Showing posts with label stlouisfed.org. Show all posts
Showing posts with label stlouisfed.org. Show all posts
Wednesday, July 2, 2025

Housing in a Fed stress test scenario

›
The median price of houses sold in the United States in March 1963 was $17,800. Adjusted for inflation to March 2025, that would be $186,...

Every major bank passes stress test from the US Federal Reserve

›
507 banks failed in the United States 2008-2014 inclusive, costing the Deposit Insurance Fund nearly $90 billion. Many millions of homes we...
Tuesday, May 27, 2025

The decline of worker hours in America

›
 In 1966 all the hours worked by all the full time and part time workers divided by the civilian employment level peaked at about 35.35 hour...
Friday, May 16, 2025

The slavish respect for the consensus estimates for inflation and everything else vs. the actual levels viewed historically is as nutty as anything promoted in partisan politics

›
Consumer sentiment slides to second-lowest on record as inflation expectations jump after tariffs ... Recent inflation data has not shown a ...
Wednesday, May 7, 2025

Federal Open Market Committee says inflation remains somewhat elevated and the economic outlook is increasingly uncertain, leaves DFF between 4.25 and 4.5, i.e. 4.33

›
  Although swings in net exports have affected the data, recent indicators suggest that economic activity has continued to expand at a sol...
Tuesday, April 8, 2025

Ambrose Evans-Pritchard: Trump will stop at nothing in his quest for imperial power and will destroy the credibility of US Treasury debt

›
  telegraph.co.uk If you think it’s alarming now, just wait for Trump to wreck the bond m...
Thursday, March 13, 2025

Republican Senator Mike Crapo is full of Orwellian crap, says extending the Trump tax cuts which increased deficits by $1.7 trillion won't keep increasing deficits

›
   If you're not changing the tax code, you're simply extending current policy—you are not increasing the deficit. The bottom line h...
Wednesday, March 5, 2025

Imbeciles Trump and Musk claim millions over the age of 100 get Social Security when it is 89,106 people in December 2024 lol

›
Trump loves Whoppers. Smell the farts of nothing has changed. In 2015 Trump used Rush Limbaugh Math and came up with 42% unemployed lol. ...
Monday, February 24, 2025

In the aggregate US Treasury yields haven't moved much since the end of November, after which duration began to normalize, but looky here

›
 On Nov 29, 2024 the yield curve averaged 4.356 in the aggregate, after which we began to see duration normalize. On Feb 21, 2025 it average...
Thursday, January 30, 2025

On the surface today's report of real gross domestic product is actually pretty good

›
   The first estimate of real GDP for 4Q2024 and for annual 2024 has been reported here , 2.3% and 2.8% respectively. On a big picture bas...
Sunday, January 12, 2025

US Treasury yields are steepening and by duration are normalizing

›
 This is actually a good thing. Longer dated securities should pay more than shorter, unlike most of 2024 when Bills paid far more. Bills yi...
Wednesday, December 11, 2024

Foods making new all time high average prices in November 2024

›
Whole Chicken 2.076 OJ 4.306 Coffee 6.868 Ice Cream 6.447 Pork , All Other 3.765 Beer 16oz 1.811
Friday, November 1, 2024

Stocks remain wildly overvalued and seriously underperforming

›
 The S&P 500 averaged 5,792.32 in October 2024 (the all-time high was on 10/18 at 5,864.67). Nominal GDP was updated on Oct 30th at  $2...
Saturday, October 19, 2024

Sometimes it's not the economy stupid: Headline employment under Obama didn't recover until May 2014, but he got re-elected in 2012 anyway

›
 Six years and four months went by: Jan 2008-May 2014. And economic confidence actually declined from -11 in 2012 to -10 in 2014 when it did...
Friday, October 18, 2024

We still live in a world of very diminished economic growth since The Great Recession

›
Real GDP 2007-2023, 16 years, compound annual growth rate: 1.905%. All the other years, 1929-2007: 3.448%. We're behind that by almost...
Friday, September 20, 2024

CNBC fact-checks Joe Biden, now that it doesn't matter

›
 But the article name-checks Donald Trump five times because he's an opponent of Fed decisions. There's a whole movement out there ...
Sunday, February 4, 2024

This is your periodic reminder that the net worth of U.S. households is $151 trillion but there's only $2.3 trillion fiat currency in circulation anyway

›
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/TNWBSHNO https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CURRCIR  Meanwhile all the gold and silver in the world har...
Thursday, November 30, 2023

Core pce inflation, which excludes food and energy measures, is still high at 3.5% year over year in October 2023, down 0.2 points from September or 5.4%

›
 Price increases at 3.5% instead of 3.7% year over year. This level remains outside of most people's experience since the late 1990s. Th...
Friday, November 3, 2023

There's a lot of clucking out there about multiple job holding

›
 Multiple job holding seems high at nearly 8.4 million, here . But as a percent of the employed it is not, currently at 5.2%. In the go-go ...
Thursday, October 26, 2023

Tell me, Bwana: What mean GDP, why important?

›
 Bureau of Economic Analysis this morning here : 3Q2023 nominal GDP , first estimate: $27.6235 trillion Nominal increase year over year in 3...