Monday, October 17, 2011

"Kultur is the Ultimate Economic Fundamental"

Ambrose Evans-Pritchard keeps trying to come to terms with Germany, here.

Herman Cain's Little Noticed 718 Percent Tariff Increase on Foreign Imports

Most of us have been fixated on income, sales and business taxes in Herman Cain's 999 Plan, but there is a little noticed line which I think adds considerable government revenue in the form of increased tariffs on foreign imports, and considerable American competitiveness by exempting our own exports from the plan's 9 percent business tax and the 9 percent sales tax:

Exports leave our shores without the Business Tax or the Sales Tax embedded in their cost, making them world class competitive. Imports are subject to the same taxation as domestically produced goods, leveling the playing field.

In 2010, imports to this country came to $2.3 trillion, on which a paltry $25.3 billion was collected in tariffs. If I understand Cain's plan correctly, that tariff would balloon to $207 billion to match tax burdens born by domestically manufactured and sold goods and services which are subject to the 9 percent business tax.

The last time tariffs on foreign goods similarly accounted for 9.6 percent of federal revenue occurred sometime between 1930 and 1935.

Herman Cain is thereby defying free-trade ideology in the name of a level playing field, which message should win him considerable support among American patriots, regardless of party.

"If At First You Don't Succeed . . .

. . . keep on sucking until you do succeed! Nyuk. Nyuk."

-- Curly Howard

DC Occupiers Ruin Stimulus-Funded Sod, Camp Illegally; Feds Turn Blind Eye

Reported here.

Tea Party damage to date = 0; incidents of trespassing = 0.

Sunday, October 16, 2011

Occupy Wall Street in Chicago: Applause For "The Next Big Step in the Democratic Revolution"















Video here.

Sorry Occupy Wall Street, Democracy Looks Like This, Not Like You

Arrests Spread as Occupy Wall Street Spreads

Like a disease.

Last time I checked, ZERO Tea Partiers have been arrested for anything since 2009, but just over the weekend unruly Occupy Wall Streeters in scores have been arrested:

175 arrests in Chicago;

another two dozen in New York City (where police were injured);

an unknown number of arrests in Tucson;

maybe 40 in Phoenix;

and at least two dozen in Colorado.

See the AP story here.

Tea Partiers protested bailouts in the name of free market capitalism's cure for failure: bankruptcy. They showed up at the ballot box in November 2010 and put a stop to Barack Obama's Democrat Party. Now they wait for November 2012.

Meanwhile, Occupy Wall Streeters suddenly decide to protest bailouts in the name of bailouts for their student loans, a living wage, and sundry other entitlements which don't yet exist but they hope to extract by mob action and intimidation, the modus operandi of the unions.

A cold snap can't come soon enough, or a flu epidemic.

Is The Price of Owning the S&P500 Low, or High?

Everything depends on how you calculate the price.

This way, where the financial crisis in 2007-2008 represents the all-time high:
















Or Shiller's way, where the peak was way back in 1999:

Bailed Out GSEs Send 87 To Mortgage Bankers Association Annual Convention, Spend At Least $227,000 Of Your Tax Money For Fling In Chitown!

The New York Times has all the gory details here.

Friday, October 14, 2011

A Movement to Occupy My Underwear

Oops!

Richard Viguerie Rips Romney and Cain New Ones For Supporting TARP



Defending TARP should burst Herman Cain’s populist bubble, but Romney in particular, defended the 2008 bank bailout in one of the most disingenuous statements of the evening, if not the entire debate cycle.

According to Governor Romney, the $700 billion Wall Street rescue package "was designed to keep not just a collapse of individual banking institutions, but to keep the entire currency of the country worth something."

Noting could be further from the truth and Romney knows it.

Artificial GDP Explained

By Jeffrey Snider, here.

A tax will have to be paid for it, sooner or later. There will be blood.

ObamaCare's Long Term Care Insurance Provision Bites The Dust Already

Because its costs were too high to attract participation, as reported here:

Monthly premiums would have ranged from $235 to $391, even as high as $3,000 under some scenarios, the administration said. At those prices, healthy people were unlikely to sign up.

Well duh! Healthy people who signed up at age 50 not long ago could get excellent coverage for two people for less than $60 a month through Barack Obama's favorite fascist, Jeff Immelt of GE.

