Showing posts with label COVID-19 2020. Show all posts
Showing posts with label COVID-19 2020. Show all posts

Saturday, December 5, 2020

Looks like Brad Parscale, formerly of the Trump Campaign, and Anita Dunn of the Biden Campaign were on the exact same page in Election 2020

As was Chris Irons of QTR Research on Feb 26, here.

This isn't rocket science. This isn't "mastermind" level stuff. It didn't take a genius to predict that Trump would lose to a virus. All it took was paying attention and being honest. 

From an important story with an hyperbolic title by Edward-Isaac Dovere for The Atlantic, "The Mastermind Behind Biden’s No-Drama Approach to Trump", here:

' [M]any Democrats stressed over the campaign’s decision to ignore most of Trump’s daily diversions in favor of focusing on the coronavirus pandemic. Dunn’s plan, and Biden’s, ended with a win. ... “Those of us who had worked in the White House, and Joe Biden, who had been vice president of the United States, had a much better understanding of why the Trump strategy that everyone was panicked about, the daily press conferences, would not work unless they actually did something” about the pandemic, Dunn said. “All those people who were saying, ‘Oh my gosh, he’s doing daily press briefings. He’s all over. He’s dominating,’ were missing the bigger point, which is unless he actually does something to deal with what is a genuine catastrophe, then it doesn’t matter how many press briefings he does.” '






 

Tuesday, December 1, 2020

US COVID deaths hit 270k in the Johns Hopkins data to begin the month of December

 

Current hospitalizations on Dec 1 soared to 98,691.

Total hospitalized in Nov soared to ~95k from ~67k in Oct.

These hospitalization levels are way above the 59k high water marks established in April and July. 

About 1,250 people died of COVID everyday in Nov compared with 763 per day in Oct, clocking in at third worst month yet for deaths. The Oct level was the lowest level so far since the peak in April at 1,961. The May level was second highest at 1,330 deaths per day on average.


Saturday, November 28, 2020

We've just concluded a horrible run of US hospitalizations for COVID

 US COVID current hospitalizations rose every single day from Oct 25 at 41,786 to 90,481 on Nov 26: 32 days straight.

Current hospitalizations finally fell for once yesterday, Nov 27, to 89,834.

Monday, November 23, 2020

The compound daily growth rate of COVID-19 deaths in the United States measured weekly stopped declining in mid-October

"Current hospitalizations" soared from about 36k in mid-October to 83k as of today.

New infections soared from about 50k per day at the time to knocking on the door of 200k on Nov 20.

Wednesday, November 18, 2020

US COVID deaths passed the 250k mark late this afternoon in the Johns Hopkins data set

 I remember back when I was hopeful we'd have 100k max.



Sunday, November 15, 2020

Coronavirus update: Ugly for the ugly

 Hospitalized for COVID in US makes fifth consecutive new *high yesterday:

Nov 14: 69,455
Nov 13: 68,516
Nov 12: 67,096
Nov 11: 65,373
Nov 10: 61,964

Jul 23: 59,718
*Apr 15: 59,940.

Deaths per day from COVID in the US have climbed from 763 per day in October to 1,067 per day in the first fourteen days of November, up 40%.

COVID deaths have risen with current hospitalizations, which climbed from 30k to 47k in October after falling in September from 35k to 30k.

With hospitalizations in November up 47% from the end of October and October up 57% from the end of September, plenty of fuel has been added to the funeral pyre.

Does America care?

We are inured to the slaughter of the vulnerable, whether in the womb or in the care home.

We are ugly.

Thursday, November 12, 2020

A Joe Biden COVID lockdown for 4-6 weeks will come too late to do much good

 Covid deaths in November are already on pace to pass 30k, which will be the highest since May.

Hospitalizations similarly are already on pace to hit 79k for the month, which also will be the highest since May.

Three months of big hurt are on the way before Joe even wakes up for the first time in the White House as president to call a lid and go back to bed. 

Wednesday, November 11, 2020

The US blew right through the 240k mark for COVID-19 deaths today in the Johns Hopkins data set

 This morning early we were still at 239k+ and then I look tonight and we're already past the 241k mark.




Sunday, November 1, 2020

US COVID-19 daily new deaths hit their lowest level since the Apr peak, measured monthly, in Oct, even lower than in June

COVID-19 deaths per day in the USA, monthly, as reported:

Mar    138
Apr  1,961
May 1,330
Jun     769
Jul      851
Aug    955
Sep    779
Oct     763.

The Oct 2020 rate would still exact a heavy toll if sustained over 365 days, 278,495 deaths. 

COVID-19 deaths in 2020 at 230k are already the third leading cause of death in the US, behind heart disease deaths at 647,457 and cancer deaths at 599,108 in 2017.

The Oct 2020 rate shows that the lockdowns, even if extended too long in some places, provided the medical community with valuable breathing room in which to learn how to improve survivability and deliver it, in combination with social distancing, mask-wearing, testing, and tracing.


