PragCap thinks so here, but it's only been up $169 billion year over year. The monthly rate of vehicle sales annualized is up 1.6 million units over the same period. Could be that. Subprime, loan to value in excess of 100% and longer terms are all up in the space, according to Reuters here just in recent days.
Tuesday, December 10, 2013
The Passive Long-Term Investor's Dilemma: Both Equities and Treasurys Are Unattractively Priced
From John Hussman, here:
So passive buy-and-hold investors – who lock in a price and don’t alter their investment positions for a long period of time – should recognize that Treasury bonds are likely to outperform stocks over the coming decade, with substantially less risk. In my view, neither asset class is attractively priced, but in a world of zero returns on Treasury bills, our risk budget for passive investors would lean more toward bonds than equities here nonetheless.
Monday, December 9, 2013
Michigan Gov. Snyder Brags He's The Most Pro-Immigration Governor In The Country
Michigan Governor Rick Snyder, someone who will never be president, here:
“I’m probably the most pro-immigration governor in the country and I’m proud of that,” said Snyder, who included farm workers in his call for opening the state’s borders to immigrants who can create jobs for the state’s economy.
Best comment on the story:
"I never see advertisements for farm labor."
Government Logo On NSA Spy Satellite BRAGS "Nothing Is Beyond Our Reach"
Sunday, December 8, 2013
Obama Lies About Everything, Even The Small Stuff Like His Illegal Alien Uncle Omar
From The Boston Herald, here:
[I]n 2011 ... media outlets asked the White House if the two men had ever met. The answer was no. ... However ... Uncle Omar testified in court that his nephew had stayed with him for three weeks when he was at Harvard Law School . . .. And what do you know, the president confirmed his uncle’s story.
Saturday, December 7, 2013
Friday, December 6, 2013
Unemployment falls to 7.0% in November, the 60th straight month at that level or higher
That's five years for those of you in Rio Linda.
Today's report from the BLS shows unemployment falling to 7.0% from 7.3%, quite a drop, with an average level of job creation monthly in the last year rising to 195,000 in November or 2.34 million in the last year.
Part-time for economic reasons is down to 7.7 million, while for non-economic reasons is up not even 300,000 in the last year (seasonally adjusted). Obviously the purported ObamaCare effect is not showing up. An important reason why the government can't measure the asserted phenomenon is because people who are working fewer than 35 hours are already classified as part-time by the BLS. If they get reduced to 29 hours because of ObamaCare, SO WHAT? They are still part-time, just as they were working 30, 32 or 34 hours.
The real test for the part-timing of the nation is in average hours worked, which continue flat to rising modestly in the last year. There simply haven't been enough workers reduced in hours to impact this measure. Isolated industries may be heavily impacted, but overall workers are not . . . at least not yet.
Still, unemployment under Obama sucks big time, now worse than under Reagan and therefore the worst record for a sixty month run in the post-war.
Reagan's average report, December 1980 to December 1985 (61 months): 8.3% unemployment.
Obama's average report, December 2008 to November 2013 (60 months): 8.7% unemployment.
Barack Obama's Unemployment Record Is Now Worse Than Reagan's
Having grown up in the 1960s and lived through the terrible employment situation which prevailed in this country off and on from 1975 arguably through 1996, Barack Obama now owns the dubious distinction of a worse unemployment record than even Ronald Reagan's, and that's saying something.
From the time of Reagan's election in November 1980 right on through December 1985, unemployment stayed at or above 7% for 61 straight months, with an average report of unemployment coming to 8.31%. The severity of it was highlighted in 1981 and 1982 by a string of ten months with unemployment in excess of 10%. It was a brutal time, especially for older workers with homes and families whose dreams for the future were arrested, and for young people who had to start their careers at the very bottom, just as many of their depression-era parents had had to do.
Hard as it may be to believe, unemployment under Barack Obama is now even worse than it was under Reagan. Obama's average report of unemployment over the last sixty months, none of which has been lower than 7%, the same as the case with Reagan but short of one month (we'll see if the 7% threshold is broken in the December figures come January), now stands at an incredible 8.67% even though there's been only one month, October 2009, at 10%. Combined with the housing, stock market and banking collapses, a bona fide if small depression with negative GDP in 2008 and 2009, and a much older, less adaptive population, the impact of unemployment on the psyche and fortunes of the nation this time around is understandably more acute.
