Imagine being that far off about temperature predictions for a decade
from now, or for a century from now, and you get my meaning.
Sunday, August 8, 2021
The weekend help at KGRR ain't cuttin' it: They predicted 90 F, we made it to 86
Coronavirus hospitalizations in the US have surged to levels similar to spring and summer 2020, Florida numbers now included
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| Color key: NY gray (for reference), CA blue, TX pink, FL green |
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| Michigan in orange had its turn in April |
Saturday, August 7, 2021
Coronavirus virulence since the India variant became dominant in the US is actually running below the first year average
News reports in early July declared the India variant to be dominant in the United States.
From July 6-August 6 total announced cases per the New York Times data have grown by 1.97 million.
But during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic, dated roughly from March 7, 2020 to March 7, 2021 (when The Covid Tracking Project at The Atlantic stopped collecting data), total announced cases averaged 2.42 million per month over the entire twelve month period.
What is more, since March 7, 2021 total announced cases are averaging an even lower 1.34 million per month to August 6 (five months), which includes the new period of the India variant.
So the India variant is really going to have to outperform from here on out to prove the claim by the authorities that the India variant is much more virulent, much more transmissible, et cetera. It is going to have to produce many more millions of cases per month than it is doing in order to do it. They have 7 more months, because that's how these things must be measured to be meaningful (disease morbidity is measured in cases per 100,000 per year).
But this far at least, the India variant isn't living up to the hype, from either side, which includes the Buck Sextons and Alex Berensons of the world who keep insisting on the basis of specious antibody testing that far more people have been exposed than the case counts show and that natural immunity is widespread.
Friday, August 6, 2021
LOL, anti-vaccine comments by doctors proliferate on doctors-only social media platform Doximity
Doctors on the industry networking site Doximity are finding their
news feed inundated with anti-vaccine comments from fellow physicians.
Thursday, August 5, 2021
LOL, Drudge ponders getting fired for not getting unvaccinated
I think Drudge wants to be the new Norm Crosby.
The nice black unvaccinated lady who works at my post office was sicker than she ever was in her life last week, she said yesterday, and says at least there are no breakthrough deaths
About 99.999% of fully vaccinated Americans have not had a deadly Covid-19 breakthrough case, CDC data shows
The CDC reported 6,587 Covid-19 breakthrough cases as of July 26, including 6,239 hospitalizations and 1,263 deaths.
Just when you thought that only breakthrough cases were a thing . . .
LOL, to Moderna vaccine failure leading to breakthrough cases just means you'll have to get a booster $hot
ka-ching ka-ching ka-ching
Delta variant will lead to increase in breakthrough Covid infections among vaccinated, Moderna says
The highly contagious delta variant will lead to an increase in breakthrough infections among the fully vaccinated as people begin moving indoors after the summer, Moderna said Thursday.
While Moderna’s two-dose vaccine remains “durable” six months after the second shot, immunity against the coronavirus will continue to wane and eventually diminish vaccine efficacy, the company said in slides that accompanied its second-quarter earnings report.
The company said its vaccine is 93% effective six months after the second dose. By comparison, Pfizer and BioNTech said their vaccine efficacy declined to around 84% after six months.
“Given this intersection, we believe dose 3 booster will likely be necessary prior to the winter season,” Moderna wrote.
AP story about coronavirus in China is a contemptible load of rot
China has 4.4 times more people per square mile than the USA, but we are supposed to believe these ridiculous numbers and claims:
China’s worst coronavirus outbreak since the start of the pandemic a year and a half ago escalated Wednesday with dozens more cases around the country ...
Since that initial outbreak was tamed last year, China’s people had lived virtually free of the virus ...
As of Tuesday, China has given more than 1.71 billion vaccine doses to its population of 1.4 billion. ...
China has reported 4,636 deaths and 93,289 cases of COVID-19 overall, most of them from the original outbreak in Wuhan that peaked early last year.
Wednesday, August 4, 2021
The CDC managed to change the subject from breakthrough cases to masks in one stroke, and the right has glommed on to it like the suckers they are
AP Obama last week:
Health officials on Friday released details of that research, which was key in this week’s decision by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to recommend that vaccinated people return to wearing masks indoors in parts of the U.S. where the delta variant is fueling infection surges. The authors said the findings suggest that the CDC’s mask guidance should be expanded to include the entire country, even outside of hot spots.
