Showing posts with label Ironman. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Ironman. Show all posts
Monday, April 20, 2020

LOL: Federal Reserve Board recession model today predicts odds of recession at 0.6%

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Here .
Thursday, February 22, 2018

Ironman estimates stock repurchases by corporate America of $628 billion in 2018 due to tax cuts

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Here : What we find is that 2018's projected total of $628 billion in buybacks will break the previous record of roughly $589 bill...
Thursday, December 10, 2015

Ironman thinks the decline of the middle class is demographic, explained by fewer births between 1964-84

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Here . In other words, if you have fewer people in the middle of your data set (Generation X), you'll necessarily have a slump in ...
Saturday, December 13, 2014

Obama's war on growth: Per capita measure shows GDP didn't recover to 2007 level until 3Q2013

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So says Ironman, here : "Going by this measure we see that it wasn't until the third quarter of 2013 that the U.S. economy ...
Saturday, November 29, 2014

Bonds still beat stocks over the last 15 years

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"King Kong" 1933 Your average annual nominal return from the S&P500 with dividends fully reinvested comes to 4.61% from ...
Tuesday, October 21, 2014

Since the last market peak in August 2000, real returns from stocks have averaged just 1.61% per year through August 2014

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politicalcalculations.blogspot.com The inflation-adjusted market peak was in August 2000 at S&P500 2044.67,...
Monday, July 14, 2014

Buy and hold investors from the Aug.'00 high have made all of 1.32%/yr through May 2014

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The August 2000 level of 2045 was the inflation-adjusted all-time high for the S&P500. Average annual returns adjusted for inflation hav...

Average real rate of return from stocks since 2000 highs didn't turn positive until May 2013

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Through April 2013 your real return annually was negative on average. August 2000 is the benchmark for the inflation-adjusted high for the S...
Sunday, July 13, 2014

Bob Brinker was right in March 2003, but not until May 2009 at the earliest

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Bob Brinker's gain since March 2003 when he called for his followers to fully invest in the stock market has been an impressive 7.14% pe...
Tuesday, June 10, 2014

Real returns from stocks since April 2000 have been just 1.3% per annum

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Stock market investors who think market peaks like now are good times to add large sums to the equity side might want to consider what w...
Tuesday, March 18, 2014

Your 15 Year Real Return From The S&P500: Just 2% Per Year 1999-2014

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The inflation-adjusted return from an investment in the S&P500 from January 1999 to January 2014 is just 2% per year. At that rate it ta...
Wednesday, December 18, 2013

John Hussman Is Right: High Valuations Since The Late 1990s Have Coincided With Smaller S&P500 Returns

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Here's Hussman: Yes, several reliable valuation measures have hovered at much higher levels since the late-1990’s than were generally s...
Tuesday, December 3, 2013

Since 2000, Your Real Rate Of Return From Stocks Has Been Just 0.67% Annually

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The inflation-adjusted rate of return from the S&P500 with dividends fully re-invested from September 2000 to September 2013 has been ju...
Saturday, October 5, 2013

The 5-year Anniversary of Jim Cramer's Worst Advice Ever

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When TARP was signed by George Bush on Friday, October 3, 2008, the S&P500 closed at 1099 after falling dramatically in September during...
Thursday, August 29, 2013

Ironman Arrives At The Same Conclusion Reached By The True Born Sons Of Liberty

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TARP is fascism At Real Clear Markets, here : The United States would appear to be well on its way to adopting fascist Italy's political...
Sunday, August 11, 2013

Your Real Return In Stocks Since 2000? Just 0.32% Per Year!

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Sad, but true. Check for yourself, here .
Wednesday, May 8, 2013

Cyclically-Adjusted p/e Above 20 Forecasts Near-Zero 10yr Returns

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As discussed here by Mark Hulbert: Where does the CAPE stand today? It currently is at 23.3, which is 41% higher than its historical averag...
Sunday, March 24, 2013

Your Real 5-yr. Rate Of Return In Stocks Has Been Poor, Actually

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The real rate of return in the S&P500 for the five years from February 2008 to February 2013 hasn't been all that good, actually. Ju...
Sunday, February 24, 2013

Why The Shiller p/e Might Mean The Market Has Room To Run

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The market might have room to run if excluding the bubble period from the calculation of the Shiller p/e is any guide. So John Hussman, here...
Sunday, January 27, 2013

S&P500 Buy And Hold Investors Since October 2007 Are Down 1.14% Per Year

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Read it and weep, here . The real rate of return in the S&P500 from October 2007 through 2012, five years and two months, is negative 1....