Thursday, September 10, 2020

Wednesday, September 9, 2020

It's been a bumper crop of stupid lately from the PhDs, from Boston University to Hillsdale College

Ibram Kendi of Boston University for The Atlantic completely slaughters the meaning of the traditional Latin motto of the United States, perhaps the most basic thing everyone used to remember from civics classes, and Ben Winegard of Hillsdale College doesn't have the foggiest idea that "contingency" is a philosophical concept derived from Aristotle by way of St. Thomas Aquinas (contingent being), and that Gould is actually arguing against egalitarianism.

You don't have to be Rush Limbaugh to be a big fat idiot these days.

Could be just about anybody, and too often is.

Beware dumbasses . . . everywhere.






Monday, September 7, 2020

I'll bet Kamala Harris loves sweet potato, too

"Sweet Potato Tastes Good. I Like It."

Climate update for KGRR August 2020

Climate update for KGRR August 2020

Max T 91, Mean 92
Min T 52, Mean 47 (tied for 5th warmest low on record with 2018, 2001 and 1938; 1900 and 1939 are tied for warmest minimum at 56)
Av T 72, Mean 70.3
Rain 2.6, Mean 3.07
CDD 228, Mean 189
Cooling Degree Days, season to date 793, Mean to date 615


Hillsdale College "conservative" repeating stupid about COVID


BREAKING: AIRLINER WITH 167 ABOARD CRASHES IN ATLANTIC, KILLING ONLY 10 . . .

 

THE OTHER 94% DIED OF HEART DISEASE, CANCER, DIABETES, OBESITY, DROWNING, AND SHARK ATTACK. -- The New York Postmortem

Sunday, September 6, 2020

Despite having below average growth rates for Covid deaths over the summer, New Jersey, New York, Illinois, Massachusetts and Pennsylvania all made the top ten list for deaths contributed






























Top US states for COVID-19 deaths added Memorial Day weekend to Labor Day weekend:

TX 12,138
CA  9,940
FL  9,578
*NJ  4,904
AZ  4,408
GA 4,048
*NY 3,679
*IL  3,588
*MA 2,812
*PA 2,716
SC 2,452
*LA 2,352
OH 2,300
NC 2,150.

The compound daily growth rate for US COVID-19 deaths weekly has hit a new low

But don't be fooled.

Deaths per day measured on a monthly basis continues to rise after bottoming in June:

Mar    138
Apr  1,961
May 1,330
Jun     769
Jul      851
Aug    955
Sep    987 (5 days).

Total deaths added between Memorial Day weekend and Labor Day weekend from all states came to 91,350. That's equal to more than 94% of the deaths added until May 23.





Hard hit states NY and NJ from the beginning of the pandemic continue to feature prominently in the list of states adding the most deaths over the summer, if not in the headlines. While everyone was crowing about how bad Arizona was, New Jersey and New York were still in the top 10 contributing deaths, along with Illinois, Massachusetts and Pennsylvania. Georgia made headlines for political reasons (Republican governor) while California did not.

TX 12,138
CA  9,940
FL  9,578
NJ  4,904
AZ  4,408
GA 4,048
NY 3,679
IL  3,588
MA 2,812
PA 2,716
SC 2,452
LA 2,352
OH 2,300
NC 2,150.

We remain on track to post nearly 300k dead by the end of the year.


Friday, September 4, 2020

If summer death trends continue, expect 235,000 to 241,000 US COVID-19 deaths by the end of October 2020

COVID-19 deaths per day in the US averaged 769 in June, 851 in July, and 955 in August, per the New York Times data I track.

At the average of these, 858 per day, we'll be at 235,811 by the end of October, and 288,149 by the end of the year.

At the August rate we'll be at 241,728 by 10/31 and 299,983 by the end of the year.

Compound daily growth rates measured weekly over the three months show a decline, a rise, and a decline, producing these comparatively modest ascending results. Daily deaths in April averaged 1,961 and 1,330 in May.

Deaths from COVID-19 in the US in 2020 are already the third leading cause of death, ahead of unintentional injuries using 2017 data as a benchmark, and they will stay that way.

Top causes of 2,813,503 registered deaths in 2017: 

Heart disease 647,457
Cancer 599,108
Unintentional injuries 169,936
COPD, other lung diseases 160,201
Stroke, other brain vascular disorders 146,383...
Flu 55,672

More.

 






Monday, August 31, 2020

Hey Rush Limbaugh, you big fat idiot, cancer isn't the cause of death in the majority of lung cancer deaths! 94% died of contributing causes!

The autopsies from 100 patients who died of lung cancer between 1990 and February 2011 were analyzed.

Tumor burden was judged the immediate cause of death in 30 cases. ...

Infection was the immediate cause of death for 20 patients. ...

Complications of metastatic disease were the immediate causes of death in 18 cases ... 6 cases of hemopericardium from pericardial metastases, 3 from myocardial metastases, 3 from liver metastases, and 3 from brain metastases. 