From the long term perspective, unemployment took a systemic turn for the worse in America since the mid-1970s, shortly after we adopted the free trade mania which has done nothing except create a middle class abroad at the expense of the middle class at home. Our chief export has been the prosperity of the nation's vast middle, chiefly through housing which Bill Clinton and Newt Gingrich helped Americans tap like an ATM to buy goods, mostly made abroad. Owner's equity in housing is half what it used to be in this country, squandered away by the squanderers, the Baby Boom.
If you want America to continue to exist, fix that by forcing people to save again, since no one seems to know how to do so for themselves, for the obvious reason. It doesn't really matter how we do it, but do it we must, or it's curtains.
(view the chart here at The Wall Street Journal)
Labels:
Baby Boom,
Bill Clinton,
class,
GDP 2013,
homeownership,
Jobs 2013,
Newt Gingrich,
Ronald Reagan,
WSJ
Thursday, December 5, 2013
White Hat Hacker Says Healthcare.gov Remains Insecure, Should Be Scrapped
Wow The ObamaCare Sham Guy |
White hat hacker David Kennedy says despite Obama's claim that healthcare.gov has now been fixed, it's still not a secure website and your personal information is at risk.
"If you look at the report that was released, they had fixed 400 bugs. None of those were addressed on security. There haven't been any [security] fixes yet. You're trying to rush to keep the website—the front-end that we see everyday—up-and-running. Unfortunately when you do that and you don't do any testing around that, you introduce new exposures."
The complete story is here.
Second Estimate Of Q3 2013 GDP Rises To 3.6% From 2.8% In The Initial
The report from the Bureau of Economic Analysis is here, showing Q3 2013 real GDP growing at a 3.6% clip.
1.68 points of the 3.6, however, represents building of massive inventories, meaning the underlying rate is 1.9%, down from last month's 2.0% after stripping out inventories. The first estimate of inventories had been off by 100%.
Falling demand from consumers in the third quarter was indicated as personal consumption expenditures (PCE) grew at a rate 0.4 lower, at 1.4% vs. 1.8% in the second quarter, a drop of 22%. In the first estimate PCE had been estimated at 1.5% in the third quarter. The decline confirms the ongoing weakness of the consumer economy.
Turley Says Obama Is Becoming The Very Danger The Constitution Was Designed To Avoid
Here:
The danger is quite severe. The problem with what the president is doing is that he's not simply posing a danger to the constitutional system. He's becoming the very danger the Constitution was designed to avoid. ... [W]e have had the radical expansion of presidential powers under both President Bush and President Obama. We have what many once called an imperial presidency model of largely unchecked authority.
Wednesday, December 4, 2013
Tuesday, December 3, 2013
Since 2000, Your Real Rate Of Return From Stocks Has Been Just 0.67% Annually
The inflation-adjusted rate of return from the S&P500 with dividends fully re-invested from September 2000 to September 2013 has been just 0.67% annually.
Check for yourself, here.
Monday, December 2, 2013
First New Bank Start-Up Since 2010 Caters To Pennsylvania Amish
The Wall Street Journal Reports here:
The number of federally insured institutions nationwide shrank to 6,891 in the third quarter after this summer falling below 7,000 for the first time since federal regulators began keeping track in 1934, according to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.
The decline in bank numbers, from a peak of more than 18,000, has come almost entirely in the form of exits by banks with less than $100 million in assets, with the bulk occurring between 1984 and 2011. More than 10,000 banks left the industry during that period as a result of mergers, consolidations or failures, FDIC data show. About 17% of the banks collapsed. ...
Unlike before the financial crisis, new startup banks aren't rushing to take the place of exiting institutions. Every year from 1934 to 2009, investors in the U.S. chartered at least a few and sometimes hundreds of new banks, according to the FDIC data. The Bank of Bird-in-Hand opened in Bird-in-Hand, Penn., on Monday—it was the first new bank startup in the U.S. since December 2010. ...
