Showing posts with label yields. Show all posts
Showing posts with label yields. Show all posts
Saturday, July 5, 2025

US Treasury yields were down modestly in June 2025 on an average basis

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Long bets continue to demand higher compensation both relatively speaking and relative to January 2024.  
Thursday, June 26, 2025

The consensus estimate for today's GDP report was indeed for -0.2, instead it surprised at -0.5

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  First-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) growth was revised lower Thursday in light of reduced consumer spending, surprising economists...
Wednesday, June 25, 2025

Methinks J. D. Vance doth protest too much about Jerome Powell

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  It backfired on Powell, though.   Yields climbed in response. 10Y went from 3.63 on Sep 16 to 4.37 by Nov 1. And core PCE inflation shot b...
Wednesday, June 11, 2025

The average yield for the US 10Y note auction today was 4.421 vs. 4.342 previously, up 1.8%

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Friday, June 6, 2025

Average US Treasury yields climbed all across the curve in May 2025

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Bills 4.28 Notes 4.096 Bonds 4.91 Aggregate 4.31   Average Bond yields climbed for a second consecutive month. The Daily Federal Funds Rate ...
Wednesday, May 21, 2025

When core pce inflation was above 2.5% year over year for 27 straight years, we had 10Y yields well above 5 and 30-year mortgages well above 7.5 to go with it

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 1967-1993, inclusive.    

US20Y auction average yield 5.047 vs. 4.81 previously lol

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Friday, May 16, 2025

It's driving the Reuters writer of this story at CNBC crazy that US Treasury securities aren't selling off lol

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Foreign holdings of U.S. Treasuries top $9 trillion in March, data shows  ... Holdings of U.S. Treasuries surged to $9.05 trillion in March,...
Thursday, May 15, 2025

The funniest thing that's happening to Donald Trump right now is that while he tries to intimidate the Fed to reduce interest rates and they do nothing, yields are soaring all by themselves

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 The bond market is issuing a vote of no confidence in our elected leadership. One branch of Republican government thinks this is the 19th c...
Monday, May 12, 2025

Trump's phony Liberation Day for working Americans evaporates into thin air, new 90-day pause brings 145% reciprocal tariffs on China, which tanked markets in early April, down to 30%

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Stock futures surge. Crude oil surges. US Treasury yields surge. U.S. and China agree to slash tariffs for 90 days in major trade breakthrou...
Thursday, May 8, 2025

Trump calls Powell a fool for not lowering rates, yields rise in response lol

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  Trump calls Fed Chair Jerome Powell a ‘fool’ after central bank keeps rates steady again      
Monday, May 5, 2025

Overall US Treasury yields have been falling for a year, but not by very much in the aggregate, and bonds keep asking for a word

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Average US Treasury yields in April vs. March were down but up in comparison on Friday May 2nd after Trump meddled again in the Fed's bu...
Saturday, May 3, 2025

The bond market is more powerful than both the pope and the president combined, so it's telling that Mad King Ludwig The Impotent does this

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Friday, May 2, 2025

Yields had been falling significantly in recent days, until Trump opened up his big fat yap this morning lol

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  Trump calls on Fed once again to lower rates after solid April jobs report    
Wednesday, April 30, 2025

Nosebleed valuations continue despite recent stock market declines

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 It's a long way down to normal. The 2022 lows got us back only to the 2000 high, and people thought it was the end of the world when al...
Friday, April 25, 2025

This week's US Treasury auctions indicated the opposite of rising interest rates

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As usual the alarmists and doomsayers are . . . alarmists and doomsayers. Demand for US debt is steady and strong this week: 3MO at 4.225% a...
Monday, April 21, 2025

Mad King Ludwig is in a foul mood this Easter Monday because the Supreme Court ruined his weekend deportation plans

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  Trump ramps up attacks on Powell, demands ‘loser’ Fed chair lower rates ‘NOW’  
Saturday, April 19, 2025

High unemployment, high inflation, and high interest rates 6% or higher all at the same time plagued the country for six years 1975-1982, but we survived

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 There were six years when all three, the unemployment rate, headline inflation, and 10-year US Treasury yield, were at 6% or higher on an a...
Thursday, April 17, 2025

The Golden Age of authoritarianism: Confrontation, corruption, contraction, con-jobs, and contempt

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  Trump again calls for Fed to cut rates, says Powell’s ‘termination cannot come fast enough’   Trump’s tariffs are ‘inviting corruption,’ D...
Wednesday, April 16, 2025

UST 20Y auction: 4.81% vs. 4.632% previously

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