Government does very little well, and never cheaper than the private sector.

Rep. Bachmann Finally Sends Me An Email!

Gee, I signed up sometime in June for campaign updates, and never heard a thing. I complained about the fact, here, later that month.

Suddenly today, four months later, I get an email asking me to fill out a survey and to contribute to the campaign.

Well, we've had PerryCare = ObamaCare since then, which really is unfair to ObamaCare, and now 999 upside down is 666 and such like. Not exactly what I want my president to be saying out loud.

"Sundown, ya better take care . . .."

Flashback to Obama, March 2009: "Nobody would be happier than me to stay out of it. I have more than enough to do without having to worry about the financial system."

Quoted here:


"Well, I just think it’s clear by the time we got here, there already had been an enormous infusion of taxpayer money into the financial system. And the thing I constantly try to emphasize to people if that coming in, the market was doing fine, nobody would be happier than me to stay out of it. I have more than enough to do without having to worry the financial system. The fact that we’ve had to take these extraordinary measures and intervene is not an indication of my ideological preference, but an indication of the degree to which lax regulation and extravagant risk taking has precipitated a crisis."

Matt Taibbi: Elizabeth Warren For President in 2012

Just a little humor to start the day.

Matt Taibbi, already deeply dissatisfied with Obama in October 2009, said that here:

"Warren to me makes the most sense for the simple reason that it will be virtually impossible for the Democratic Party hacks to dismiss her as a fringe character, given that they themselves gave her such a big public position as chief of the Congressional Oversight Panel.

"This is a woman who understands the finance issues as well as we can hope to expect from any politician . . .."

You know Elizabeth Warren. She's the one who repeatedly said here "the rest of us paid for" everything which the rich used to get wealthy, so they owe us, as if the rich hadn't already paid one red cent in taxes for any of those things, too.

Yep, that's the best reasoning we can hope to expect from the Democrats.

Thursday, October 13, 2011

Weekly Standard: Income Growth Has Slowed and Gone Negative in August?

See the figures, especially in Table 1 here, at the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

After reaching a peak in July, August personal income fell below that of July, but is still higher than personal income was in June, and January.

The Weekly Standard is making much of the steady decline in income growth so far in 2011 here, but without once mentioning the boost to incomes the temporary reduction in the payroll tax was supposed to supply.

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics here, average weekly hours have been stagnant for a year, so income gains cannot be coming from more hours worked. In fact, all other things being equal, you would expect nominal income to remain the same. Which is to say, no one is getting much of a raise, but they still have jobs.

But here the BLS shows that average weekly earnings have increased 1.85 percent year over year in August 2011.

Hm.

Interestingly enough, the difference between a payroll tax of 6.25 percent on $100 of income and 4.25 percent on $100 of income is . . . $1.82 less tax, going straight into people's paychecks.


And after 7 months in 2011, using the seasonally adjusted annual numbers of the BEA, income is up 1.94 percent, including the downtick in August.

1.85, 1.82, 1.94 . . . looks like a pattern to me.

Nominal incomes are up slightly in consequence of the payroll tax cut. Otherwise, it's a stagnant income picture, just like the unemployment picture.

Unless of course you factor in CPI and discuss real incomes. But that's a whole other, and very real, problem.

Involuntary Part-Time Has Surged 10 Percent in September Since July 2011

As always, calculatedriskblog has the best charts, here:


















The Bureau of Labor Statistics' recent data is shown here:

Herman Cain's 999 Plan is Under Attack by Bloomberg and WAPO

Here and here, mostly on the grounds of insufficient revenues, and tax regressivity and unfairness.

Herman needs to respond with numbers, and soon.

Occupy Wall Street Demands Student Debt Bailouts

So says Scott Cohn for CNBC.com here:


One proposed list of demands for the Occupy Wall Street movement includes "free college tuition" and "immediate across the board forgiveness" of student debt. While neither demand may be very realistic, the student debt problem is very real.

According to FinAid.org, which carries a "student debt clock" on its website, outstanding student debt is on pace to top $1 trillion in a matter of months. Student debt surpassed credit card debt in 2010, and has not looked back. The average 2011 college graduate had $27,204 in student debt, according to the organization.

The price of worship at the altar of the god, Education. Its high priests rob the easy.