Showing posts with label August 2000. Show all posts
Showing posts with label August 2000. Show all posts
Tuesday, April 21, 2026

Buffett Indicator in the news

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 Wall Street on red alert as Warren Buffett’s favorite stock market gauge hits the worst reading EVER ...  The so-called Buffett indicator ...
Saturday, March 14, 2026

SPX/GDP, then vs. now

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SPX(average annual)/GDP(trillions of dollars), then vs. now 1938: 131 1942: 52 1964/1965: 118  1982: 35 2000: 139  2009: 65 2019: 135  2025:...
Saturday, February 28, 2026

SPX return since August 2000 vs. Jan 1871-Jul 1982

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  Aug 2000-Jan 2026: 8.19% pa / 5.53% real Jan 1871-Jul 1982: 8.15% pa / 6.18% real Jul 1982-Aug 2000: 18.99% pa / 15.28% real 
Friday, September 12, 2025

25th anniversary of the August 2000 S&P 500 high

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 The 25 years previous to August 2000 were 104.15% better.  
Friday, August 29, 2025

Let's check in on real return from stocks since and before the August 2000 high to see what a real bull market looks like

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  $SPX since August 2000 through July 2025: 5.24% real, average per annum, dividends fully reinvested. And the 24 years, 11 months before th...
Saturday, July 26, 2025

The S&P 500 had five record closes in a row this week, and fourteen so far this year, for what it's worth

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The S&P 500 averaged 6,029.95 in June.  Using 1Q2025 GDP, current valuation of SPX 6,388.64 is 213, 163% higher than the 1938-2019 mean ...
Saturday, July 5, 2025

SPX since August 2000 continues to underperform the pre-Reagan era by almost 20% in real terms, the Reagan bull market era by almost 68%

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SPX 8/2000-5/2025: 7.62% per annum nominal, 4.95% per annum real (inflation rate 2.54% per annum) SPX 1/1871-7/1982: 8.15% per annum nominal...
Friday, May 23, 2025

Secular real return from stocks since investing at the August 2000 high compared with investing at the September 1929 high, twenty-four years out

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 August 2000-August 2024 and September 1929-September 1953 both fall far short of 8.74% per annum real return September 1953-August 2000. Re...
Thursday, February 6, 2025

Despite record highs in stocks in 2024, real return since the last secular peak in August 2000 still significantly lags previous periods of peak-to-peak returns

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  During four months in 2021, real return since August 2000 briefly hit the 5s: 5.06% in August, 5.02% in September, 5.17% in November, and ...
Sunday, January 26, 2025

Real return from stocks was better under Trump I than under Biden

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  S&P 500 average real return, dividends fully reinvested Nov 2016--Nov 2020: 13.18% per annum Nov 2020--Nov 2024: 9.97% per annum On a ...
Friday, January 10, 2025

Your reminder that average real return from stonks sux

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S&P 500   August 2000 -- August 2024 4.90% per annum August 1976 -- August 2000 10.49% per annum    
Saturday, September 14, 2024

Real return from stocks since the August 2000 top after 24 years now underperforms the pre-2000 eras by ONLY 33.7% per annum, nominal by 21.3%, yippee! What a great country!

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Sunday, September 17, 2023

It's been 23 years of not a bull market

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 Average real return per annum from $SPX, dividends fully reinvested: August 2000 to August 2023:  4.23% August 1977 to August 2000: 11.35% ...
Wednesday, September 14, 2022

Real return since August 2000 has been Great Depression-like

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Wednesday, June 15, 2022

The investing world's experts, let alone all the sheeple who follow them, don't have a CLUE how bad this market has been since August 2000

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 The TOP , do you hear me, was in already last November. As of May 2022 real return has pulled back all the way to 4.14%. We truly live in a...
Wednesday, May 18, 2022

How low could the S&P 500 possibly fall from the Monday, Jan 3, 2022 closing high of 4,796.56?

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  Some are calling this a dot-com-like bubble "burst".  Jeremy Grantham thinks a 40% decline is in the offing. That burst happen...
Tuesday, May 10, 2022

The biggest investing lie of our times: "A host of factors ... has made U.S. equities an attractive place to park money and earn nice returns"

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 CNBC, here . S&P 500, average real return per annum, dividends fully reinvested: August 2000 through April 2022, 21 years, 8 months . ....
Sunday, September 27, 2020

Things to remember from the week that was, Sep 19-26, 2020, and none of it is about COVID-19

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Democrat Senator Chucky Schumer tweeted on Feb 22, 2016: Attn GOP: Senate has confirmed 17 #SCOTUS justices in presidential election years. ...
Monday, September 21, 2020

The 20th anniversary of the end of the Reagan bull in August 2000 shows stock market return hasn't been just sub-bull, it's been sub-normal

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Average per annum real return from the S&P 500 in the last 20 years has underperformed the 100+ years up to the beginning of the Reagan ...
Tuesday, September 1, 2020

Stonks continue to SUCK since August 2000: July 2020 edition

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