Thursday, September 29, 2022

First it was the US Army actually recruiting a Chinese spy, now its first trans officer is a spy for the Russians but the CNBC story won't mention the trans part or show the picture

 You can't make this shit up.

  
 

 CNBC has updated the story:

Henry in 2015 was reported to be the first known active-duty Army officer to come out as transgender.

Thanks Obama!

Thanks Joe!

The update is still riddled with typos and even an incomplete sentence, but they've made sure to get the major's personal pronouns right.

The major is a real piece of work.

It's all in the eyes.



Wednesday, September 28, 2022

Tuesday, September 27, 2022

The Great Long Term Investment Grade Bond Debacle of 2022

Safe havens aren't supposed to do this.

Long term return for VWESX since inception in 1973 near the end of 2018 reached north of 8%.

In 2022 ytd return is -27.28%.

The whole spectrum of bonds as represented by VBTLX is down ytd 14.79%.

Traditional investors with a 60/40 portfolio are down over 20% through yesterday because stocks and bonds both are falling.

Cash is king again.

 


LOL, Democrat Larry Summers is EXTREMELY ALARMED by the reappearance of Reagan-like TAX CUTS in the UK

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Larry knows danger when he sees it.

Larry is all Trussed up and ready for action!



Monday, September 26, 2022

Yes, very attractive, imma gonna run right out anda buy your new designs

 


Fetterman's giant self-own: I have nine dates tattooed on my right forearm, each one a day on which someone died violently while I was mayor

 Didn't do a very good job as mayor then, did ya fella?

Fetterman to Tucker: Lay off my tattoos!

That's because we're hanging up on the pollsters, if we answer at all

 SILVER: Polls Still Do Not Show Republican Bounceback...

Phony boom narrative under Trump continues under Biden, only the lie is much bigger

 Factory Jobs Booming Like It's 1970s...

Well, it's the lying New York Times, of course, and drive-by repeater, Drudge.

The summer peak in 2019 was 12.905 million.

The summer peak in 2022 was 12.916 million, up . . . eleven thousand! Woo hoo!

Meanwhile in the 1970s, many MILLIONS more worked in manufacturing in the United States, and many millions more as a share of the population:

11.8% of the population in 1979 on average vs. just 4.9% in August 2022!

From the end of the story, lol:

Eight percent of the surveyed companies reported moving segments of their supply chain out of China to the United States in the past year, while another 16 percent had moved some operations to other countries. But 78 percent of the companies said they had not shifted any business away from China.

 


 


Sunday, September 25, 2022

Mike Lee is such a phony, advocating for a clean continuing resolution instead of a last minute omnibus, as if there's much of a difference

 Mike hopes you never hear of regular order again.

Here.

Last guy to mention it I think was Paul Ryan in 2015:

"We need to let every member contribute, not once they earn their stripes, but now," he said. "The committees should take the lead in drafting all major legislation: If you know the issue, you should write the bill. Let's open up the process." "In other words," he said, "we need to return to regular order."

Sorry NY Daily News, NYC criminal behavior remains an overwhelmingly black phenomenon

 

Get ready to be working zero hours per week, at least for money

 


Saturday, September 24, 2022

Two conditions need to develop before buying bonds

. . . the trend in the bond market . . . still looks bearish. ...

As yields rise and inflation eases, the relative allure of bond payouts becomes attractive, in absolute and relative terms vs. other assets.

James Picerno, here

Yields are indeed rising, but prices are still falling, so no, not quite yet. Bond prices ought to stabilize when inflation finally eases, and so far prices haven't stabilized.

VWESX is instructive.

There's just a handful of years back in the 1980s where the average price of this very long term investment grade bond fund had been below $8 like the current price is today.

That's one reason why Jeffrey Gundlach rightly says that bonds are "wickedly cheap".

But VWESX only just got there on September 20th, hitting $7.99. We're down to $7.88 this weekend.

Meanwhile yields across this investment grade spectrum are bunched up in the fours, with only about 55 basis points difference between the shorts and longs, and intermediates effectively paying the same as or more than longs.

Prices on the longs need to fall a lot more before making them more attractive than intermediates if you are going to settle for only similar yield.

After all, the long term average return of investment grade longs is north of 7.5%, not in the fours.

But what the hell do I know?

Invest, or don't, at your own risk.

Friday, September 23, 2022

Adam Tooze: Central bankers' hands were forced in 2010, the poor dears, they aren't the lords of easy money, no, they're its slaves, just like us

 Here, for The New York Times:

If you are worried about wealth inequality in the United States, then the solution is not to tighten monetary policy but to make structural changes to the country’s financial system, starting with the undergrowth of shadow banking. Serious taxation of wealth and capital gains would also push in the right direction.
It would no doubt help if onetime central bankers, rather than cycling in and out of private finance, spoke out seriously in favor of reform. They would be doing the public a service if they spelled out the way that their hands were forced by the current incestuous intertwining of public debt markets with hedge funds and the like. Ultimately, however, it is politics that must grasp the nettle of change.
In the current dispensation, it may be flattering for central bankers to be cast as maestros, but in practice they are less the lords of easy money than its functionaries.     
 
 
Central bankers cycle in and out of private finance raking in millions, Adam.
 
If anyone were serious about restructuring the country's financial system, the place to start would be by restoring the key missing feature of capitalism without which it doesn't really exist. It's called bankruptcy. 

Thursday, September 22, 2022

Bond yields should fall as stocks sell off, lol

 Yield on the US 1-year is beating everything with a club in 2022, up 920% year to date.

Hide your baby seals.



When interest rates effectively went to zero in 2009 and stayed there, no one could figure out where the inflation was going lol