Saturday, October 31, 2020

US COVID-19 deaths have crossed the 230k mark today in the Johns Hopkins data

 Don't let Joe Biden and Kamala Harris confuse you. There aren't 220 million dead. There aren't 120 million dead. There aren't 210 million dead.

230 thousand. Today.






Friday, October 30, 2020

Fake News from Drudge vs. Trump reminds me of Fake News from Rush Limbaugh for Trump: "Economy in same place as Great Recession..."

 Anyone with any brains can see that the economy is about where it was at the beginning of 2019, not where it was in 2009, at least on paper.

Rush was telling us for months that businesses were being destroyed by the lockdowns and that they would not recover. Now he's telling us "we can survive a massive unknown hit like this thing by the coronavirus" and calling for "even more stimulus", i.e. what Democrats always call for, spending money we don't have, which is anything but conservatism from "The Big Voice on the Right".

The entire GOP signed off on the massive deficit spending to purchase this V-shaped recovery Drudge doesn't want to recognize, but 8.4 million still don't have the full time work they had just a year ago. That's a massive hit which will take years to recover. As in 2009, however, older workers who lost their full time jobs this time around won't recover them either. Full time will recover only as population grows. 

Neither Drudge nor Rush Limbaugh think too much of the intelligence of their patrons. Their understanding is thimble-deep.

But neither do Democrats nor Republicans. They go into panic mode to preserve as much of the status quo as possible with bailout gimmicks, same as ever. And when the bailouts end, the dispossessed will face what they always face: disillusionment. 

Sad!





Wednesday, October 28, 2020

Tuesday, October 27, 2020

Rush Limbaugh lies about COVID-19 right up to the bitter end

 Today, here:

Even with flu shots, the number of people who die every flu season is stunning. It is shockingly high. It’s greater numbers than people are dying of COVID. 

It is shocking, really. The Wuhan virus is the third leading cause of death in the US in 2020, 5.7 times worse than the flu, and there's Rush telling his listeners flu deaths are worse.



Sunday, October 25, 2020

US COVID-19 update for Sunday 25 October 2020

Deaths per day in October remain below the lows achieved in June.

COVID-19 deaths per day in the USA, monthly, as reported:

Mar    138
Apr  1,961
May 1,330
Jun     769
Jul      851
Aug    955
Sep    779
Oct     748 (thru 10/24).

The compound daily growth rate measured over 7 days for COVID-19 deaths ticked up 10.6% in the last week from 0.329% to 0.364%, still near the lows but rising.

Click any image to enlarge.
















As cases of COVID-19 have shot up since mid-Sep, hospitalizations are up about 55%.















14 US states show >1k hospitalized for COVID-19 on 10/25. Currently worst hit Texas, shown in the graphs in pink, relative to worst hit ever New York shown in gray, was still a lot worse in the summer than it is now. And improved clinical treatment nationwide has meant fewer deaths.

Rhetoric aside, America is coping better and learning to live with the pandemic.













In California about 71% of cases but only 7% of deaths affect those aged 0-49.

About 30% of cases but 93% of deaths affect those 50 or older.

Younger people should definitely be social distancing and wearing masks around people 50 or older to prevent transmission to them. 

Latinos in California have more cases and deaths than any other ethnicity, by far.

The story is similar in Texas.

Nearly 40% of cases and almost 56% of deaths in Texas affect Latinos, more than for any other ethnicity.

In California it's 61% of cases and 49% of deaths affecting Latinos.







Sunday, October 11, 2020

US COVID-19 update for 10/11/20

Deaths per day in the first ten days of October have slowed to 733. Extrapolated through the end of the year from Sep 30 that would result in ~272,822 total deaths by 12/31/20:

Mar    138

Apr  1,961

May 1,330

Jun     769

Jul      851

Aug    955

Sep    779

Oct     733 (thru 10/10).

The compound daily growth rate for deaths has ticked down for two months, but for a hiccup just before the official end of summer, to a new low level which may, however, be bottoming (click on images to expand):


Hospitalizations for COVID-19 hit a low at the official end of summer, but are on the rise again to levels comparable to the end of June when this data started to be reported. Keep in mind, however, that Florida did not begin reporting current hospitalizations until 7/11, when it had almost 7k, so the June data in this chart for 47 states is probably underreported by close to that, meaning current levels, though rising from recent lows, remain below June:


This snapshot shows current hospitalizations in Texas (pink), California (blue), and Florida (green) relative to New York (gray). Texas is concerning because it looks like it bottomed and is on the rise again:




 



California, which may be considered a proxy for the whole nation, continues to report high infection numbers among the young but low deaths. 71% of cases have been aged 0-49, but only 7% of deaths are 0-49. The troubling middle: 19% of cases to date there are 50-64, but also 19% of deaths are that age.

The civilian noninstitutional population 50 or older in the United States in Sep 2020 numbers 117.4 million. Those aged 16-49 number 143.3 million.

This has become a protracted conflict and looks to remain so, pitting those who experience only 7% of the deaths against those who experience 93%. The war seems to express itself mostly over Addition (of the facemask), as opposed to Prohibition (of alcohol) from a century ago.