Other immediate causes of death were pulmonary hemorrhage (12 cases),

pulmonary embolism (10 cases, 2 tumor emboli),

and pulmonary diffuse alveolar damage (7 cases).

From a functional (pathophysiologic) perspective, respiratory failure could be regarded as the immediate cause of death (or mechanism of death) in 38 cases, usually because of a combination of lung conditions, including emphysema, airway obstruction, pneumonia, hemorrhage, embolism, resection, and lung injury in addition to the tumor.

For 94 of the 100 patients, there were contributing causes of death, with an average of 2.5 contributing causes and up to 6 contributing causes of death.

The numerous and complex ways lung cancer kills patients pose a challenge for efforts to extend and improve their lives. Lung cancer kills in many ways.

Bronchial obstruction from lung cancer can cause pneumonia, making pneumonia the immediate cause of death.

Lung cancer can invade and disrupt blood vessels with resulting fatal hemorrhage.

The hypercoagulable state of malignancy from lung cancer can cause fatal pulmonary thromboembolism.

The burden of tumor in the lungs or the liver can cause these organs to fail, resulting in a patient's demise.

The tumor burden of extensive widespread metastases can essentially starve to death a patient with lung cancer.

These are only some of the mechanisms of death from lung cancer.

Although lung cancer is the leading cause of cancer death worldwide, including more than 150 000 deaths/y in the United States, little is published identifying or quantifying the causes of death for patients with lung cancer.


But there you go today, still America's biggest dummy, having learned absolutely nothing about your own, pathetic situation and what the CDC is trying to tell you:

... the CDC. “For 6% of the deaths COVID-19 was the only cause mentioned. For deaths with conditions or causes in addition to COVID-19 on average, there were 2.6 additional conditions or causes.” These are called morbidities. In other words, folks, for 94% of deaths, the virus was there but didn’t cause the deaths.

No Rush, just the opposite. You always manage somehow to get these things totally ass-backwards.

Most of the things which will kill you because of your lung cancer wouldn't kill you if not for your cancer, same as most of the things which kill COVID-19 victims wouldn't kill them, and more importantly don't kill them, if not for the virus.




Sunday, August 30, 2020

Growth of COVID-19 deaths in the US continues to slow, hospitalizations have plummeted almost 20k in a month

trend looks good for possible re-test of Jul 4 low
a new interim low of 763 was set on Wed Aug 26
WA & MO have been at 9 interminably, but TN just popped to 10 (not shown)
For hospitalization metrics shown Texas is in pink in the graphs, California in blue, Florida in green and Georgia in brown. Click image to expand. Those are the states with the largest number hospitalized as of today. All are coping just fine.

A month ago nearly 20k more were hospitalized nationwide for coronavirus than now.

I will have to make some different charts for deaths in the near future to capture the evolving picture.

Saturday, August 29, 2020

Michael Anton, Publius Decius Mus, is back, and it's still Flight 93

After “Is 2020 another ‘Flight 93 election?’” the question I most often hear is “What happens if Trump loses?”
  
The answer to the first question, unfortunately, is yes, but more so. 
 

Wednesday, August 26, 2020

The George Floyd hospital blood toxicology results entered in evidence yesterday are the biggest story of the summer, and Mark Levin isn't even interested tonight

Same old, same old Mark Levin, Mr. NeverTrump for most of 2016.

This dinosaur is so behind the curve on everything it's ridiculous, comic, entertainment!

Chief Hennepin County Medical Examiner: "Hospital Blood" from George Floyd as opposed to autopsy blood showed "fatal level of fentanyl" consistent with "overdose death"


They've known this shit since June 1 but it wasn't filed with the court until August 25.

These bastards in Minnesota inflamed the whole country over nothing.

Sunday, August 23, 2020

Hillsdale College, Rush Limbaugh's bastion of conservatism, employs an assistant professor of psychology who thinks human beings of no more significance than cicadas

If that's true, then we can exterminate human beings at will: Blacks, Muslims, Jews, Whites, Christians, Hindus, old people, infants, and our rotten, noisy neighbors. 

After which we can eat them, just like Rush Limbaugh's great Americans, the Donner Party. 

The coronavirus death trend overall shows continued improvement in the United States through 8/22

The compound daily growth rate of deaths for the whole country has dropped again in the last week, as has the sum of average daily new deaths in the 15 worst states since the beginning.

10 second tier states, however, continue to show an uptrend in deaths measured the same way.

Today's hospitalization snapshot shows things have really cooled off in the hardest hit states. Texas (pink), Florida (green), California (blue), Georgia (brown) and Illinois (purple) are shown in the charts for three metrics relative to New York (gray).

Arizona has dropped to 9th for hospitalization severity.  The Grand Canyon State is presently contributing an average of 23 daily new deaths since the beginning of the pandemic to the totals. On July 11 the average was just 13. 2,602 people have died there from coronavirus since then.