While the new bank will offer online deposits and target local customers who aren't Amish, it will also operate a courier service to accommodate customers who might not be able to drive up or log on—a nod to the fact many Amish don't use cars or computers. The drive-through window of the bank's one branch accommodates a horse and buggy, and there is a shelter in the parking lot to shield horses from rain.
NY Times Photographer Likens Obama Image Management To Communist Propaganda From Soviet State News Agency TASS
Yeah, well, here's why! |
And you thought the extremists were in the Tea Party.
Reported here:
Barack Obama's White House has been accused of producing Soviet-style propaganda by press photographers who are furious at being denied access to the US president. Mr Obama's aides routinely block independent photographers from capturing him at work, before distributing flattering pictures shot by Pete Souza, his official photographer. During a tense meeting at the White House, the practice was described by Doug Mills, a veteran photographer for The New York Times, as “just like TASS,” the Soviet Union state news agency.
Labels:
Barack Obama,
communist,
gutsy,
NYTimes,
propaganda,
Ralph Northam,
Tea Party,
The UK Telegraph
Sunday, December 1, 2013
Once Again, ObamaCare Is Simply The HMO-ization Of Healthcare All Over Again
And given the choice, people overwhelmingly pick Preferred Provider Organizations (PPOs) over Health Maintenance Organizations.
But under ObamaCare, you have no choice.
Flashback to Scott Gottlieb, here, in September:
But under ObamaCare, you have no choice.
Flashback to Scott Gottlieb, here, in September:
Obamacare's exchange based plans will be a throwback to the 1990s style of restrictive HMOs. They will give you fewer choices of doctors and hospitals than the kinds of health plans currently sold in the private, commercial marketplace. The doctor networks that Obamacare plans use will resemble Medicaid plans.
Now comes this from The Wall Street Journal, here:
Nearly half of the ObamaCare plans are tightly managed HMOs, according to a McKinsey & Co. analysis. In states like California, Missouri and New Hampshire, many networks are 40% or 45% the size of those offered for normal commercial coverage. Patients face the prospect of waiting months and driving miles to clinics and county hospitals.
Narrow networks can be a useful cost-control tool, to the extent people choose to give up medical options in return for lower premiums. But that's rarely what people want when they're choosing with their own money. Some 82.5% of eHealth customers in 2012 purchased preferred provider organization plans (PPOs) that are structured so patients can visit virtually any physician.
The awful irony of this new ObamaCare health system is that all adults now enjoy mandated pediatric vision benefits, even if they don't have kids, but parents can't take their daughter to an expensive children's hospital if she gets really sick. Everybody gets "free" preventive checkups with no copays, but not treatment for a complex illness from specialists at an academic medical center.
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ObamaCare must be scrapped.
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ObamaCare must be scrapped.
Labels:
flashbacks,
Groundhog Day,
Medicaid,
NYU,
Obamacare,
Scott Gottlieb,
WSJ
Saturday, November 30, 2013
Rush Limbaugh Thinks The Pope Is Totally Wrong, Biting The Hand That Makes The Church Rich
Here:
[T]his pope makes it very clear he doesn't know what he's talking about when it comes to capitalism and socialism and so forth. ...
If it weren't for capitalism, I don't know where the Catholic Church would be. ... I have been numerous times to the Vatican. It wouldn't exist without tons of money. ...
This is just pure Marxism coming out of the mouth of the pope. Unfettered capitalism? That doesn't exist anywhere. Unfettered capitalism is a liberal socialist phrase to describe the United States. ...
[R]eading what the pope's written about this is really befuddling because he's totally wrong -- I mean, dramatically, embarrassingly, puzzlingly wrong. ...
The Catholic Church, the American Catholic Church has an annual budget of $170 billion. I think that's more than General Electric earns every year. And the Catholic Church of America is the largest landholder in Manhattan. I mean, they have a lot of money. They raise a lot of money. They wouldn't be able to reach out the way they do without a lot of money.
Labels:
Catholic,
General Electric,
Marx,
Pope Francis,
Rush Limbaugh 2013
The Moneybags Behind The American Conservative Comes Out For Higher Minimum Wage In California!
