Mean 3.06

 

Cooling Degree Days 295, Mean 190:

 

Ninth warmest August on record by CDD; the top five warmest were all before 1960.

 

CDD to date 800, Mean to date 616:

 

Six of the ten warmest years by total annual CDD (all ten above 963) are all before 1940, with 1921 at 1200 way out front as the hottest on record. Mean CDD for September is 76, so it would take a real scorcher in September 2021 to even hope of cracking the top ten for annual CDD. So far we are at 35 CDD in September.  

Climate Update for KGRR: July 2021 was utterly normal

 

 

 

 

Climate Update for KGRR: July 2021 was utterly normal, UTTERLY I SAY!

Max T 89, Mean 94

Min T 53, Mean 49

Av T 72.3, Mean 72.3

Rain 4.44, Mean 3.15

Cooling Degree Days 236, Mean 242; CDD to date 505, Mean to date 426.

 

By average temperature, July 2021 was utterly normal, registering the mean. But to listen to the headlines, July 2021 was the hottest July ever globally. How then did Grand Rapids escape such abnormality by registering such utter normality? Should there not be some sign of temperature pressure in Grand Rapids from this horrible state of affairs all around us, as there was for example in 1936, the hottest July in the United States on record, or in 1901, the second hottest July? 

It's all BS. Grand Rapids' hottest days are long behind us, as are the world's, as Tony Heller frequently demonstrates.

Grand Rapids' 11 hottest months of July by average temperature are overwhelmingly a thing of the past. 8 of the 11 instances, 73%, occurred from 1936 and earlier. Just three instances occurred in the post-war. The record breaking heat waves of 1936 and 1901 made themselves clearly felt in Grand Rapids, both years making the top five, while the so-called hottest July ever globally, July 2021, was a giant nothing burger for heat.

1921: 79.7 degrees F

2012: 79.2

1916: 78.7

1901: 78.1

1936: 77.3

2011: 77.0

1955: 76.9

1934: 76.8

1935: 76.5

1897: 76.3

1931: 75.8.

 

 

Michigan is increasingly like a third world shit-hole: Day four without electrical power from Consumers Energy, over 81k still affected

My electric power went out Tuesday night at about 11pm.

It is still out.

Over 81,000 customers, just of Consumers Energy, remain without power four days after a line of storms came through.

The utility runs ads on the radio incessantly saying "Count on us"!

It spends more time and money trying to get consumers to curtail electric usage than it does providing it.

It decommissions coal fired generating capacity and then turns around and buys electricity from Indiana. Under Democrat Gretchen Whitmer we are increasingly like California. 

The utility is a cruel joke, especially this week as humidity levels soared with the heat. Indoor temperatures at night above 80 degrees F make for miserable sleeping, when sleeping occurs at all.

The air is full of the sound of generators, day and night. Lines are long at gasoline stations where people wait to fill their cans to get them through another night.

Green energy isn't green, and the power company doesn't provide it, green or otherwise.

 

 

The weekend help at KGRR ain't cuttin' it: They predicted 90 F, we made it to 86

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Imagine being that far off about temperature predictions for a decade from now, or for a century from now, and you get my meaning.

Climate Update for KGRR: June 2021

June 2021 was very warm, and about as wet as it gets. The month was the 12th warmest on record by average temperature, and the second wettest, behind only June 1892 when 13.22 inches of rain fell.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Climate Update for KGRR: June 2021

Max T 90, Mean 91

Min T 41, Mean 43

Av T 70.9, Mean 67.7

 

Rain 8.49, Mean 3.58 (there are now 23 months since 1892 in the record with rain in excess of 8.0 inches-13 months in the range of 8.0, six months in the range of 9.0, one at 10.01, two in the range of 11.0, and the all time record 13.22 inches)

 

Snow 0, Mean T, Season now concludes with 46.1 inches, Mean season 66.6 (21st least snowy season on record)

Heating degree days 26, Mean 53, Season now concludes with 6170, Mean season 6697 (15th warmest on record at 7.9% fewer HDD than the mean)

Cooling degree days 207, Mean 140

 

July is 2/3 in the bank and is already behind the mean to date for both rain and cooling degree days. 

The crabbed little view of climate from Worcestershire

Something called the "environment manager" from Worcestershire has circulated these charts on Twitter, as if they say something profound about "how things have changed".

Oh really.

 

.

.

 

 

 

 

 

 

June 1976 vs. June 2021 are compared for temperature anomaly relative to what amounts to a microscopic baseline, 1951-1980. This baseline was doubtlessly cherry-picked because average temperatures were conveniently cooler during this period than both before it and after it.

For my station, KGRR, the June average annual mean temperature during the baseline period is 67.1. But before that it was 67.7, and 68.1 after it.  That little baseline period gives you the maximum anomaly. June 1976 was 2.3 degrees F higher than 67.1, and June 2021 3.8 degrees F higher, but this tells you nothing important.

 

You can't conclude anything significant from this when there were three hotter Junes than June 2021 in 1987, 1991, and 2005. Hot as it was, June 2021 was cooler than those three Junes. Are we cooling?

