Showing posts with label INFLATION 2025. Show all posts
Showing posts with label INFLATION 2025. Show all posts
Saturday, July 5, 2025

SPX since August 2000 continues to underperform the pre-Reagan era by almost 20% in real terms, the Reagan bull market era by almost 68%

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SPX 8/2000-5/2025: 7.62% per annum nominal, 4.95% per annum real (inflation rate 2.54% per annum) SPX 1/1871-7/1982: 8.15% per annum nominal...

SPX vs. gold since 1913

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  Gold 1913-2025 ($20.67-$3500.05 peak on April 22, 2025): 4.689% compound annual growth rate, nominal. The S&P 500 did better than that...
Friday, June 27, 2025

Core pce inflation in May 2025 rose to 2.7% year over year, which is a rate 80% higher than the 1.5% average rate 2009-2020

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 Daddy's inflation.    

Daddy's inflation

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Wednesday, June 25, 2025

Methinks J. D. Vance doth protest too much about Jerome Powell

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  It backfired on Powell, though.   Yields climbed in response. 10Y went from 3.63 on Sep 16 to 4.37 by Nov 1. And core PCE inflation shot b...
Tuesday, June 24, 2025

Food items making new all time high average prices in the United States in May 2025

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 All prices are FRED data from the St. Louis Fed in U.S. dollars.   Ground Chuck 6.018/lb Coffee 7.931 White Sugar 1.054 Bananas 0.655 Potat...
Thursday, June 19, 2025

The world's population of everyday normal millionaires heh since the year 2000 has more than quadrupled to 52 million

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 ... There is not much data on individuals in the $50 million to $1 billion range, which distorts the picture, according to Mazeau. He also...
Thursday, June 12, 2025

It's stupid for Trump to riff off today's producer price report and call Jay Powell names because the number is likely to be revised higher, and besides, that's just poor form, old boy

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   May 2025 core producer prices, aka core wholesale prices, were reported today up 3.02% year over year. That will doubtlessly be revised u...
Wednesday, June 11, 2025

The average price of piped utility natural gas in May 2025 was 1.626, 59% higher than the 2010-2020 average of 1.023

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The average price of gasoline in May 2025 was $3.306 per gallon, 7.2% lower than the average under Biden but still much higher than under Obama or Trump I

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Under eight years of Obama gasoline averaged $2.974 per gallon. Under four years of Trump gasoline averaged $2.488. Under four years of Bide...

Electricity made a new all time high price in May 2025 at 18.2 cents per kWhr, which is 36% higher than the 2010-2020 average of 13.4 cents

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The average price of a dozen eggs in May 2025 was $4.548, which is 157% higher than the average price of $1.769 2010-2020

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 The homeowner with the coop up the street sells his for $5 a dozen, but he was out this morning. The homeowner with the coop down the stree...

CPI food inflation year over year in May 2025 was 2.87%, 53% higher than the 2010-2020 average of 1.87%

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Core cpi inflation year over year in May 2025 is 2.8% for the third month in a row, 55% higher than 2010-2020 average of 1.8%

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 The not seasonally adjusted trend is flat as a pancake. The seasonally adjusted trend puts a little down-tilting lipstick on the trend pig,...
Saturday, June 7, 2025

In 2025 you gotta be a $33 million millionaire to be a real millionaire

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Friday, June 6, 2025

Pizza chains struggle because low income consumers can no longer afford prices up 30% since 2019

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 Bloomberg reports here .    
Tuesday, June 3, 2025

Low-inertia renewable energy systems are prone to blackouts such as in Spain in April because they cannot maintain stable frequencies in the absence of high-inertia fossil fuel, hydro, and nuclear energy systems

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 The Physics Behind the Spanish Blackout: Madrid knew solar and wind power were unreliable but pressed ahead anyway. When a grid failure pl...
Friday, May 30, 2025

The core pce inflation rate in April 2025 at 2.52% year over year is still almost 65% higher than the 2008-2020 average at 1.53%

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The rate was last lower than in April 2025 in March 2021 at 2.20% yoy, which is good news.  
Thursday, May 29, 2025

Few people consider that the Great Depression of the 1930s was the unwind of the Great Inflation of WWI

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 Economics is mean-reverting.        
Thursday, May 22, 2025

I refuse to round up

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  Get ready to round up: Treasury set to halt penny production