Proving once again that the word conservative often has little to do with free markets, the moneybags behind The American Conservative until March of this year has seen Governor Jerry Brown's California minimum wage of $10 and raised him $2!
The New York Times reports here:
The Massachusetts State Senate approved a measure last week that would increase that state’s minimum wage to $11 an hour, far more than the $7.25-an-hour federal minimum. Hoping to reduce low-wage workers’ dependence on government aid, a conservative billionaire in California, Ronald Unz, is backing a referendum to raise his state’s minimum wage to $12 — even more than the $10 minimum that Gov. Jerry Brown signed into law in September. And on Tuesday, officials in Washington State announced that voters in SeaTac, a Seattle suburb, had approved a referendum to establish a $15-an-hour minimum wage for the 6,500 workers at the international airport there. Also this week in Maryland, the Montgomery and Prince George’s county councils voted to raise the minimum to $11.50 an hour by 2017.
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Moonbeams everywhere.
Tuesday, November 26, 2013
You're At Risk On Healthcare.gov, ObamaCare Website Should Be Scrapped, Say Hacker Experts
"When you develop a website, you develop it with security in mind. And it doesn't appear to have happened this time. It's really hard to go back and fix the security around it because security wasn't built into it. We're talking multiple months to over a year to at least address some of the critical-to-high exposures on the website itself ... everything from hacking someone's computer so when you visit the website it actually tries to hack your computer back, all the way to being able to extract email addresses, users names--first name, last name--locations. When you look at the site itself, it could be really good. It could do really well. They're just not building the security into the site itself. Putting your information on there is definitely a risk."
-- David Kennedy, chief executive of TrustedSec
"There's not a plan to fix this that meets the sniff test of being reasonable."
-- Morgan Wright, CEO of Crowd Sourced Investigations
For the full story, go here.
Monday, November 25, 2013
Crony Socialism: Fed Profits On College Student Loans Rank Third Behind Exxon-Mobil And Apple!
Or is that socialist cronyism?
Anyway, those thirsty blood suckers in the federal government made $41.3 billion off the nation's college student loan program in fiscal 2013, according to the Detroit Free Press, here:
It’s a higher profit level than all but two companies in the world: Exxon Mobil cleared $44.9 billion in 2012, and Apple cleared $41.7 billion.
--------------------------------------
That's not quite right, however.
In 2012 the profits thrown off from massive numbers of government bonds and mortgage backed securities "purchased" by the Federal Reserve and returned to the Treasury by the Fed were more than double that, as reported here last January:
The Federal Reserve sent a record $88.9 billion in profits to the Treasury Department in 2012 as it reaped gains from the unconventional programs it launched to spur economic growth.
Last year's remittance to Treasury topped the previous record of $79.3 billion in 2010, Fed records show.
Labels:
Apple,
Detroit Free Press,
Exxon,
fascist,
freedom of speech,
mortgages,
student loan,
WALCL,
WSJ
Friday, November 22, 2013
Democrat Leader In Senate Makes Unprecedented Change To Centuries-Old Filibuster Rule
Senate majority leader Democrat Harry Reid has just thrown out the rule book for filibusters in the Senate.
Story here:
By a vote of 52-48, the Senate invoked the so-called “nuclear option” to change the historic filibuster rules of the upper chamber. As a result, the minority party will be prevented from filibustering any nominations other than those to the Supreme Court.
"It's time to change the Senate before the institution becomes obsolete,” Majority Leader Harry Reid said Thursday morning on the Senate floor ahead of the unprecedented alteration to centuries-old rules regarding the power of the minority party to contest Senate business.
“The need for change is so, so very obvious,” he said. “It’s manifest [that] we have to do something to change things.”
... lawmakers lamented that if the party in power can change the rules, then rules are meaningless.
Wednesday, November 20, 2013
Mr. Gorbachev, tear down this website!
Representative Lamar Smith (TX-21), here:
"Given the distressing testimony we heard at the Science Committee’s hearing about Healthcare.gov, there is only one reasonable course of action. Mr. President, take down this website."
