Showing posts with label GDP 2025. Show all posts
Showing posts with label GDP 2025. Show all posts
Saturday, December 6, 2025

Ronald Reagan July 3, 1983: Don't let anyone tell us that America's best days are behind her (but they are)

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 The speech is here . Unfortunately the numbers don't lie. Shortly after that speech, economic growth rolled over definitively. I think ...
Thursday, September 25, 2025

Real GDP since the Trump tax reform in 2017 still lags the post-war rate by 27.5%

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Today's third estimate for 2Q2025 real GDP came in 0.5 points hotter at 3.8% on increased consumer spending:  Real GDP was revised up 0...
Friday, September 19, 2025

IMF: Global debt in 2024 was $251 trillion, 235% of global GDP

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  https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2025/09/17/global-debt-remains-above-235-of-world-gdp

I keep hearing that gold is soaring because of continued dollar weakness lol

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On the contrary, gold has risen despite continued dollar strength. The enormous gains for gold in 2024 and 2025 are not explained by a round...
Thursday, September 4, 2025

Biden killed off the Keystone XL pipeline, costing Alberta over $1 billion, construction workers over $2 billion, and the economy billion$ more, so Trump killing off wind is simply to be expected

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Thursday, August 28, 2025

Can you spot the GDP?

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  The real GDP report is out and it looks better than a month ago: +3.3% seasonally-adjusted annual rate for the second estimate for 2Q2025...
Wednesday, July 30, 2025

America still isn't booming

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   The real GDP report is out and it looks pretty good at 3% for the first estimate for 2Q2025, especially in comparison with the -0.5% res...
Tuesday, July 8, 2025

$30 billion is not jet fuel for the economy

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  ‘Big beautiful bill’ may help some seniors on Social Security. But it doesn’t eliminate taxes on benefits  ... The new additional senior d...
Sunday, July 6, 2025

If it hasn't been jet fuel since 2017, it won't be now

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Real GDP has been 2.43% compound annual 1Q2017 through 1Q2025. And that includes all the obscene pandemic spending. This isn't even clos...
Wednesday, July 2, 2025

CNBC also is wondering where the fuel comes from for future GDP under the Trump tax cuts since they are already not cutting it lol

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Tuesday, July 1, 2025

What fools these people are! What fools they think we must be!

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  Trump's Tax Cuts Spurred Growth. BBB Will Do It Again Hassett & Miran, USA Today   TRUMP'S TAX CUTS ...
Thursday, June 26, 2025

The consensus estimate for today's GDP report was indeed for -0.2, instead it surprised at -0.5

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  First-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) growth was revised lower Thursday in light of reduced consumer spending, surprising economists...

1Q2025 real GDP revised down 0.3 to -0.5 in third and final estimate on an increase in imports front-loaded into 1Q to avoid Trump's tariffs

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 Real gross domestic product (GDP) decreased at an annual rate of 0.5 percent in the first quarter of 2025 (January, February, and March), a...
Sunday, June 15, 2025

TACO Trump is negative for long term investment, 1Q2025 exports were the worst on record for their positive contribution to GDP

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Does anybody ever talk about exports anymore? You know, from domestic production?  ... In recent years, a cautious optimism had returned, a...
Thursday, May 29, 2025

CNBC avoids the story like the plague: Real GDP for 1Q2025 was revised up to -0.2% from -0.3% in today's second estimate for 1Q

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No one wants to talk about this. Crickets pretty much everywhere. CNBC had Rosie on to discuss, but there was no article.  
Thursday, May 1, 2025

Since 2007 nominal GDP has been growing at a compound annual rate nearly 40% worse than the rate which prevailed from 1947 to 2007

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1Q1947-1Q2007: 7.01% 1Q2007-1Q2025: 4.23%    
Wednesday, April 30, 2025

Nosebleed valuations continue despite recent stock market declines

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 It's a long way down to normal. The 2022 lows got us back only to the 2000 high, and people thought it was the end of the world when al...

Real GDP shrank 0.3% in 1Q2025

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Shrink, shrank, shrunk. U.S. economy shrunk 0.3% in the first quarter as Trump policy uncertainty weighed on businesses ... fueled by an une...
Tuesday, April 29, 2025

Tomorrow is a big day for economic reports: Core pce inflation and 1Q2025 real GDP

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 The consensus estimate for tomorrow's core pce inflation number is 2.6% year over year in March, and 0.1% month over month. In February...
Friday, April 25, 2025

The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model has been in the toilet since the end of February, latest snapshot for 1Q2025 is -2.5%

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 The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2025 is -2.5 percent on April 24, d...