The findings have the potential to upend past thinking about how the disease is spread. Previously, vaccinated people who got infected were thought to have low levels of virus and to be unlikely to pass it to others. But the new data shows that is not the case with the delta variant.
The outbreak in Provincetown — a seaside tourist spot on Cape Cod in the county with Massachusetts’ highest vaccination rate — has so far included more than 900 cases. About three-quarters of them were people who were fully vaccinated. ...
People with breakthrough infections make up an increasing portion of hospitalizations and in-hospital deaths among COVID-19 patients, coinciding with the spread of the delta variant, according to the leaked documents. ...
The CDC report is based on about 470 COVID-19 cases linked to the Provincetown festivities, which included densely packed indoor and outdoor holiday events at bars, restaurants, guest houses and rental homes.
Researchers ran tests on a portion of them and found roughly the same level of virus in those who were fully vaccinated and those who were not.
Three-quarters of the infections were in fully vaccinated individuals. Among those fully vaccinated, about 80% experienced symptoms with the most common being cough, headache, sore throat, muscle aches and fever.
The whole thing is here.
The real story here is about vaccine failure, not masks.
The idea that we could find a cure for this ramped up cold virus, in a year!, is as preposterous as finding one for the original thing. Ever. Same with the flu. Every year you get a new flu shot because . . . you have to. The damn things mutate.
So they guess which strain will be dominant and you pays your money and you takes your chance. Often there are several shots to choose from, targeted at different strains. Inevitably they choose wrong, and so do you.
That's what the future holds for COVID-19. We'll most likely be faced with an infinite series of mutations. With any luck the things will concentrate on mutating to survive instead of to kill, and become less deadly. That's already the take on the Delta variant.
But The Powers That Be know how to get your goat if you are right of center and turn an imminent prospect of political disgrace over vaccines into something else: Distract you from the facts and make it about something else, in order to maximize the political opportunity the political disaster presents. It's pure Alinskyism. Pure Rahm Emanuel. Nothing has defined the stupid political polarization between Republicans and Democrats on the street currently better than masks.
Remember how it used to be the Red Hat?
The more things change the more they stay the same.
The left is playing the right like a fiddle.
Twitter has suspended Alex Berenson this week for having the temerity to publish the Pfizer trials conclusion that 15 died in the vaccine group, 14 in the placebo
During the blinded, controlled period, 15 BNT162b2 and 14 placebo recipients died; during the open-label period, 3 BNT162b2 and 2 original placebo recipients who received BNT162b2 after unblinding died. None of these deaths were considered related to BNT162b2 by investigators. Causes of death were balanced between BNT162b2 and placebo groups (Table S4).
More.
Six Month Safety and Efficacy of the BNT162b2 mRNA COVID-19 Vaccine
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.07.28.21261159v1.full-text
The results receive considerable discussion in the comments section. Many people are uncomfortable given all the hype surrounding this "vaccine" when confronted with the result that 15 vax recipients died and 14 placebo recipients died from all causes.
Many will wonder if causes of death are balanced between the groups, what's the point of getting the vaccine?
And what was the point of the First Amendment again?
Tuesday, August 3, 2021
All kidding aside, I hope Xi Jinping doesn't take it too personally when the world moves on from the Mu and Nu variants
But the real pressure is on the rho variant.
I tell you what. It better be ready to live up to its name when the time comes . . . or else!
Monday, August 2, 2021
Florida Governor Ron DeSantis is making a big mistake not reporting hospital data like everyone else
The charts for key Florida indicators have flat-lined since DeSantis gave the order to stop reporting.
When is the White House going to reign in Anthony Fauci for exaggerating about the Delta variant?
This is the CDC slide with the Delta comparison to Alpha which Fauci grossly exaggerated on MSNBC. It clearly states the Delta is 10 times worse than the Alpha for viral load, not 1,000 times as Fauci incorrectly stated. The White House claims to be upset about stuff like that.
Har-dee har har har.
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