Tuesday, November 19, 2013
5 Million Get Insurance Canceled, Obama Claims Over 100 Million Sign-Ups In First Month!
The red diaper doper baby in chief strikes again, in a conference call to supporters, quoted here:
Boasting of his administration's skill in encouraging taxpayers to buy health insurance policies through public marketplaces, he claimed that 'in the first month alone, we've seen more than 100 million Americans already successfully enroll in the new insurance plans.' ...
It's likely Obama meant to initially take credit for 100,000 success stories, rather than 100 million. But his mangling of the statistics put him off-track by a factor of 1,000.
And even the smaller number relies on a flexible definition of what counts, and what doesn't, as an Obamacare subscriber.
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Off by a factor of 1,000, which pretty much sums up everything about the last 5 years.
This is what you get when you put the son of Cheech and Chong in charge of the country. You know, intercontinental railroads, military corpse-men and three proud words ("made in the USA").
Labels:
Barack Obama,
health insurance,
marijuana,
Obamacare,
The UK Daily Mail
Sunday, November 17, 2013
Justin Amash Isn't A Conservative, Just An Ambitious Climber
People keep calling Rep. Justin Amash, Republican (MI-3), a conservative, but he isn't. What he mostly is is ambitious, like most politicians, despite what his own campaign website continues to say.
Conservatism is a tool in the hands of this tool peddler's son, which he has used to advance his career in elections but has set aside when it comes to votes on say abortion, energy and the budget where he has made the good the enemy of the perfect. This is surprising from someone who claims to be a moderate.
By his own admission to George Will last April, when the prospect of throwing his hat in the ring to vie for the seat of retiring Democrat Senator Carl Levin was still tantalizingly real, Justin Amash demonstrated that his conservatism is merely part of his calculated "mix of positions", not the center of who he is:
“Tell me how a Democrat is going to attack me on the social issues.” Republicans, however, might take up that task. Nevertheless, he thinks that he could win a Republican primary and that “my mix of positions is best for winning the general.”
“Because I do not fit neatly in the Republican box, some establishment Republicans and pundits think I am extreme,” but “I am a moderate” because “the point of the Constitution is to moderate the government.”
Republicans take note.
Justin Amash doesn't moderate his positions for the sake of Republican votes, but for the sake of Democrat ones. But God help you if your positions as a Republican don't toe his libertarian line, then he won't budge an inch.
A clearer picture of the practical meaning of libertarianism you will hardly find: They are Democrats in disguise.
Saturday, November 16, 2013
"The only way ObamaCare pain stops for Democrats is if they repeal it."
So says John McIntyre of Real Clear Politics, just now on the Larry Kudlow Radio Show.
The NY Sun Reminds Yellen Congress Regulates The Value Of Money, Not The Fed
The wimps in the Senate are rolled yet again, but The Sun shineth, here:
What needs to be confronted is the scandal of Federal Reserve independence. Where in the Constitution does it say that monetary policy is supposed — or permitted — to be independent of politics? If the Founders of America had wanted the monetary power to be given to a body independent of politics, they could have given it to the Army or the Navy or the Supreme Court. But they sat down in Philadelphia and gave the power to “coin money and regulate the value thereof and of foreign coin” to, in the Congress, the single most political institution in the entire constitutional system.
Vanguard's VTSMX Posts Record High Of 45.46 Yesterday, The 44th New High In 2013
This fund, Vanguard's Total Stock Market Index, has posted new all time highs in every month this year save June: one in January, six in February, six in March, three in April, NINE in May, six in July, two in August, two in September and six in October. They really bought in May and went away, but only for a month.
Yesterday's new high is the third in November.
Friday, November 15, 2013
"Most Investors Will Hold All The Way Down"
John Hussman, here, last Tuesday:
'While we can make our case on the basis of fact, theory, data, history, and sometimes just basic arithmetic, what we can’t do – and haven’t done well – is to disabuse perceptions. Beliefs are what they are, and are only as malleable as the minds that hold them. Like the nearly religious belief in the technology bubble, the dot-com boom, the housing bubble, and countless other bubbles across history, people are going to believe what they believe here until reality catches up in the most unpleasant way. The resilience of the market late in a bubble is part of the reason investors keep holding and hoping all the way down. In this market cycle, as in all market cycles, few investors will be able to unload their holdings to the last of the greater fools just after the market’s peak. Instead, most investors will hold all the way down, because even the initial decline will provoke the question “how much lower could it go?” It has always been that way.'
