Showing posts with label Secular Bear. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Secular Bear. Show all posts
Thursday, December 5, 2024

Secular bear Rosie not throwing in the towel . . . again

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 Rosie was on the wrong side of the trade in April 2011 when the bear went bullish . Is he again now? He uses the same phrase, too, "no...
Friday, April 1, 2022

Stonks have really sucked for the last 21.5 years

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Average per annum return of 4.77% has been 26% off the long term historical return from 1871 and over 61% off the immediately preceding 21.5...
Sunday, May 17, 2020

Meanwhile the secular bear market in stocks since August 2000 rolls on in April 2020

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Return in the last 19.6 years lags the previous period of equal length by 75%, and lags long term return before that by 52%. 
Wednesday, February 13, 2019

More gaslighting: Trump's greatest economy ever is now in its 222nd month of a secular bear market

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“No one had the economy that we do. We have the greatest economy that we’ve ever had.”
Friday, October 12, 2018

The current secular bear market in stocks matched the length of the Reagan secular bull in September 2018

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Average investors since August 2000 have underperformed the great Reagan secular bull market by nearly 70% annually through September 2018,...
Friday, February 16, 2018

Stock market boom? What stock market boom? It's been a bear market for return since August 2000 . . .

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. . . and it could easily continue to be a bear market for return for three more years. The average length of the last three secular bears...
Monday, January 19, 2015

The main reason we are still in a secular bear market

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Ed Easterling, Crestmont Holdings LLC, quoted here : "P/E has not declined to levels that are required to drive a secular bull ma...
Sunday, July 13, 2014

Bob Brinker was right in March 2003, but not until May 2009 at the earliest

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Bob Brinker's gain since March 2003 when he called for his followers to fully invest in the stock market has been an impressive 7.14% pe...
Tuesday, August 21, 2012

"Valuations Remain Unusually Rich"

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So says John Hussman, here : Valuations remain unusually rich on our measures . . . it should be of some concern (though it is clearly not) ...
Tuesday, August 7, 2012

The Market Was Already Overvalued In October 2011, And It Still Is

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So says Robert P. Seawright, here , and here : [T]he market remains overvalued and, if anything, somewhat more overvalued than it was last O...
Friday, September 23, 2011

The Economy Is Not The Same Thing As The Market, Or Is It?

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Mark Hulbert reminds everyone here  that the DOW quadrupled between July 1932 and March 1937. He thinks analogists should think about that ...
Tuesday, August 16, 2011

The Next Stop For The S and P 500?

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575. And that may very well be this secular bear market's final low, though it is more than likely that that level will be retested at l...
Wednesday, December 2, 2009

Apathy Precedes Bull Markets, Not Fear

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The secular bull market in gold since 2001 is coincident with a secular bear market in stocks since 2000, if this November 30, 2009  analysi...