Thursday, January 5, 2012

James Pethokoukis Trots Out His August 2010 Surprise as a January 2012 Surprise

Involving a supposed mass refinancing of GSE-backed mortgages.

Rush Limbaugh fell for it on his show today, but it's a recycled attempt at a story to which there was nothing when it first appeared a year and a half ago, and there's nothing to it now unless . . . Obama makes another very quick recess appointment, and a bunch of lenders agree to take huge hits.

Fat chance, I say.

Aside from the political toxicity of the former (even The New Republic thinks Obama's recent appointment was unconstitutional), I can't imagine how lenders are just going to agree to eat half of the losses associated with rewriting mortgages at today's lower interest rates, especially with the stiffer Basel III bank capital rules now taking effect: "[T]he plan would have an immediate fixed cost to the government of . . . $242 billion with half that cost split equally between the government and lenders." 

Linda Lowell at housingwire.com, among others, knew the story was malarkey way back when here.

For Pethokoukis' August 2010 version, see here. For the January 2012 version, now see here.

Remember the Much-Hyped Japanese Economic Threat to the US of the 1980s?

Nikkei 225 1970-2011
Refresh your memory a little bit here.

Four Week Moving Average of Initial Claims for Unemployment Falls Below 375,000 For First Time Under President Obama

To 373,250. The last time we had a number close to that was July 5, 2008: 373,000.

Break out the party hats!

The numbers are here.

The World's Richest 1 Percent

For the US in 2005, almost 10 percent of its people were among the richest in the world.

For Germany, almost 5 percent.

For France, under 5 percent.

For Italy, over 5 percent.

For Great Britain, 5 percent.

For Canada, over 6 percent.

For Korea, 4 percent.

For Japan, 1.5 percent.

For Brazil, 1 percent.


It Takes An Irritable Mental Gesture To Know One

Occupy Wall Street Doesn't Know How Good They've Got It

Occupy Wall Street doesn't know how good they've got it.

A new study using data up through 2005 puts the world's top 1 percent of earners starting at $34,000 of after tax income per person per year.

The world's median income is just $1,225 per person per year.

Half of the world's one percenters live in the USA, and "even the poorest 5 percent of Americans are better off financially than two thirds of the entire world."

Story here.

Wednesday, January 4, 2012

Does This Parachute Make My Butt Look Big?

In NDAA America Embraced Authoritarianism With Little More Than A Pause Between Drinks

So says liberal Jonathan Turley.

Read the whole stinging rebuke of Obama and both political parties, and of the American people, here.

You have the evil government you deserve.

"Your Excellency"? "Your Immensity" maybe, but not "Your Excellency".

Story and video here.


Thank Republican Justin Amash for Giving Planned Parenthood $487 Million to Abort 329K

The latest Planned Parenthood annual report is the subject of a news story here:

According to its latest annual report, the Planned Parenthood Federation of America (PPFA) received $487.4 million in tax dollars over a twelve-month period and performed 329,455 abortions.

Of course, these figures are for the fiscal year ended in 2010, but since funding and abortions continue to increase every year Amash's vote to continue funding of Planned Parenthood makes him a conservative only in the sense that he's maintained continuity with the past.

Consistent, unprincipled Libertarianism.

Sarah Palin's Republican Hotel Reserves a Room For Insane Libertarians

Yeah, and it's right across the hall from one marked "GOProud" and another marked "Log Cabin Republicans."

The Libertarians' room is easy to spot. Its sign says "Insane Asylum."

Video here:

"the GOP had better not marginalize Ron Paul and his supporters after tonight"

The Pig and The Communist

Story here and here.

"You are a pig" . . . "And you are a communist"

"Vote For Me and I'll Set You Free" Went The Song on Don and Roma This Morning

On wlsam.com.

Nothing epitomizes better what's wrong with America than that: "Vote for me and I'll set you free!"

People want a savior it seems, especially of the presidential sort. If Christianity has had just one baneful influence on the American psyche, this obsession with presidential politics is it. No wonder the executive is imperial. That's just the way the slaves of God want it.

A more original, more free and noble America would save itself. It would demand broader, deeper and better representation, and would not wring its hands over our corrupt plutocracy.

Instead it would wring their necks.

The truth dies another death as the mobs cry "Give us Barrabbas!" 

Monday, January 2, 2012

'Judicial Supremacy is Eroding America's Democratic Values'

So says Jeff Jacoby for Boston.com, quite correctly even if he does agree with Newt Gingrich in saying so, here: "Judicial supremacy is eroding America’s democratic values. The balance of federal power needs to be restored." In noting that both the executive and legislative branches are servile to the court, however, the question is, Which branch needs to restore the balance? Well, surely not the executive. The branch which needs to re-assert itself is the legislative, and I can think of no better way, than for Americans to have the number of representatives intended by the constitution. Not 435, but 10,267 as of the last census.


Friday, December 30, 2011

Quality Collateral is King

From another in a series of incisive meditations upon the continuing global banking crisis from Jeffrey Snider, here:

The collateral problem is not going away no matter how authorities on either side of the Atlantic try to dress up fake guarantees. The system of wholesale lending through repo is terminally broken, since both quality reputations as well as quality collateral are in short supply. In other words, the inside participants of the global banking scheme know all too well that the system pyramided far too much paper on top of far too little actual cash flow. Liquidity is not the real problem since all the worthless collateral still stuck inside the system is likely worthless because the mathematical predictions of 2005 and 2009 proved utterly inept. Those accounting notions of equity during the credit bubbles were just as phantom as the valuations of the assets that were created from it. This coming year will be just a dance or game of musical chairs to determine who gets stuck with the bill. ...

As the progression of crisis has moved from paper asset to paper asset, from banks to countries and back to banks again, the trajectory is entirely clear. Some form of actual, exogenous restraint on credit creation will be imposed, either by someone currently in power that finally "gets it", or by a free market shaking free from the shackles of the over-enlarged financial economy and its hell-bent attempts toward unlimited money. Collateral is king in this banking world, and the rapid decay of "quality" is a testament to the intentional imbalance of finance over economy, to the hubris of modern economics and monetary "science". Unfortunately for the dreamers of true money elasticity, and too late for the rest of us, this was never supposed to happen.

Radiation 3km WSW From Fukushima the Day After Christmas 65.10 Microsieverts Per Hour

That's still over 90 times what an American can expect on average from all sources, including natural environmental, medical and transportation-related exposures. Just from normal environmental conditions the level is nearly 600 times normal for Japan at the location measured.












Standard and Poor's 500 Index Treads Water For The Last Year

So all gains were dividend related, which ended the year at 2 percent, a hell of a lot better than cash.





Thursday, December 29, 2011

Real House Prices Are Back To Q1 1999 Levels

So calculatedriskblog here"In real terms, all appreciation in the '00s is gone." 


Obama is the King of Unemployment

Initial claims for unemployment have been at or above 400,000 for 90 percent of Obama's presidency. By contrast, George W. Bush spent 25 percent of his time in office with unemployment that bad. Change . . . you asked for it.