Thursday, November 14, 2013
"The Harrisburg Patriot and Union" Newspaper Was Right The First Time About The Gettysburg Addresses
"But the Secretary of State is a man of note. He it was who first fulminated the doctrine of the irrepressible conflict; and on the battle field and burial ground of Gettysburg he did not hesitate to re-open the bleeding wound, and proclaim anew the fearful doctrine that we are fighting all these bloody battles, which have drenched our land in gore, to upset the Constitution, emancipate the negro and bind the white man in the chains of despotism."
-- Tuesday November 24, 1863
CHRONICLES' Roman Catholic Tom Fleming Goes All-In For Obedience To The Tyranny
When you hitch your wagon to the grandmothers of Bolshevism, you always end up in the ditch:
Not content with telling wives to obey husbands, slave to obey masters, subjects to obey the rulers, Paul makes obedience a general rule: "Let every soul be subject unto the higher powers. For there is no power but of God: the powers that are ordained of God. Whosoever therefore resisteth the power, resisteth the ordinance of God: and they that resist shall receive unto themselves damnation." So much for the right of revolution, civil disobedience, and, I might add, the myth of the Underground Railroad. ... In everyday political terms, then, we have to perform our duties as subjects or citizens. "Render therefore to all their dues; tribute to whom tribute is due; [TAX RESISTERS NEED NOT APPLY], custom to whom custom [SORRY, PAUL IS NO FREE-TRADER], fear to whom fear; honor to whom honor. By the way, the word for honor is good old Greek word time, that implies that different men have a worth or price that must be paid in terms of respect.
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None of that good ole' Protestant "Rebellion to tyrants is obedience to God" stuff for Tom Fleming, no siree.
It's nice to see that after all these years our disagreements about politics always end up being theological at their root.
Conservatives take note. The Roman Catholics now in control of most of the conservative movement are the reason America grows less and less free than it used to be. They will do nothing but continue to bow, but patriots will stand with the father of their country and refuse to kneel.
Labels:
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Chronicles Magazine,
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Greece,
kneel,
Marx,
Protestant,
slaves,
Tom Fleming
Wednesday, November 13, 2013
Tuesday, November 12, 2013
Monday, November 11, 2013
ObamaCare: Gun To The Head Charity Designed To Shrink The Middle Class
The income redistributionist m/o of ObamaCare, which will execute the middle class, not the upper class, dawns on a New York Times op-ed writer, here, from which this excerpt about how she lost her plan, got a much more restrictive one in its place, and had to pay an extra $5,400 for it:
“Obamacare or Kafkacare?” I posted on Facebook as soon as I hung up with Anthem. I vented about the call and wrote that the president should be protecting the middle class, not making our lives substantially harder. For extra sympathy, I may have thrown in the fact that I’m a single mom. (O.K., I did.) ...
[President Obama] keeps apologizing while maintaining that it’s for the good of the country, a vast improvement “over all.”
And the “over all” might agree. But the self-employed middle class is being sacrificed at the altar of politically correct rhetoric, with nobody helping to ensure our health, fiscal or otherwise, because it’s trendy to cheer for the underdog. Embracing the noble cause is all very well — as long as yours isn’t the “fortunate” family that loses its access to comprehensive, affordable health care while the rest of the nation gets it.
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When it comes to spreading the wealth around, they mean the middle class' wealth, not the wealth of the rich.
Sunday, November 10, 2013
Saturday, November 9, 2013
Friday, November 8, 2013
Feckless Obama Does Nothing About The Now 5.75 Year Long Employment Recession
Unemployment has ticked up to 7.3% in October as another 720,000 people bailed out of the labor force.
An astounding 91.5 million could be in the labor force but are not. Since the start of the recession in December 2007, over 12 million people have left it, 11.7 million of which left it AFTER the recession ended in June 2009.