In fact, for KGRR since 1892, there were 11 Junes HOTTER than June 2021 all told. And while three of those occurred since the end of the chosen baseline period in 1980 as just mentioned, eight occurred before 1951: June 1919, 1933, 1921, 1934, 1923, 1949, 1894, 1931.

 

That's 8 Junes before 1951 all hotter than June 2021, and 3 Junes since 1980 which were hotter.

Nothing's really changed. Hot Junes were more frequent in the distant past.

And keep in mind that those global temperature maps aren't based on measurements. Temperatures all over the place aren't "taken". Most are modeled, and many are "imputed" from measurements taken too far away to pass the smell test.

 

But they are very colorful.

You fools who won't have enough electricity for air conditioning this summer have only yourselves to blame

From the story:

Peak temperatures are forecast to reach 115 degrees Fahrenheit (46°C) in interior California through the week, according to the state's electric grid operator, which warned the biggest supply deficit could occur on Thursday after the sun goes down and solar power is no longer available. ...

On Wednesday, solar power was providing about 30% of California ISO's supply, and the grid warned that it would be unlikely to be able to rely on additional supplies from other states due to the extreme heat hitting much of the Western United States.

The ISO was currently getting 13% of its power from other states. The ISO has said it expects to have about 50,734 MW of supply available this summer, but some of that comes from solar.

102,000 MW of coal-fired electric capacity was retired from 2010-2019, over 38,000 MW alone in 2012, 2015 and 2018. Another 17,000 MW is scheduled to be retired by 2025. 

The EIA blamed "flat electricity demand growth" during the decade for the retirements.

It should have blamed Obama, under whom real GDP grew at a rate worse than during the Great Depression.

But YOU elected him.

Twice.

 

 

The National Weather Service predicts Ice-Out for the Tanana River at Nenana will be at the usual time, with river ice normal depth after big cold snap in February and March into April

 

Ice-Out for The Nenana Ice Classic is going to be delayed, but it's too late to buy your ticket anyway

All-time April low could fall in Alaskan city :

"A cold snap this extreme in April hasn’t been experienced in the Fairbanks area since 1911, when three consecutive record lows were set from April 9-11," Duff said. Two of these record lows are likely to be challenged during the latest cold wave, including Thursday night’s record of minus 16 F and Friday night’s record of minus 32 F.

Nenana Ice Classic 2021 

Hey! Where's the rope on that thing?

Earliest Ice-Out ever since 1917 was April 14 (2019).

Trend for Tanana River Ice-Outs 1917-2020 continues to show them occurring much earlier after 104 years

This is a corrected chart and supersedes all previous iterations. Data in the chart has been double-checked again against printed versions of the data available from the Nenana Ice Classic. One or two dates were incorrectly shown in previous versions of my chart through 2018. 

The overall trend earlier in those charts remains unchanged, however, and has been reinforced by the record-setting early Ice-Out in 2019 on April 14. This is because of the preponderance of relatively earlier Ice-Outs April 30 through May 7, of which there are forty-five. With or without the record early Ice-Out on April 14, 2019 and the relatively early 2020 Ice-Out on April 27, the median date remains the same: May 4. Half the Ice-Outs occur before that date, half after.

Otherwise from April 14-29 there are 27 early Ice-Outs vs. May 8-20 with 32 late Ice-Outs:

April 14-21: 3

April 22-29: 24

April 30-May 7: 45

May 8-15: 29

May 16-20: 3.

Is "global warming" at work?

If you back out all data from the year 2000 onward, here's what you get:

April 14-21: 2

April 22-29: 14

April 30-May 7: 37

May 8-15: 28

May 16-20: 2.

Median date: May 5.

Obviously the biggest impact since 1999 has been on the week April 22-29, adding ten early Ice-Outs, moving the median date earlier by one day after 20 years.

Another thing it does, however, is balance out the data surrounding April 30-May 7, which otherwise was weighted heavier later, with far more Ice-Outs in the second week of May than the last week of April. It could be that over the long course of history prior to 1917 we're missing a lot of early Ice-Outs which recent warming has only now supplied.

For example, we know early 20th century temperatures were warm enough for Roald Amundsen famously to make it through the Northwest Passage from east to west in his small wooden herring ship between 1903-1906. He finally traversed the western half of the Canadian island archipelago during 1905 after being ice bound in the heart of it for two winters. In August 1905 he put in at Herschel Island 5 miles off the north coast of Canada due to ice. From there he skied 500 miles south to Eagle, Alaska, in order to send a message by telegraph wire of the news of his singular achievement. The wire was sent on December 5, 1905. Amundsen spent two months in Eagle before skiing back to his ship and sailing on to Nome in 1906, where his ship then remained until 1972. 

Eagle, AK, incidentally, is about 200 miles due east of the Fairbanks Area, which includes Nenana. The mean average temperature for the Fairbanks Area since 1999 is 28.6 vs. 26.3 1904-1999.

The data for Ice-Outs since 1999 is what it is, evidence of warming.