You have to go back to 1979 to get a labor force participation rate as low as 62.9 like we have today. At 58.3 the civilian employment population ratio was last this bad back in 1983.
Job growth increased again to average 190,000 added per month in the last year as up-revisions to previous monthly reports were taken into account. At this rate it would take over five years to put everyone who left the labor force back into it, assuming you didn't also have to accommodate all the new entrees into the labor force from population growth. Many of those who left will simply never re-enter because they will reach retirement eligibility before they'll find a job.
The broadest measure of unemployment included 11.3 million out of work, 8.1 million working part-time for economic reasons (peak was in excess of 9.2 million), and 2.3 million marginally attached to the workforce, or 21.7 million total.
CalculatedRiskBlog's famous graph of this longest and deepest employment recession in the post-war now extends the streak to 69 months, or 5.75 years.
The report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics may be found here.
Thursday, November 7, 2013
GDP For Q3 2013 At 2.8% Annualized In The First Estimate, Released Today
click to enlarge |
The report in pdf from the Bureau of Economic Analysis may be found here.
The average report of GDP in 2013 now stands at 2.13% (1.1%, 2.5% and 2.8%), while growth measured in the 3rd quarter on an annualized basis is running at 2.8%.
Assuming GDP in the third and fourth quarters finishes sufficiently strongly enough to lift the year to a growth rate of 2.8% overall when next year's final estimate of GDP for Q4 2013 is complete, Obama's five year record will be an average report of 1.4%, still the lowest in the post-war behind George W. Bush's 2.1%.
But that assumption may be too rosy.
The GDP range for 2013 projected by the Federal Reserve in its June report is just 2.3% to 2.6%, so it remains very possible that 2013 GDP will finish the year at something less than the current 2.8%, especially as the ObamaCare Tax, in the form of higher health insurance premiums and other taxes, whacks the only people with the spending money in this economy.
Wednesday, November 6, 2013
Bill Kristol Says Cuccinelli Ran Better In Virginia Than Romney
This morning on the Laura Ingraham Show.
He's right.
Romney lost to Obama in Virginia by 149,000 votes, less than 4% of the total cast, with just 60,000 votes going to third party candidates, not enough to have made a difference.
But Cuccinelli lost to the Democrat in Virginia by 55,000 votes, only 2.5% of the total cast, with 146,000 votes going to the Libertarian, more than enough to have made the difference.
As a social and economic conservative, Cuccinelli more vividly drew the distinction between himself and liberalism's fellow travelers, including those in the Republican Establishment who turned their backs on Cuccinelli after September, as did also Chris Christie, who couldn't find the time to stump for a fellow Republican in a close race in a nearby state.
But there Christie was, protesting his conservatism on election day, here:
The GOP governor, who's seriously considering a bid for the 2016 Republican presidential nomination, also distanced himself from his moderate label.
"I'm a conservative," Christie said. "I've governed as a conservative in this state, and I think that's led to some people disagreeing with me in our state, because it's generally a left-of-center, blue state."
Cuccinelli was the real deal. Chris Christie is not.
Labels:
Blue States,
CNN,
Ken Cuccinelli,
Kristolnicht,
Laura Ingraham,
Mitt Romney 2013
Libertarians Spoil Another One For Republicans In Virginia Gubernatorial Race
click to enlarge |
When are Republicans going to wake up and get rid of their fifth column?
The 5.5% spread between the Democrat and the Republican represents just 55,000 votes and only 38% of the total garnered by the Libertarian whom Ron Paul basically denounced at the last minute.
But if Ron Paul really meant it, wouldn't he have said so a little earlier?
More here.
Tuesday, November 5, 2013
Monday, November 4, 2013
Vanguard's VTSMX Now The World's Biggest Mutual Fund, Edging Out PIMCO Total Return
From the story here:
For the year, the Pimco Total Return Fund has had outflows of about $33.2 billion. The fund, which is managed by Pimco co-founder and co-chief investment officer Bill Gross, is still the world's largest bond fund [at $248 billion], Morningstar said.
The Vanguard Total Stock Market Index now holds the title of world's largest mutual fund with $251.1 billion, according to Morningstar.
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